Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Thursday - November 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (8/10/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/7)-(8/10/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/7)-(8/10/4/7)-(8/10/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/4/7)-(7/1/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4/7)-(7/1/8/6)-(6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
GP-2   WIN (7/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6)-(7/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/8/6)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/6)-(6/4/5)-(1/4/2/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
GP-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/4/2/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(1/4/2/9/6)-(9/2/6/12/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
GP-4   WIN (1/4/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/9/6)-(1/4/2/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/9/6)-(1/4/2/9/6)-(1/4/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/2/9/6)-(9/2/6/12/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/9/6)-(9/2/6/12/4)-(7/2/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
GP-5   WIN (9/2/6/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/6/12/4)-(9/2/6/12/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/6/12/4)-(9/2/6/12/4)-(9/2/6/12/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/6/12/4)-(7/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/6/12/4)-(7/2/3)-(6/3/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
GP-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(6/3/8/2)-(2/7/9/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
GP-7   WIN (6/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2)-(6/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/8/2)-(2/7/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/7/9/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/5/8)-(2/7/9/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/5/8)-(2/7/9/5/8)-(2/7/9/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   11/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL Sep20 Aug02 Jun16 May27 Apr14 (tagg barclay)PANICI LUCA 121 4.50    
TREE C'S KAI Oct25 Oct12 Aug09 Jul05 Jun16 (puckett dwight )ROJAS RENZO 121 12.00    
DUBAWI WOWIE Sep14 Jul04 May04 Apr06   (abreu jorge )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
BIANKA HEART Nov03 Oct13 Sep06 Aug11 Jul14 (vaz bertrell)MARAGH RAJIV 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KHOZY TURTLE Oct25 Sep07 Aug18     (sims n)REYES LEONEL 121 30.00    
BOOT'S ON THE MOON Oct25 Sep27 Sep06 May05 Apr18 (spatz b)JARAMILLO E 121 5.00    
STARSHIP DISCOVERY         (dwoskin stev)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
EFFERVESCENT Oct11 Sep14       (ramsey nolan)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
BENET Sep19 Aug30 Jun06 May09   (hiles jeff )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 10.00    
10  BRITISH EMPRESS Nov03 Aug18 Jul21 Jun27 May05 (robson lau)VAN DRAYDEN 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
 
GP-2   11/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME DREAM WITH ME Oct26 Sep27 Aug25 Aug02 Nov24 (spatz ronald )ORTIZ JR 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  FIGHT TIL DAWN Sep27 Aug31 Aug02 Jul20 Jun28 (gaffney emm)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 6.00    
TEOFIMO Apr14         (negrete jav)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 15.00    
SCR  PALPITO Oct26 Sep28 May23     (garcia)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
BLAZING TYREEK Aug16 Jul19 Jul06 Mar29 Mar14 (hurtak daniel)ROJAS RENZO 122 20.00    
NIMMO Oct18 Sep28 Aug10 Jul13 Jun30 (lee f)PANICI LUCA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCALLYWAG (GB) Nov08 May27 Apr28 Apr12 Mar22 (gallegos jos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
FLAT CAP Nov08 Oct18 Aug17 Jul26 Jun16 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LAST SHALL B FIRST Oct12         (christie c)BATISTA X 122 30.00    
 
GP-3   11/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR OF THE BEAST Sep29 Sep13 Aug03 Jul12 Jun27 (maragh collin)MARAGH RAJIV 120 4.00    
VINICIO Nov10 Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 Aug17 (negrete jav)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 6.00    
TIZ RUDDY BEN Nov09 Oct13 Oct04 Aug31 Aug11 (bennett seym)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
OURS FOR SURE Nov10 Oct20 Sep15 Aug10 Jul12 (david carlo)GONZALEZ MELVIS 113 2.50 13% 6.40    
SEVERANCE Jan06 Dec29 Dec07 Nov03   (cazares laura)REYES LEONEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPLIT STRIKE May23 Apr18 Nov04 Oct08 Sep04 (lewis l)PANICI LUCA 120 3.00 63% 0.60    
CAJUN'S CHOICE Nov17 Oct25 Oct06 Sep14 Aug31 (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
 
GP-4   11/28/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30.5K) 2 F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XENON Nov09 Oct12       (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 35% 1.80    
NEBLINA Nov09 Oct18 Sep21     (gonzal)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 5.00 9% 10.30    
IN OTHER WORDS Oct12 Aug30       (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 6.00    
LA DINAMITA Oct27 Oct05       (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 118 8.00 32% 2.10    
INSTAGRAND GIRL Oct05 Aug16       (tessore brun)MORELOS E 118 12.00    
SPATULA         (minguet ramon)PEREZ EDGAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT Oct18 Jul27       (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 118 8.00    
SCR  GWENNIETHEBUTCHER Nov02 Oct13       (miller herb)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 20.00    
KYRIAKI         (catanese joseph )LEON SONNY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHESHIMAINTENANCE Oct13         (d'angelo f)PANICI LUCA 118 10.00    
11  DIXIE ESCAPE Oct27         (delgado jorg)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 12.00    
 
