Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - November 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (4/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8)-(4/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/8)-(7/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6/8)-(7/3/1/2)-(9/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-2   WIN (7/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2)-(7/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/1/2)-(9/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/2)-(9/6/1)-(3/1/7/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-3   WIN (9/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/1)-(9/6/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/1)-(9/6/3/1/8)-(9/6/3/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/6/1)-(3/1/7/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/6/1)-(3/1/7/8/4)-(1/2/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/1/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/8/4)-(3/1/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/8/4)-(3/1/7/8/4)-(3/1/7/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/7/8/4)-(1/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/8/4)-(1/2/5)-(3/1/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/1/7/8)-(6/4/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (3/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/8)-(3/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/8)-(3/1/7/8)-(3/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/8)-(6/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/8)-(6/4/2/1)-(1/8/10/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (6/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/1)-(1/8/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/1)-(1/8/10/7)-(6/10/3/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (1/8/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/10/7)-(1/8/6/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/10/7)-(1/8/6/10/7)-(1/8/6/10/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/10/7)-(6/10/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/10/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/3/9/2)-(6/10/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/3/9/2)-(6/10/3/9/2)-(6/10/3/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALTESSE Oct19 Aug17 May30 May17 Apr13 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 2.00    
SCR  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Jul09 May28 May20 May07 Feb08 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50    
3  EUROSTORM Sep25 Aug20 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 12% 7.20    
4  ITSNOTMYJOB Apr13 Mar23 Feb24 Jan05 Dec18 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50 66% 0.50    
5  HOT PATOOTIE Oct18 Sep24 Aug19 Jul18 Jul01 (govea cesa)RAMIREZ JR 115 8.00    
6  BET ON BOURBON Sep10 Aug05 Mar03 Feb03 Dec19 (alfortish sean)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SCRAPBOOK Oct19 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul01 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00    
8  SAY WHAT Jul19 Jun28 May17 Feb08 Jan26 (ward ronnie)PEREZ CARLOS 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-2   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAUX BINA Oct19 Sep26 Sep18 Jul27 Jul13 (gonzalez isai)VARGAS P 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
2  KATIE'S C Jul01 Jun11 May22 May13 Apr18 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAYMAN QUEEN Mar11 Feb10 Jan25 Jan11 Dec09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 10.00 15% 5.60    
4  INDY LOVER Oct19 Jul26 Jun22 May15 May01 (morrell cyn)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 10.00    
5  THE RAGE OF ART Oct19 Aug28 Jun19 Jun08 May21 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.50    
6  APRIORITY CATCH Jun22 May17 Apr20 Feb23 Dec27 (thomas lee)MAGNON H 117 3.00    
7  FUNTIMEGIRL Oct17 Sep16 Aug13 Jul15 Apr26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
DED-3   11/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIN AND TONIC Oct19         (garcia luis)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of TENSAS FLATT GIN by FLATTER)
2  BOSTON ELLE Oct12         (bryant george)BIRZER E 120 20.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of SHOW ELLE THESTAGE by SILVER TRAIN)
3  SPECIAL STRIKE Oct12 Sep02 Aug21     (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 5.00 ★    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of STRIKINGLY SMART by UNION RAGS)
4  TIZZIRA         (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
  (by SKY FLIGHT out of TIZ GOOD by TIZWAY)
5  DEAL BREAKING DAME         (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 20.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of WESTERN THEME by STORM AND A HALF)
6  PITCHATIZZY Oct12         (dunn henry)RAMIREZ JR 115 8.00 5% 18.00    
  (by OXBOW out of PITCHER by LION TAMER)
7  STARR PRODUCTION         (robbins ray)POMPELL L 120 10.00    
  (by RUN PRODUCTION out of JUST WILLOW by BIND)
8  JENNY'S DAY Oct12 Jul05       (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 5.00 ★    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of DEV MO by UNCLE MO)
9  SWEET MORGAN LEIGH Oct11 Aug31 Aug03     (ward ronnie)BARRERA J 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of MISS STONESTREET by MR. GREELEY)
10  AT FIRST LIGHT Jun28         (castille carro)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
SCR  SHE'S A BANDIT Oct25 Aug09       (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 3.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of JUST A BANDIT by TIME BANDIT)
SCR  SHE'S MAGNIFICENT Oct25         (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 5.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of ELEGANT CHANCE by WIRE ME COLLECT)
 
DED-4   11/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTORED DEAL Mar21 Feb17 Feb02 Jan04 Dec20 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
2  FATHER GOOSE Apr21 Mar22 Mar05 Feb02 Jan18 (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
3  SHARP CHARLIE Oct10 Aug26 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  BLACK SWORD Jun01 May04 Feb03 Dec13 Nov18 (averett ronni)VARGAS P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRUNT Oct11 Aug29 Aug11 May31 May04 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
6  IRON IN THE FIRE Oct11 Aug10 Jul04 May17 Apr19 (landry r)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
7  LAURI'S WISH Oct11 Jul18 May31 May08 Apr20 (thomas lee)MELANCON JANSEN 120 6.00 12% 7.00    
8  STOVALL Aug03 Jul11 Jun07 May10 Apr27 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 5.00 9% 9.60    
9  GEAUX SUGAR Oct10 Jun21 May10 Feb24 Feb03 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
 
