Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - January 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(2/7/6/4)-(7/6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-2   WIN (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/4)-(7/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/4)-(7/6/5/1)-(4/7/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
HOU-3   WIN (7/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/1)-(4/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/1)-(4/7/2/8)-(4/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-4   WIN (4/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8)-(4/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/8)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/8)-(4/5/1)-(4/6/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/6/7/5)-(1/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-6   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(1/8/7)-(7/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(7/4/5)-(3/5/6/1/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(3/5/6/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(3/5/6/1/2)-(7/9/2/5/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-9   WIN (3/5/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1/2)-(3/5/6/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1/2)-(3/5/6/1/2)-(3/5/6/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/6/1/2)-(7/9/2/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-10   WIN (7/9/2/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/2/5/1)-(7/9/2/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/2/5/1)-(7/9/2/5/1)-(7/9/2/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   01/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CADILLAC COWBOY Dec28 Dec05 Nov16 Oct25 Oct02 (g)DE CRUZ 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  JIMMY SLICE Dec07 Nov16 Oct16 Aug22 Jun23 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00    
3  NEVER OVER ME Dec12 Nov15 Oct26 Sep24 Sep09 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
4  EL MERO MERO Nov14 Oct30 Jun18     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
SCR  SOMERSETSLASTRIDE Oct25 Sep08 May03 Apr10 Mar18 (rengstorf tony)SANCHEZ OBED 121 15.00    
6  PRETTY MACHO Dec12 Nov15 Oct17 Oct03 Jul12 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 4.00    
7  LOUISIANA FLASH Jul03 Jun16 May12 Apr05 Mar09 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
HOU-2   01/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY JAE Nov01 Sep21 Sep07 Jul14 Jun29 (ramirez-rodrigue)PARKER L 123 0.80    
2  GASTOWN Dec15 Nov23 Sep29 Sep21 Sep06 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  BASKET CASE Oct12 Sep26 Aug16 Jun28 May19 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 121 30.00    
4  FADED MEMORIES Dec06 Nov21 Nov01 Jun24 May28 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 121 20.00 10% 8.90    
5  SUNNY SAN LEON Nov26 Oct11 Jan20 Nov02 Oct04 (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00    
6  MISSION BELLE Nov01 Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
7  ELMO'S SECRET Sep26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun08 May22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 23% 3.30    
8  RUBY THE DESTROYER Nov30 Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 20.00    
 
HOU-3   01/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMMA GOING TO WIN Dec19 Nov16 Jun16 May31 Apr28 (rangel raul)SANCHEZ OBED 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  BAILEYS SHOT Dec12 Nov09 Nov18 Oct28 Sep30 (hibd)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
3  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Nov09 Oct31 Oct19 Oct02 Sep11 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 121 1.20    
4  RON'S LAVENDER Sep26 Aug12 Jul30 Jun22 May26 (kotara ronal)HUCKABY RONNIE 116 20.00    
5  GEE SHE'S FANCY Nov23 Oct31 Oct04 Sep18 Aug31 (williams steve )WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00 8% 11.80    
6  GOD KNOWS WHY Nov26 Oct31 Sep18 Jul03 Jun15 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  SPEAK SOFTLY Nov16 Oct19 Aug23 Jun30 May17 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
HOU-4   01/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAUDETTE HEIR Dec11 Aug24 Jul07 May18 Mar16 (young bob)ALVAREZ L 121 15.00    
SCR  MATH MYSTERY Nov29 Nov13 Oct03 Aug24 May10 (davidson n)PARKER L 121 10.00 10% 9.20    
3  NEUTRALIZE Dec05 Oct10 Aug31 Jun30 Jun02 (lee mark)DIEGO V 123 5.00    
4  BLUEBERRY EYES Dec12 Nov30 Aug22 Jun15 Apr20 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 123 1.00 38% 1.60    
5  WA WA WEE WA Dec15 Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 Sep07 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 20.00    
6  TOOTIE Oct11 Sep13 Aug24 Aug16 Jul03 (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 121 6.00    
7  CHAPARRITA Dec12 Dec05 Nov05 Sep01 Aug03 (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
8  SUPERCENTS Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 Sep13 Aug22 (hjort donna)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-5   01/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERAUNOS Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHISKEY WITH YOU Dec13 Nov22 Nov14 Oct17 Oct02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE) Jul06 Jun15 May18 Jan21 Dec23 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
4  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Nov19 Nov06 Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 (pish danny)DIEGO V 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  EXCAPING THE BLUES Nov22 Sep14 Aug24 May27 Apr22 (bravo francisco)DIAZ RENE 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) Dec27 Oct05 Aug23 Jul13 Nov20 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 1.40    
7  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Nov23 Nov06 Oct12 Sep19 Aug30 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
8  COASTAL BRINK Dec06 Nov06 Oct05 Sep18 Mar23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 4.50    
 
