Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Saturday - March 01, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/1/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-3   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (3/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/2)-(5/7/4/1)-(3/7/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (3/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (2/3/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/8/9)-(2/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/8/9)-(2/3/5/8/9)-(2/3/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/8/9)-(5/2/6/7)-(10/5/7/2/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FON-9   WIN (5/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7)-(5/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/7)-(10/5/7/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
FON-10   WIN (10/5/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/2/4)-(10/5/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/2/4)-(10/5/7/2/4)-(10/5/7/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/01/2025 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R ODDS SETTER May04 Mar30 Mar16 Feb17 Nov25 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.40 61% 0.60    
TAKE CHARGE BABY May04 Apr20 Mar15 Feb25   (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60    
SING CHARMER SING Sep15 Jun26 May20 May04 Apr27 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
JOCOTE Sep28 Aug23 Aug17 Apr27 Apr06 (anders)BAILON JADHIR 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
HANK'S GAL Aug23 Mar16 Feb17 May13 Apr15 (hines han)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-2   03/01/2025 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN BIRD Nov19 Oct31 Oct19 Mar16 Mar01 (big hair )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
MASTER JANE Sep07 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 (rushton stetson)RAMOS B 125 8.00 19% 4.20    
MINERAL RIGHTS Jan17 Dec18 Nov23 Oct13 Jul13 (homer jas)IRONEYES R 125 2.50 24% 3.20    
CAROLINA JACY Jan28 Aug27 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 (gonzalez isai )HISBY RONALD 125 12.00    
BAILEYS SHOT Jan25 Dec12 Nov09 Nov18 Oct28 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 1.80    
SECRETLY SWEET Jan28 Jan10 Nov26 Oct10 Sep16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00    
 
FON-3   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE HORSESHOE Jan18 Jan02 Dec06 Oct26 Oct17 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 12% 7.60    
FULL SPIRIT Dec20 Dec07 Nov09 Oct17 Sep09 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 5% 18.50    
MS I SPEIGHT Nov09 Oct24 Sep27 Sep16 Aug24 (condon)BAILON JADHIR 125 6.00    
CONNECTABLE Dec13 Nov08 Oct19 Sep26 Aug29 (rushton temp)BETHKE A 125 2.00 26% 2.80    
LOW EURO CAT Feb23 Dec13 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 (condon schuyle)HISBY RONALD 125 15.00    
BAYLEYWICK Sep22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul28 Jul03 (foley p)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
CRESSONS LIL CHARM Nov16 Sep29 Jul31 Jul07 Jun22 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
FON-4   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONNA LIRICA Jan18 Dec20 Nov26 Nov03 Oct12 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.00 24% 3.20    
KID BIZ Nov03 Oct26 Oct12 Sep20 Sep09 (arceo a)BETHKE A 125 12.00    
BLESS D'SOUTH Jan27 Aug15 Jul17 Jul01 May24 (gonzalez v)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
CHARACTER COUNTS Apr27 Mar30 Mar15 Mar03 Feb18 (anderson david )BOWERS JADA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TU ROYAL Oct24 Aug27 Aug10 Jul27 Jul02 (davis rod)IRONEYES R 125 3.50    
SCOOT ALONG Jan18 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 8.00 21% 3.80    
REAUX BINA Feb05 Jan18 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
FON-5   03/01/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEM COLLECTION Sep21 Aug26 Jul29 Jul07 Jun01 (reiste tim)BACHICHA ELIJAH 125 15.00    
NOBLE CONNECTION Sep13 Aug31 Aug17 Jun30 Jun16 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLASHIN CHIP Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Dec18 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Nov17 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep20 (rushton stet)BETHKE A 125 5.00 15% 5.70    
PRIX DE WEST Dec20 Oct26 Sep09 Aug05 Jul15 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 21% 3.70    
FLEETWOOD SMACK Sep20 Aug26 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 8.00    
PURE CRYSTAL Nov17 Oct12 Oct05 Sep21 Jul13 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 125 12.00    
SCR  VYING EDGE Sep27 Aug23 Jul08 Jun08 May10 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
 