DED-5   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY My Trusty Cat Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPITURES ACTOR Sep29 Sep05 Jul27 Jul13 May25 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 54% 0.80    
  (by TAPITURE out of UPSTAGE by CURLIN)
2  MRS. MENDELSSOHN Oct26         (landry r)THORNTON G 116 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  QUITE THE CATCH Oct11 Aug31 Aug02 Jul12   (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 5.00    
  (by REQUITE out of EXCEEDEXPECTATIONS by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  JET PACK Oct02         (ashford ray)BIRZER E 114 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of THUNDER SHOWER by TIZNOW)
5  NOMORETANLINES Oct09 Aug31       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MARY DELANEY by HENNESSY)
6  CASUALLY CLASSY Oct26 Sep28 Sep12 Aug24   (litfin veron)BARRERA J 116 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ENLIGHTENMENT by STREET SENSE)
SCR  BLESS THE BROKEN Oct18 Jul05       (courville ri)MAGNON H 116 3.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of THE NIGHTINGALE by TAPIT)
 
DED-6   11/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Jean Lafitte Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERGHEIM Sep29 Sep05 Aug17 Jul12   (gelner j)MCMAHON J 116 2.00 22% 3.60    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of COOL TEN GRAND by MALIBU MOON)
2  COAL BATTLE Oct12 Sep08 Jul25     (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 116 4.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of WOLFBLADE by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  A MILLION MOONS Oct11 Aug31 Aug13 Jul22   (johnson hen)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 123 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by MO TOM out of GLOAMINGSKY by SKY MESA)
4  ROMEO SPIKES Oct18         (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 114 20.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MIMI'S BELLA ALARM by SOUND THE ALARM)
SCR  MAGNOLIA WEST Sep26 Sep14 Aug13 Jul22   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of WORSTCASESCENARIO by FORBIDDEN APPLE)
6  CONTRABANDIST Oct10 Aug29 Aug03     (noel dane)POMPELL L 116 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUMMERTIME GREEN by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  MAP OF DONEGAL Oct10         (noel da)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
8  WARRIOR AND A HALF Oct26 Oct10       (landry ray)FUSILIER C 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of HALF A SUGAR by HALF OURS)
 
DED-7   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Treasure Chest Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD BOUT HILARY Sep22 Aug22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun09 (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of WILD BOUT TIFFANY by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  AUTISM COMMUNITY Aug27 Aug10 Jun20 May29 May06 (wong jonatha)MAGNON H 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REXY by TEOFILO)
3  PERFECT WISH Sep29 May27 Apr26 Apr05 Jan27 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 119 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAN YOU TALK by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  TENSAS CANDY Aug31 Jul16 Jun01 May15 Mar24 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 15.00 7% 12.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISCHIEVOUS BELLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  EMILY'S BULLET Oct19 Jul20 Jun01 May03 Mar23 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of BESSIE'S BULLET by WANDO)
6  FREE LIKE A GIRL Oct11 Sep14 Aug23 Jun29 May03 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 119 0.80 62% 0.60    
  (by EL DEAL out of FLASHY PRIZE by FLASHY BULL)
SCR  BATTLE CRY Sep21 Jun23 Dec03 Oct14 Sep16 (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 119 5.00    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of FORT CARILLON by RUNAWAY GROOM)
8  ABUNDANCIA Aug17 Jul07 Apr27 Feb22 Oct27 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 119 6.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CRY TO KAT'S ME by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
DED-8   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Delta Mile Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCHUPONASTAR May27 May04 Mar23 Feb03 Dec09 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TOUCH MAGIC by LION HEART)
2  TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR Oct11 Sep14 Aug03 Jul04 Jun01 (eschete nason)ROSIER R 124 20.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of TDZ MANDYCORRIENDA by EL CORREDOR)
3  ALEX JOON Oct23 Sep14 Jul06 Jun18 May18 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 20.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SUN SALUTATION by INCLUDE)
4  THE DONEGAL CLAN Oct11 Sep14 Jul06 May27 Apr06 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 119 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AUNTJENN by UNCLE MO)
SCR  MACHINE GUN MAN Sep04 Aug11 Jul06 Jun07 May10 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 121 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of SIEGE GUN by CONGRATS)
6  KOMOREBINO OMOIDE (JPN) Oct12 Aug23 Aug04 Jun29 May27 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.50 ★    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of DECENNIAL by TRIPPI)
7  HAP HOT Oct17 Sep26 Sep05 Aug24 Aug11 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of FANFEST by FANTASTIC LIGHT)
8  RUN CLASSIC Sep29 Jul06 Feb24 May04 Apr08 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of PLEDGE PIN by CHATAIN)
9  BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Oct25 Sep25 Aug31 Aug02 Jul06 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 119 10.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of HILDEGARDE by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  CHROME BABY Aug02 Jul06 Jun18 May03 Apr06 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 124 8.00 5% 18.60    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of STAR SUPER by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  BRITE OUTLOOK Oct11 Aug10 Jul06 Jun22 May10 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BETTY BRITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
DED-9   11/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACEE Jun27 Apr26 Apr06 Mar13 Feb25 (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
2  BE A BANDIT Oct23 Sep09 Aug17 Jul13 Jul01 (zenon shelton)PEREZ CARLOS 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  AUNT IRENE Oct28 Oct21 Oct01 Aug21 Aug13 (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  ANN'S STORM Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 Jun25 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 10.00    
5  MUMBLEBEE Oct23 Sep22 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 5.00    
6  FORT POLK Oct18 Sep24 Jun17 May21 Mar24 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  BITSY C C LIL GIRL Aug17 Aug01 Jun20 May30 Apr19 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 15.00    
8  MIDNIGHT TRIP Sep17 Aug12 Aug02 Jul16 Jul01 (melancon do)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00    
9  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Oct30 Sep22 Sep07 Dec28 Nov30 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 8.00 7% 12.50    
10  CASHEW Aug17 Aug02 Jul12 Jun08 May24 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Oct30 Jul31 Jun18 Jun04 May27 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.