GP-5   11/28/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($61K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR Nov02 Oct10 Aug30 Jul19 Jun22 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 122 12.00    
TIFFANY GOLD Oct19 Aug04 Jul13 May12 Apr12 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 17% 4.80    
PALEO'S PRINCESS Nov01 Aug24 Jul25 Jun07 Apr19 (hernandez s)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
DEFLECTION Oct19 Sep13 Jul05 Jun09 Apr20 (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DEFINITE DIVA Oct04 Sep08 Jul20 May18 Apr20 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
BODACIOUS BREN Oct25 Sep27 Aug04 Jul27 Jun08 (gallegos jose )REYES LEONEL 122 15.00 15% 5.70    
CAMILA T (IRE) Jul07 Feb10 Nov04 Oct04 Aug19 (avila c)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
BREEZERO Aug30 Jul21 Jun01 Mar13 Feb04 (joseph a)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00    
ORDEROFTHEPHOENIX (IRE) Oct25 Sep04 Aug24     (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
10  CHECK THE GRADE Nov01 Sep20 Aug24 Jul13 Aug06 (negrete javier)PANICI LUCA 120 20.00    
11  MIYAKO Oct07 Sep01 Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 (lynch brian )ZAYAS J 118 4.00    
12  GITA'S MIRACLE Nov01 Sep03       (dwoskin steven)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  BEAUTY OF THE NILE Oct31 Sep19 Jul25 Jul03 Jun11 (morey will)VAN DRAYDEN 122 15.00    
 
GP-6   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WITH KINDNESS Oct27 Sep29       (fawkes david)BRAVO J 118 2.50    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of AGGREGATOR by GRAYDAR)
JUST A PHILLY Oct27         (braddy david)JARAMILLO E 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
  (by GIRVIN out of ONE HOT DRAMA by BIG DRAMA)
CATARINA         (spatz rona)VAN DRAYDEN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of COTTINA by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  SECRET VICTORY Oct12         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
  (by ROGUEISH out of KIZUNA by DEEP IMPACT (JPN))
TIME LEAP Oct13         (danner kelse)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 10.00    
  (by TIMELINE out of MY BRIA by JUMP START)
STARSHIP POLARIS         (dwoskin stev)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50    
  (by GIRVIN out of BRANDENBURG by DUNKIRK)
MARTY'S GAL         (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by KHOZAN out of MISS MAY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
GRADE A         (o'dwyer jeremiah)EGAN DAVID 118 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DOWNTOWN DRIFTER by DEVIL HIS DUE)
 
GP-7   11/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT LIAM Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 May26 Aug17 (pompay terri)MORELOS E 121 4.50    
CANTARO Nov01 Sep20 Aug18 Jun27 May24 (garoff)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOYAL LOUIE Nov08 Apr21 Mar23 Mar02 Feb15 (sweezey kent)REYES LEONEL 123 4.00 19% 4.10    
MATTA Oct24 Oct03 Aug16 Jul14 May17 (trombetta michae)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
CADAMOSTO (IRE) Oct25 Aug06 Jul01 May21 Apr21 (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50    
THREE ZERO Nov10 Oct12 Aug22 Aug15 Jul13 (david a)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
SELECTO Nov08 Oct11 Aug18 Jul19 Jan14 (cadahia ca)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 121 30.00    
JET WINGS Nov08 Apr11 Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 (maragh a)PILARES YAK 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-8   11/28/2024 4950ft TURF RC11 FIRM Wait Purse ($115K) 2 F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBLIGING Oct26 Sep29 Aug18 Jul13 Jun01 (delgado jorge)EGAN DAVID 118 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUMOR ME COLONEL by COLONEL JOHN)
CIVETTA Oct06 Sep08 Aug10     (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
WINNING STREEP Nov02 Oct13 Sep08 Aug15   (servis c)BRAVO J 118 20.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SHOP AGAIN by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  SAIL THESEVEN SEAS Oct24 Sep28 Aug31 Aug03 Jun22 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of IN THE NAVY NOW by MIDSHIPMAN)
BRUTALLY HONEST Oct19         (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00 7% 14.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YGRITTE by TAPIT)
IT'S WITCHCRAFT Oct26 Aug29 Aug02 Jun22   (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 118 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of LADY'S ISLAND by GREATNESS)
BELLAVININO Oct26 Sep08 Aug29 Jul28   (joseph saf)VAN DRAYDEN 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by GET STORMY out of LANCELOTS LADY by GAUNTLET)
SMILE PO Nov03 Oct05 Aug30     (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GRIN by FLATTER)
RAMSEY POND Oct26 Sep11 Aug29 Jul19   (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 6.00 8% 11.70    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SURFS EDGE by MALIBU MOON)
10  SWEET SASH Sep14 Aug16       (cric)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MEANT TOBE MINE by KANTHAROS)
11  LEMONPEPPASTEPPA Oct26 Aug28 Jul28 Jul13   (delgado jorge)PANICI LUCA 118 15.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SARANDA by SMART STRIKE)
12  SMART UNION Oct13 Aug29       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SMART MISSION by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  HELLO HELLO HELLO Oct26 Oct05 Aug31 Jul19   (spatz b)REYES LEONEL 120 30.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of MYSTIC MIRACLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.