FON-6   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($7.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASPER JUSTICE Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Sep27 Sep20 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
KNIGHTED Sep27 Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul24 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
PREACHER Nov17 Oct27 Oct18 Oct05 Jun29 (rushton temple)HISBY RONALD 125 5.00    
LARCH Aug23 Aug17 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (mitzner r)IRONEYES R 125 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCHMOOZE Oct06 Sep14 Sep06 Aug23 Aug17 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 4.50 38% 1.60    
PERVASIVE Sep21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
OREGON COUNTY Jan11 Dec19 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
FON-7   03/01/2025 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME'S KARTEL May03 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 Mar08 (johnson marvin )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00    
ROCKETSHIP RUN Aug31 Apr27 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALPINE ASH Jun26         (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
BEST UP Sep21 Sep08 Aug31 May03 Apr13 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
KHOZANTHEDESTROYER Sep20 Aug31 Aug11 Jul14 Jul03 (compton jesse)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ RED TIME Oct27 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Sep02 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 20.00    
WILLHE LOVE Sep21 Aug16 May03 Apr14 Mar30 (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  MISTER LESTER Sep21 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul14 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50    
 
FON-8   03/01/2025 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALADJUSTED MISFIT Jan24 Jan02 Aug10 Jul13 Jul04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
WESTERN TOURIST Aug02 Jul05 Jun09 Sep08 Aug06 (martinez kelli)HISBY RONALD 125 3.00 46% 1.20    
STOOPS SINE DIE Sep08 Aug24 Jul10 Jun12 Apr21 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 19% 4.30    
LETS ROCK N STROLL Nov01 Sep29 Sep09 Aug31 Aug12 (dieter dalt)BACHICHA ELIJAH 125 15.00    
IMMORAL Sep15 Aug27 May25 May10 Apr16 (crabtree jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 14% 6.40    
DRUMADOON Oct20 Sep22 Aug03 Jul06 Apr26 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00    
SCR  DO IT LIKE KEVIN Sep28 Sep13 Aug31 Aug23 Aug10 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
IN THE MIDST Sep01 Aug17 Apr20 Apr05 Mar23 (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
RIVERSPORT Nov17 Oct26 Oct19 Oct05 Sep28 (ibanez al)IRONEYES R 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  UNCLE JUJU Nov01 Oct20 Oct13 Sep13 Aug18 (rushton stet)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 12.00    
 
FON-9   03/01/2025 2640ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bold Accent Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAVALINE Jan25 Nov22 Oct10 Sep07 Jul27 (homer jas)IRONEYES R 120 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CATSADIVA by TALE OF THE CAT)
RUNNIN ON PROMISES Dec13 Nov17 Sep21 Aug16 Jul20 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of RUNNIN FOR TUITION by HANSEN)
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Oct05 Sep09 May04 Apr13 Mar30 (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 122 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MOIRA DELANEY by HENNESSY)
SARAH'S COURT Feb23 Feb01 Jan15 Nov29 Nov13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.50    
  (by COURT VISION out of SARAHSINTOMISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
TENNESSEE MOON Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Dec07 Nov16 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 0.80 59% 0.70    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
HA HA GLORIA (IRE) Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 May19 Oct22 (anderson c)RAMOS B 122 5.00 8% 10.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MORE THAN A DIVA Oct06 Sep09 Aug18 Jul28 Jun02 (clay pat)HISBY RONALD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of DIVA STYLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SMALLTOWNSMOKESHOW Feb06 Jan04 Dec04 Nov06 Oct02 (wise j)BAILON JADHIR 116 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MORE THAN PROUD by MORE THAN READY)
 
FON-10   03/01/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEVEL Oct25 Oct12 Sep15 Sep01 Jul28 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 15.00    
TOMBI Nov15 Oct27 Oct12 Oct04 Sep21 (rushton s)IRONEYES R 125 4.50 12% 7.40    
OBVIOUSLY TOO Feb23 Nov02 Oct26 Oct12 Sep16 (schindler jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
AMERICAN SMOOTH Feb05 Dec18 Dec04 Nov09 Sep28 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
WRONG DIRECTION Nov17 Oct19 Oct04 Aug18 Jul28 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
SCOOTER'S BOY Jan13 Dec09 Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
OPTIMAL Oct27 Oct18 Sep28 Sep06 Jun30 (rushton temp)BETHKE A 125 8.00 14% 6.00    
SHARP AZ NAILS Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep02 Aug17 (thompson grady)HISBY RONALD 125 15.00    
I'M CRENSHAW Feb23 Sep20 Aug17 Jul13 Jun22 (big gera)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
10  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY Feb23 Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.