Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - November 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(4/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(4/6/2/7)-(9/10/3/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7)-(4/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/7)-(9/10/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/7)-(9/10/3/5/7)-(8/1/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-4   WIN (9/10/3/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/3/5/7)-(9/10/3/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/3/5/7)-(9/10/3/5/7)-(9/10/3/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/3/5/7)-(8/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/3/5/7)-(8/1/4/5)-(4/1/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-5   WIN (8/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/5)-(8/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/5)-(8/1/4/5)-(8/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/4/5)-(4/1/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/5)-(6/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/7)-(2/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/7)-(2/8/7/6)-(5/8/11/10/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
FL-8   WIN (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/6)-(5/8/11/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-9   WIN (5/8/11/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/11/10/3)-(5/8/11/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/11/10/3)-(5/8/11/10/3)-(5/8/11/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOROTHYS HAPPINESS Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 Jul22   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  PHILHARMONIC Oct23 Aug18 Jul14 May24 Apr19 (zit)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 8.00    
SCR  FINALIST Oct30 Oct07 Aug23 Jul19 Jun25 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 15.00    
4  MARTY'S MAGIC Oct23 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Jun21 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  D'ONT LOSE CRUZ Oct23 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul10 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Oct23 Oct01 Sep17 Aug28 Aug13 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
SCR  LOVE THAT BIRD Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 Aug28 Aug13 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 6.00    
 
FL-2   11/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUTSIE Sep30 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Jul16 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00    
2  FATHER WALSH Oct08 Sep30 Aug26 Aug12 Jul29 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 124 8.00 6% 15.20    
3  ALMENDRO Oct14 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 124 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  BANYAN BREEZE Oct23 Oct10 Aug10 Jul01 Jun12 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  IN SKY WE TRUST Sep30 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun11 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 1.80    
6  BREAKING STONES Oct23 Oct08 Sep10 May22 Apr13 (barrow pau)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
7  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 Aug28 Jul17 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
 
FL-3   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAUGHTER Oct23 Oct07 Sep23 Aug28 Aug06 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
SCR  INTENTIOUS Oct09 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun25 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 6.00    
2  LADY QUINN Sep10 Aug21 Aug07 Jun18 Nov22 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
3  LOVE MY CANDY Oct07 Sep18 Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 5.00    
4  SPECIAL PAL Oct22 Oct07 Sep10 Aug14 Jul17 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  BAD CONNECTION Oct30 Sep24 Aug05 Jul09 Jun26 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 12.00    
6  STARR'S DELIGHT Oct22 Sep23 Aug14 Aug05 Jul04 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
7  SCOTT ALAIA Jul22 May04 Apr23 Mar20 Mar12 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-4   11/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMOANE Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 Sep02 Aug21 (lopez ar)DAVIS A 124 20.00    
2  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Oct21 Oct09 Sep11 Sep02 Aug05 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 10.00    
3  GEORGIE'S LADIES Oct23 Oct09 Aug19 Jul17 Jun19 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50 8% 12.00    
4  TRIVIA Oct30 Oct15 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00    
5  BLUE EYED WARRIOR Oct23 Sep11 Aug12 Jul24 Jul10 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 7% 13.80    
6  LET'S MAGA Oct30 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug21 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
7  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Oct23 Oct07 Sep11 Aug12 Jul30 (ferraro antho)DIAZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DEVILLY Oct23 Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
9  FAST FRAN Oct15 Sep25 Aug14 Nov08 Oct18 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 49% 1.10    
10  JUST STAY HOME Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 Jun03 Apr29 (loaiza il)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.50 13% 7.00    
 
