Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(5/1/2)-(3/1/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/1/2/8)-(9/7/10/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/8)-(9/7/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/8)-(9/7/10/2)-(6/5/7/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-4   WIN (9/7/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/10/2)-(9/7/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/10/2)-(9/7/10/2)-(9/7/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/10/2)-(6/5/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/10/2)-(6/5/7/10)-(9/8/13/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/5/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/10)-(6/5/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/10)-(6/5/7/10)-(6/5/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/10)-(9/8/13/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/10)-(9/8/13/1/3)-(4/5/7/11/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-6   WIN (9/8/13/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/13/1/3)-(9/8/13/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/13/1/3)-(9/8/13/1/3)-(9/8/13/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/13/1/3)-(4/5/7/11/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/8/13/1/3)-(4/5/7/11/10)-(8/2/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-7   WIN (4/5/7/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/11/10)-(4/5/7/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/11/10)-(4/5/7/11/10)-(4/5/7/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/7/11/10)-(8/2/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/11/10)-(8/2/5/4)-(1/8/3/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (8/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4)-(8/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/4)-(1/8/3/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/8/3/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/10/5)-(1/8/3/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/10/5)-(1/8/3/10/5)-(1/8/3/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH JUSTICE Oct31 Sep19 Aug15 Aug01 Jun25 (agostini a)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 5.00 24% 3.10    
2  TWISTED JUSTICE Jan18 Dec28 Nov14 Oct29 Sep17 (simone v)FERRER C 118 20.00 10% 8.60    
3  UNTOUCHED ELEGANCE Jan22 Aug19 Jul03 May19 Dec05 (hardesty l)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  QUEEN OF CHILL Jan26 Dec18 Dec04 Sep25 Sep07 (ashmore co)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 15.00    
5  OSCAR GAZE Jan26 Jan03 Oct21 Sep08 Aug18 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 1.40    
6  KENYA SUN May01 Mar30 Mar01 Aug02 Jun29 (tsirigoti)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 12.00 11% 7.80    
7  TOP LOOK Jan19 Jan01 Dec18 Nov27 Oct31 (simone michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00    
 
TAM-2   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIRS VALOR Dec07 Oct18 Apr10     (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  INDIE FREEDOM Sep28 Aug25       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPEIGHT THE SNOW Oct23 Oct07 Sep20 Aug12 Jul24 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
4  OBLIGING Jan08 Nov28 Oct26 Sep29 Aug18 (delgado jorge)GIL CIPRIANO 113 2.50    
5  ROCK D'ORO Dec29 Nov24       (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  COCKEYED Jan11 Dec07 Sep15     (pompay t)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
 
TAM-3   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOOR STRENGTH Jan15 Dec20 Nov23 May30 Apr12 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  VAL'S GAL Dec13 Nov20 Nov01 Oct04 Sep27 (barrett gr)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 15.00 17% 4.80    
3  KEEP ON ROCKIN Feb02 Jan12 Jan01 Dec13 Oct12 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  NUMERIC Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 Dec04 Oct27 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 118 4.00    
5  LOVIELEE Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Nov20 Aug30 (gardea abraham)HESS SARA 111 20.00    
6  DUNEEN BAY Feb02 Dec24 Jun15 Jan21 Nov25 (gardea abrah)CASIQUE UBARDO 120 12.00    
7  CAJUN EXPECTATION Jan12 Dec27 Dec06 Nov20 Aug29 (ra)LUNA PAUL 118 30.00    
8  GO GO STAR Jan25 Jan01 Dec13 Oct05 Sep07 (ashmore co)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SONADORA GIRL Nov13 Oct22 Aug03 Jun27 May26 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 1.60    
 
TAM-4   02/12/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHAIN REACTION Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 Nov13 Oct24 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 20.00    
2  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jan18 Jan05 Oct16 Oct08 Sep18 (rice kevin)ALENCAR WALBER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FALCONS FURY Jan25 Jan12 Dec21 Nov27 Oct21 (ocasio osvaldo)LARA VICTOR 110 30.00    
4  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Jan17 Dec11 Oct23 Oct01 Sep24 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00    
5  FORT CHARLES Jan29 Jan12 Dec06 Nov24 Nov01 (torres pab)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 15.00    
6  POLITICAL RIOT Jan29 Jan12 Dec20 Nov27 Nov10 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 8.00    
7  GHOST STALKER Jan19 Dec20 Sep20 Sep07 Aug14 (carrascojr v)BATISTA A 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  COURT CONTENDER Dec27 Nov20 Sep20 Sep04 Aug28 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.00    
9  HARI Jan18 Jan04 Dec29 Oct23 Oct02 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
10  H C HOLIDAY Jan18 Jan03 Nov01 Oct11 Aug31 (contessa gary)IORIO MELISSA 120 12.00 10% 9.40    
 
