Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - October 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(4/1/6/3)-(8/10/1/9/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(8/10/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(8/10/1/9/5)-(5/8/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/10/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/10/1/9/5)-(8/10/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/10/1/9/5)-(8/10/1/9/5)-(8/10/1/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/10/1/9/5)-(5/8/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/1/9/5)-(5/8/7/2)-(9/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/7/2)-(9/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/2)-(9/3/4)-(3/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (9/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/4)-(9/3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/4)-(9/3/2/1/4)-(9/3/2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/3/4)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4)-(3/7/4)-(7/4/5/3/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(7/4/5/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/4/5/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3/8)-(7/4/5/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3/8)-(7/4/5/3/8)-(7/4/5/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   10/24/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUNCH IT MARGARET Aug15         (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  EXPLOSIVE LOVE Sep19         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
  (by VOLATILE out of LAST TRUE LOVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  COVE BAY BOY         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of PRINCESS SARIAH by SUN KING)
4  MY DETROIT CITY Sep10         (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DEANIES DANCER by LION HEARTED)
5  QUILLING         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ITEM by ORIENTATE)
SCR  GOOD FRIDAY MAN         (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRIDAY MASS by REDEEMED)
7  KING PITTHEUS         (albright r)FLORES E 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of MISS MANIJEH by COASTAL STORM)
 
PEN-2   10/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINI MARTIN Jul05 Jun08 May07 Mar17 Feb17 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  AMUSING MISCHIEF Oct02 Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May28 (graham edward)CORA D 121 3.00    
3  BONDED (IRE) Oct03 Sep18 Aug31 Aug24 Jul26 (martin r)MENA E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  MEMORY BOUQUET Oct08 Aug23 Aug16 Jul31 Jul05 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 52% 0.90    
5  COUPERIN Sep26 Aug03 Jul18 Jul03 Jun15 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 4.00    
6  GOING AT IT Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 (wolfe jr)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 6% 16.20    
7  WE DONT NEED ROADS Aug30 Aug18 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00    
8  IMPETUD Sep14 Aug31 Jun23 Jun02 May12 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
 
PEN-3   10/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ SPEEDY Sep18 Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 4.50 9% 10.00    
2  SWEEPIN HARD May22 May04 Mar06 Feb16 Nov17 (jacklin s)FLORES E 121 50.00    
3  MUSKOKA GIANT Aug30 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun06 (beattie s)VARGAS L 121 12.00    
4  DON'T QUESTION ME Oct10 Sep20 Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 (albright r)CORA D 121 10.00    
5  HE'S FANCY FREE Oct16 Aug28 Aug16 Jul19 Jul10 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LANGLEE AVENUE Oct05 Sep02 Aug18 Jul10 Jun25 (mckenzie da)ROBLES O 114 6.00    
7  BAG OF GOLD Aug30 Aug16 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
8  ZAMBONI WARRIOR Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 Jul17 Jun17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
9  CHUCKA MOON Aug15 Aug02 Jun13 May04 Mar15 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00 6% 15.80    
10  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Sep18 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jun16 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  EYES ELEVEN Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 (mancilla car)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00    
SCR  CODE ENFORCER Sep30 Sep20 Sep04 Jul14 Jun28 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 118 10.00    
 
PEN-4   10/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUR ETHAN CHARLES Sep12 Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.50    
2  BEJUCO Oct04 Aug16 Jul25 Jun26 May23 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SECRET SATURDAY Sep21 Sep13 Aug15 Jul24 Jul07 (deiter kell)ROBLES O 113 10.00    
4  CALI HEAT Feb01 Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 Sep30 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
5  BILL OF RIGHTS Sep29 Aug03 Jul27 Jan05 Dec01 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  SOCIALLY AWKWARD Sep18 Dec27 Dec07 Nov10   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
7  LUCKY LINUS Aug16 Jul25 Jul08 Jun20 Jun04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAT MATTERS Sep28 Aug31 Aug18 Jul24 Jul12 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 8.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  RUN HAPPY PAPPY Aug24 Jul19 May20 Nov25 Nov02 (spina cha)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
10  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Oct02 Jul10 Jun18 May29 May02 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00    
 
PEN-5   10/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAULA'S SURPRISE Sep24 Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 Nov22 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 118 5.00 ★    
2  AFRICAN ANGEL Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Sep14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 ★    
3  GIRVINIZED Oct09 Jul04 May15 Apr25 Mar14 (allen fer)ROBLES O 114 4.00 20% 4.00    
4  SHE'S A LINO Sep21 Sep03 Aug22 Aug02 Jun24 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOHEMIA BABE Oct08 Sep10 Aug21 Jul24 Jul02 (mercedes pedro)AGUILAR JEAN 116 12.00    
6  DUST BUNNY Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 May30 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 30.00    
7  FAYTASTIC Sep09 Jul04 Jun12 May01 Apr17 (iannotti thoma)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
SCR  MARY'S REWARD Sep16 Aug22 May09 Apr10 Mar15 (crane clovis)BEATO INOEL 118 15.00    
9  LADY LIBERTY BELLE Sep19 Aug23 Jul31     (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
10  LADY ANNABELLE Oct09 Sep24 Aug28 Aug15   (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 30.00    
 
PEN-6   10/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VESELSKY Sep29 Sep08 Aug24 Aug03 Jun14 (singh som)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
2  SILVER STYLE Sep26 Sep04 Aug08 Jul18 Jun07 (rodriguez)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00    
3  LAFITTE'S FLEET Sep21 Jul19 Apr13 Mar10 Mar01 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  BRETT'S WORLD Sep20 Aug24 Jul24 Jul04 Jun20 (kreiser tim)RAMOS O 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Oct12 Sep27 Aug01 Jul25 Jul11 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 121 12.00    
6  TROPHY ROOM Sep20 Aug30 Aug15 Jul24 Jun24 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00    
7  AMPERSAND Aug28 Aug01 Jun27 Jun19 May22 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
8  LIVING WATER Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 Aug07 Jul17 (kravets bru)ROBLES O 116 10.00    
SCR  STARLITE WALKER Sep19 Aug10 Jul17 Jun27 May23 (graci a)AGUILAR M 121 4.50    
 
PEN-7   10/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUTICAL NATURE Aug15 Jul11 Jun06 Mar06 Feb01 (ippolito ma)RAMOS O 125 15.00    
2  MAHOMES MONEY Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Jul21 Mar23 (captan bassam)CORA D 125 15.00    
3  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Sep11 Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 May29 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  CHAIN REACTION Sep30 Sep11 Aug23 Jul19 Jul05 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Oct11 Oct02 Sep24 Aug28 Aug15 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 120 4.50 9% 10.10    
6  RAHMER Oct16 Sep30 Aug01 Jul11 Jun29 (diaz jor)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
7  MR PHIL Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 125 3.00 39% 1.60    
8  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Aug23 Jul19 Jun20 May08 Mar15 (kravets b)VARGAS L 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MISTER MOORE Sep20 Sep01 Aug21 Aug11 Jul23 (flores-coba f)RIVERA D 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.