FL-5   11/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING DRIVE Oct14 Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jun26 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  REINER Sep17 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
3  COLTEN GOES Sep18 Aug13 Jul17 Jun25 Jun03 (smith jul)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 10.00    
4  RINGGOOD Oct29 Oct22 Sep30 Sep23 Sep10 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ASAP RESTORATION Oct30 Oct21 Oct08 Sep30 Sep10 (ron)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  THIRTY OYSTERS Oct28 Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 124 6.00    
7  BARFLY Oct29 Oct09 Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00    
8  POT OF GOLD Oct29 Oct21 Oct02 Sep02 Aug21 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
FL-6   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOOL KATHMANDU Oct21 Sep25 Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 124 6.00 ★    
1A  BROKENHEARTED Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 Sep18 Aug23 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  FORWARD MOTION Oct22 Oct08 Sep16 Aug12 Jul08 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
SCR  NOTTOWAY Oct29 Aug29 Aug11 Jun11 May27 (reed lis)DAVIS A 124 3.50    
4  CASHEL KITTEN Oct23 Oct01 Sep03 Aug13 Jul14 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  SMOOTH TALES Oct14 Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANGELUS WARRIOR Aug29 Aug01 May28 May18 May04 (loaiza ilmar)BROWN DALTON 124 6.00    
7  FIGHTER KITE Oct14 Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 124 10.00    
8  DEE BO Oct29 Oct07 Jun18 May28 May13 (davis edmund)HARKIE K 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
9  R BOY CHEEKUM Oct28 Oct08 Sep25 Jul23 Jul10 (thompson marcus)FRET STEVEN 124 20.00    
 
FL-7   11/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  VIOLENT SWING Oct21 Sep23       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 6.00    
SCR  PROFITABILITY Oct30 Oct14 Sep30 Aug20 Aug06 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 6.00    
2  PROPHETIC Oct21 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00 9% 10.00    
3  ALPHA SONNY Oct28 Oct15 Sep23 May25 Apr28 (lopez d)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
SCR  STILL A SOLDIER Oct15 May10 Mar31     (antonacci p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00    
5  AZ U CHASE ME Oct21 Sep29 Aug02 Jun29 Jun09 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 4.00 13% 6.90    
6  HEY TOBY Oct25 Sep16 Aug06 Jul18 Jun14 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  ERIC FROM MIAMI Sep01 Aug06 Jul24 Jul14 May27 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  INCANTATION Oct21 Oct02 Aug16 Apr02 Mar03 (bond ja)COA J 124 5.00    
 
FL-8   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Shesastonecoldfox Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDYLL GOSSIP Oct21 Sep23 Aug26 Jul30   (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 118 2.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of COZZY SPRING by SPRING AT LAST)
2  QUEEN ATLAS Oct22         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by WAR DANCER out of QUEENARDINI by BERNARDINI)
3  BALD KITTEN Oct07 Aug14       (lecesse michae)COA J 118 10.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of TWICE FOR HONEY by BLAME)
SCR  I'M PRETTY GOOD Nov06 Oct28       (reed a)PEREZ E 114 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of PRETTY IN PLATINUM by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  WHO'S GOT THE TIP Sep23 Sep09       (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 118 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of NO PESO NO SAYSO by SCAT DADDY)
6  BROOKLYN RHAPSODY Oct02 Aug17       (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of HEAVEN'S HUMOR by DROSSELMEYER)
7  HONORABLE BECKY Sep24         (bartlett)DAVIS A 118 6.00 13% 6.40    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of HAUGHTY GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
8  APRIL STORM Oct28         (mastin kathl)HARKIE K 118 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of CITIZEN MATZO by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
FL-9   11/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAME MISCONDUCT Oct14 Sep30 Jun11 May17 Apr27 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.00    
2  PERNO Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Jul05 May17 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 121 6.00    
3  SOX FOR DAUGHTERS Oct14 Sep30 Sep18 Aug26 Jul24 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BONNE CHANCE Sep20 Sep02 Jul20 Jun22 Jan05 (levine bruce)COA J 121 4.00    
5  RANGER BLUE Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00 37% 1.70    
6  SHE SPEAKS WELL Oct24 Sep25 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 (maver eduardo)ROHENA M 124 20.00    
7  BOLD FORCE Oct14 Jun03 Feb21 Feb01 Dec30 (grusmark kar)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
8  CROAGH PATRICK Oct28 Oct14 Sep25 Sep04 Aug26 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
9  CURLIN'S HUSTLE Oct14 Sep18 Aug26 Jul21 Jul04 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 8.00    
10  MANNY PENNY Oct28 Sep17 Sep02 Jul28 Jun29 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  GUNMAN Oct14 Jul08 Jun24 May21 May06 (williams o)DE EMANUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.