TAM-5   02/12/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAN YACO Jan19 Jun30 Jun02 Apr14 Mar10 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 119 6.00    
SCR  TAPINTOYOURBEER Oct14 Sep11 Aug25 Aug13 Jul17 (ocasio osval)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
3  MAXIMATCH Dec24 Nov29 Sep15 Aug17 Jul21 (pompay terri)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
4  DIAL HIM UP Feb02 Jan17 Jan08 Dec22 May22 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 112 20.00    
5  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Jan29 Dec27 Nov13 Sep20 Aug30 (hiles jeff )VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 10.00 21% 3.80    
6  ROSE VIEW Dec28 Dec04 Oct27 Oct04 Aug30 (arnett g)TOHILL S 114 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  ROUGH AND ROWDY Jan22 Dec27 Mar22 Mar03 Jul14 (lopez ro)GIL CIPRIANO 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
8  JAMESTOWN Jan18 Dec24 Nov08 Apr27 Jan31 (delacour arnau)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00    
SCR  BANDOOLA Jan29 Jul22 Jun25 May27 Apr13 (lewis li)GALLARDO A 119 15.00    
10  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Sep07 Aug26 Aug04 Jun30 Apr26 (yanez r)FERRER C 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   02/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACIOUS BEAUTY         (gardea abraha)IORIO MELISSA 119 15.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  DON'TDRAINMYPOCKET         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
3  STELLA BROWN Jan19 Dec22 Nov18 Nov06   (ferraro anthony)HESS SARA 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIZ DREAMIN Jan19 Nov23 Aug30 Aug16 Jul19 (barrett gr)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
5  NADJAMEANSBUSINESS Jan03 Dec20 Dec07 Oct24 Sep26 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
6  RAN THE RED Jan03 Nov29 Sep21     (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
7  WINNING SHOT Jan15 Jul04       (wilson ton)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 5.00    
8  SLEW CROWN Jan12 Sep09 Aug14 Jul23   (rini anthony)CENTENO E 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
9  LUCKY FLAY Jan15 Dec13 Nov20 Sep28 Jul20 (smith g)FERRER C 119 3.00 27% 2.80    
10  BAJA DE ORO Jan19 Jan05 Dec29 Dec13 Aug16 (munoz carl)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 119 30.00    
11  ELECTRICA Oct23 Sep24       (posadas p)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 30.00    
12  PRINCESS MIA Jan19 Jan03 Oct12 Sep20 Aug31 (avila )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 112 20.00    
13  CANTAFIO Feb01 Dec29 Dec20 Dec13 Nov29 (delgado h)GIL CIPRIANO 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  MISS NATASHA         (perez blas)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
 
TAM-7   02/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR FIRE Jan25 Dec07       (lusk r)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
SCR  HIGHLAND TIGER Jan03 Dec07       (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
3  FRAME UP Nov23 Oct31       (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 120 30.00    
4  THINGAMABOB Jan18 Dec22 Nov30     (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80 27% 2.80    
5  PALACE REVOLT Jan24 Oct22 Oct07 Sep10   (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 120 10.00 26% 2.90    
6  OPERA HOUSE A. D. Jan18 Dec29 Dec07     (garde)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 15.00    
7  TREBLE MAKER         (contessa c)SPIETH S 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
8  S J B EXPRESS Jan12 Nov30 Sep07 Aug03   (o'connell kath)GIL CIPRIANO 120 2.50    
9  FELIX SLEW Jan12 Dec29 Nov09     (ochoa gerard)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
10  EL GALAN Dec18 Nov27 Nov15 Oct13   (kutt m)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  MR. FUNTASTICO         (aguayo ramon)FERRER C 120 20.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  PRICHARD Jan19 Dec06 Oct23 Sep07   (west m)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
 
TAM-8   02/12/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH Jan22 Jan12 Dec21 Nov23 Oct04 (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50    
2  LEAD OFF Jan29 Jan12 Dec27 Nov29 May29 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00 8% 11.70    
3  YONO Jan10 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Aug18 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
4  HABERDASHERY Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 Nov27 Nov16 (mckathan kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HEY PADRE Jan18 Jan05 Dec27 Nov23 Oct22 (simone micha)BATISTA A 120 8.00 6% 16.60    
6  INBOUND Jan17 Dec28 Dec14 Nov23 Nov10 (moysey chelsey)COTTO L 120 10.00    
7  SARGEANT BARGER Jan24 Jan12 Jan04 Sep25 Sep13 (alessi james)HIRALDO JOHN 118 30.00    
8  STYLE ME ROYAL Jan22 Jan10 Dec20 Nov23 Oct11 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 1.80 58% 0.70    
 
TAM-9   02/12/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEAR SANTA Jan01 Nov23 Oct16 Aug02 Jul03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  E MINOR Jan18 Dec14 Oct16 Sep11 Jul30 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
3  FATIMA'S BLESSING Jan11 Oct26 Oct11 Sep14 Aug17 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 8% 11.20    
4  VILLAGE PREACHER Jan19 Dec20 Nov29 Oct10 Sep26 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 118 30.00    
5  INDY LYON Jan04 Nov30 Oct11 Aug17 Mar24 (crichton roh)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  IT'S A FACT Jan01 Oct27 Sep21 Aug24 Jul05 (smith ro)CASTANON L 118 30.00    
7  SWING LOW Feb02 Jan22 Jan01 Dec22 Dec04 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 118 30.00    
8  DARK AND FITZY Jan18 Jan01 Nov23 Oct06 Sep15 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 2.00 17% 4.70    
9  XY TIME Sep04 Aug01 Nov04 Oct07 Sep15 (crichton rohan)LEON SONNY 118 3.50    
10  MAJESTIC EAGLE Jan18 Jan04 Dec14 Oct25 Oct10 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CITIZEN K Jan11 Dec20 Nov03 Sep21 Aug11 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.