Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-4   WIN (8/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1)-(8/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/1)-(5/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/1)-(5/2/6/3)-(9/8/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/3)-(9/8/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/3)-(9/8/6/7)-(6/5/9/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/7)-(9/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/7)-(9/8/6/7)-(9/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/6/7)-(6/5/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/7)-(6/5/9/3)-(3/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/5/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/3)-(6/5/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/3)-(6/5/9/3)-(6/5/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/9/3)-(3/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/3)-(3/10/2)-(2/1/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/2)-(3/10/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/10/2)-(3/10/5/2)-(3/10/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/10/2)-(2/1/9/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/1/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/9/3/8)-(2/1/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/9/3/8)-(2/1/9/3/8)-(2/1/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TUP-4   11/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME TAYLOR Nov18 Oct14 Aug22 Jul27 Jul06 (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TEAM CONCEPT Oct06 Sep08 Apr09 Feb25 Jan28 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
FOR FUN Nov11 Sep26 Sep11 Sep02 May18 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
FAT AND FURIOUS Nov20 Sep28 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 (silva gabriel )REYES R 124 12.00    
HURRICAIN HUNTER Sep14 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 16% 5.30    
PRANCE Oct19 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 (brown r)MUIR SHAMAREE 124 6.00    
BADGER KITTEN Sep25 Sep01 Aug22 Jun29 Aug20 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
OCTANE (BRZ) Oct19 Aug04 Jul25 Jul06 Jun29 (silva jose)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50 47% 1.10    
 
TUP-5   11/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SYNNIN AND WINNIN Nov17 Oct26 Oct04 Sep21 Sep02 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
SHIP IT RED Jun30 May25 Apr04 Mar13 Feb27 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
MR. SHORTY Jul28 Jul20 Jul14 Jun22 May14 (christian)JENSEN P 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Nov20 Nov12 Jun26 May25 Apr19 (hernandez migu)REYES R 124 2.00    
SIMONSITO Nov14 Oct14 Sep16 Aug25 Jun29 (crowe shell)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 6.00 48% 1.10    
LIL MIRACLE MAN Nov12 Sep13 Jun30 Jun15 Apr11 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 5.00 7% 12.90    
SMOOTH PAPA Nov13 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 (fearon john)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 10.00    
SEA BREEZE BOY Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Aug30 Aug04 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   11/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APLOMBADO Nov21 Oct14 Oct06 Sep08 Aug25 (tor)VALENZUELA RAUL 124 12.00    
SCR  HORNS N HALOS Nov02 Sep15 Jul19 Jun08 Mar29 (guadarrama)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 15.00    
FAST AS FAST CAN B Apr30 Apr15 Feb13 Jan31 Sep28 (hernandez)IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
W. WHITEHOUSE Aug17 Mar12 Feb13 Oct15 Sep02 (domingu)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
COLONEL PUNCH Oct27 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 121 3.50    
CRYPTO CONSPIRACY Nov14 Oct06 Sep08 Aug17 Apr30 (valerio raymond)CRUZ M 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
WE GOT SWAG Nov14 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug31 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUINTECENTS Nov14 Oct04 Sep20 Aug25 Jun14 (betts nancy)REYES R 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCOPELLO Apr15 Mar13 Feb20 Feb05 Dec18 (soto anto)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-7   11/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRYDER Nov14 Oct04 Sep13 May11 Apr28 (rojero lu)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
BACK ALLEY CAT Feb14 Dec26 Dec11 Dec05 Nov05 (hernandez)IRONEYES R 124 20.00    
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Nov20 Oct14 Sep22 Sep16 Aug25 (christian)JENSEN P 124 20.00 5% 17.80    
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Nov20 Oct13 Sep25 Sep15 Sep07 (villamar candelari)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
MAD LUTHER Nov20 Aug03 Jul06 Jun29 Jun16 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
SURPRISE FASHION Nov14 Oct14 Sep29 Sep23 Sep13 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Nov14 Oct11 Oct04 Sep07 Aug25 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50    
SCR  JOCK TALK Sep21 Aug05 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 (krasner cin)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 8.00    
SOCAL RED Oct13 Sep30 Sep16 Sep09 Jul06 (gibson howard )REYES R 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  CALIFORNIA SWING Nov14 Sep25 Sep05 Aug10 Jul28 (woolley be)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 6.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE Nov14 Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 Aug08 (rosales jo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 3.50    
SCR  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Sep07 Sep01 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 12.00    
 
TUP-8   11/30/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE ALL AGREE May01 Mar28 Mar20 Feb29 Sep27 (alcoverde)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 15.00    
UNRIVALED QUEEN Nov13 Sep09 Aug10 Jul13 Jun16 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLESSED ANGEL Mar20 Mar11 Feb19 Dec08 Nov02 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 124 3.00 74% 0.30    
ACES OVER DEUCES Sep28 Sep13 Apr09 Mar19 Feb05 (tor)VALENZUELA RAUL 121 20.00    
SING A HAPPY SONG Nov19 Sep05 Aug01 Apr28 Apr06 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
NOEL'S ANGEL Jul27 Jun30 May24 May04 Feb09 (silva gab)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
BANGIE GO Aug24 Jul21 Jul14 Jun28 May04 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
SCR  COPPER BO TEN Sep30 Sep15 Jul10 Apr09 Feb20 (homer jason)REYES R 124 12.00    
SCR  FRISCO FRILLS Nov13 Sep14 Aug30 Aug17 Jul21 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50    
10  MANHATTAN CHERRY Jul07 Jun16 Apr03 Feb29 Feb01 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-9   11/30/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ENTRY Nov13 Sep29 Jul20 Jun22 Jun07 (ferguson cu)KHELAWAN KERRON 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
MOVE OVER (GB) Sep15 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun28 (toye joe)TOHILL S 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
AQUACAT Nov12 Oct24 Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 (adams hanna)CRUZ M 124 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  WODETON (FR) Nov12 Sep28 Sep02 Aug17 Jul12 (fuentes ruben)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
CAJUN TREASURE Nov20 Nov11 Sep13 Aug25 Aug17 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
VICENTE'S SHADOW Nov20 Oct19 Aug25 Jul07 Jul09 (stevens s)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
BRANNIGAN Nov15 Oct26 Oct18 Oct06 Sep28 (lavanway dayson)MONTALVO C 124 20.00    
RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Nov20 Nov12 Sep15 Aug04 Jun07 (rojero lu)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER SHANDEE Nov14 Oct14 Oct06 Sep29 Sep23 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 14% 6.10    
10  FLY NIGHTLY Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 Sep05 Aug25 (gangidino lisa)MAWING A 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.