HOU-6   01/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIELO'S KNIGHT Dec05 Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00    
2  STORMS LAST Dec11 Nov09 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00    
3  BIG MUCKITY Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 Oct04 Aug22 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 123 4.00    
4  BANDERA AZTECA Dec05 Nov13 Nov02 Oct02 Sep13 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
5  BOLSHIE Dec02 Nov12 Oct24 Sep04 Jul09 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NORTHVALE ROAD Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 Sep27 Aug17 (gourneau jerr)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
7  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Dec05 Sep27 Aug29 Jun30 Jun02 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.50 13% 6.90    
 
HOU-7   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 45 M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLLY HOLLY         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by AIKENITE out of STRONG AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  STACY'S PRINCESS Jul12 Jun21 Apr21 Mar16   (uriegas henr)VERA T 123 20.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
3  SASSY FLYER Oct25 Oct06 Sep03 Apr16   (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of SASSY SONDRA by OFFICER)
4  UPTOWN JIVE Dec07 Oct16 Jan05 Oct26 Aug17 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 3.00    
  (by DORTMUND out of A JUMPINANDA JIVIN by JUMP START)
SCR  KITTYSHEARTNDENILE Dec07 Oct16       (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of CAT IN DE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  EAGLE VISION Nov25         (dupuy allen)WADE LYNDIE 123 8.00    
  (by EAGLE out of ZYDECO DIVA by STORM DAY)
7  SASS WITH CLASS         (m)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 15% 5.90    
  (by BALLISTIC KITTEN out of TRIUMPHANT POTION by VICTORY GALLOP)
8  SHAKE THOSE DICE Jun16 May28       (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of LUCKY DICE by MECKE)
 
HOU-8   01/05/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEASTIE GIRL Nov29 Nov01 Oct16 Sep06 May25 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 121 20.00    
2  BENT HALO Nov26 Oct30 Sep14 Aug14 Jun17 (duhon paul)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00    
SCR  KEEP THE BLING Dec13 Oct26 Mar10 Feb19 Jan13 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 5.00    
4  CACTUS BLOSSOM Dec13 Oct30 Oct09 Sep11 Jul12 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 3.50 20% 4.10    
5  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL Dec12 Nov09 Aug05 Jul07 May26 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  IN OPEN COURT Nov08 Oct25 May26 May04 Mar15 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
7  TITUBA Dec06 Sep18 Jun20 Jun02 Apr27 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 1.60 51% 1.00    
SCR  GIRLS GOT GAME Oct12 Sep16 Sep05 Aug14 Jul07 (j)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
 
HOU-9   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DULCIA Dec12 Mar21 Feb15 Feb04 Dec13 (pish danny)DIEGO V 121 15.00 11% 8.50    
2  CHANGE IT UP Nov29 Nov13 Oct19 Sep29 Aug16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Nov04 Oct16 Aug25 Jul28 Jun09 (diodoro robertin)PARKER L 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  GHOSTLY NIGHT Nov23 Sep28 Aug12 Jul18 Apr30 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 2.00    
5  INARI Dec04 Nov01 Oct17 Nov03 Jul08 (asmussen )TRIANA JR 123 4.00 18% 4.40    
6  SUCCESSFULPATH Jul13 Jun14 May17 Apr21 Mar30 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 121 6.00 14% 6.00    
7  STRIKE THE BELL Jun15 May26 May03 Mar01 Feb04 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 121 20.00    
8  LIL TOWN SIS Dec12 Nov23 Nov02 Sep28 Aug18 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
9  ANGEL KISS Dec12 Nov23 Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00    
 
HOU-10   01/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOCKED Nov13 Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 Jul04 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HALMSTAD Oct10 Mar24 Jan26 Dec09 Nov20 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CRAKEN JAX Dec05 Jun01 May10 Mar09 Jan04 (t)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 30.00    
4  COLONEL BARTON Dec26 Dec13 Nov13 Oct26 Oct12 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 30.00    
5  COUSIN LARRY Nov26 Oct12 Sep26 Sep11 Aug17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROCKING ROCKET Dec04 Nov14 Oct16 Jul14 Jun02 (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.00    
7  COPPER STORM Dec13 Nov19 Oct30 Oct10   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 57% 0.70    
8  ICEATUDE Nov29 Nov15 Sep18 Aug29 Aug05 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00    
9  LUCKYTABUCKY Sep12 Aug22 Jul04 Aug19   (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 8.00 10% 9.30    
10  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Nov29 Nov14 Oct12 Jul12 Jun07 (diodoro robertin)PARKER L 123 3.50    
11  BOBWHITE BOBBY Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 Oct12 Sep13 (young sco)TRIANA JR 123 15.00    
12  PERLIANO Dec04 Oct26 Oct02 Sep14 Aug16 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.