Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - October 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (6/3/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/1/7)-(6/3/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (6/3/9/1/7)-(3/2/1/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/8)-(3/2/1/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/8)-(3/2/1/7/8)-(3/2/1/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (3/2/1/8)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/8)-(3/7/4)-(8/2/5/7) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-3   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(8/2/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (8/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/7)-(8/2/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/7)-(8/2/5/7)-(8/2/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/2/5/7)-(1/6/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MNR-5   WIN (1/6/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/5/9)-(1/6/8/5/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/5/9)-(1/6/8/5/9)-(1/6/8/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MNR-6   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/2)-(3/4/7)-(7/5/2/6/4) 60 $2.00 $120 
MNR-7   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(7/5/2/6/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (7/5/2/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6/4)-(7/5/2/6/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6/4)-(7/5/2/6/4)-(7/5/2/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   10/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE MONSTER IRUS Oct08 Sep24 Dec31 Dec06 Nov22 (cordero-lopez)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
ARDEN AR Oct02 May03 Apr21 Apr04 Mar23 (copland brent)AVILES YAN 123 2.00    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of TIZEXX by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
OGEMA BAY Sep13 Aug13 Jul20 Dec30 Nov08 (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
TEST YOUR FAITH Oct08 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (wade justin)VEGA L 123 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TAYLORS IRISH by DREWMAN)
MISS MELODRAMATIC Jun01 May10 Apr19 Sep02 Aug12 (lopez-olmeda r)GILBERT KYLE 118 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of DRAMA MAMA by KODIACK)
REVENUE TRAIN Oct02 Sep17 Sep10 Sep02 Aug14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 5.00 42% 1.40    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CAPE MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SUMMER DANCE Sep23 Aug20 Oct03 Sep21 Aug12 (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of JETE ETE by SUMMER BIRD)
RAGAZZA MIA Sep17 Aug01 Feb14 Jan03 Nov08 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 6.00    
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
MONEYSLOT Oct08 Aug12 Jul31 Jun30 Jun15 (gerich fr)HERNANDEZ H 118 4.50 14% 6.20    
  (by MASTERY out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
MNR-2   10/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME BISHOP Aug12 May03 Apr19 Mar29 Mar12 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
VROYSKY Oct06 Sep05 Jun27 Jun08 Apr30 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 1.80 12% 7.30    
ITALIANO Feb19 Jan29 May06 Mar26 Mar05 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  CAJUN CHAOS Oct06 Aug25 Aug12 Dec06 Jul19 (montan)RODRIGUEZ A 118 50.00    
I'M A LAWMAN Oct06 Jul08 Dec05 Oct30 Sep26 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 20.00    
THE FILTER Sep29 Aug25 Aug12 Jul09 Jun26 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
JACK BOB AND LARRY Jul02 May29 Mar21 Jan21 Dec29 (barker)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50    
ENZOEXPRESS Sep30 Sep16 Aug19 Jul31 Jul15 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
LADY'S BOY Oct06 Sep29 Sep16 Aug25 Aug11 (brown t)WHITACRE B 123 30.00    
 
MNR-3   10/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLY HOME Sep18 Sep01 Aug12 Jun08 Mar20 (flores christi)DIAZ I 120 3.00    
BANKX TURBO Oct02 Sep18 Aug13 Jul03 Jun02 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 3.50    
SPERANZAS WILL Oct15 Oct07 Sep25 Sep09 Aug12 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 60% 0.70    
CHIEF HOWCOME Sep23 Aug27 Aug19 Jul24 Jun24 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ETRETAT Oct07 Sep15 Sep01 Aug14 Jul17 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.50    
KINGDOM FORCE Sep25 Sep15 Aug21 Jul15 Jul05 (barker r)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
RATE CONFIRMATION Sep15 Aug21 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00 6% 16.60    
 
MNR-4   10/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO Oct09 Sep29 Sep14 Sep01 Aug18 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
COCO MACHEN Sep15 Aug27 Nov26 Nov01 Sep13 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 123 5.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  LOST ANCHOR Oct15 Oct02 Aug27 Aug21 Jul21 (ewell devan )GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 30.00    
SCR  ULTRA DIVA Oct02 Sep25 Sep09 Aug27 Aug20 (ewell )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
RADIANT GEM Oct01 Sep17 Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 5.00 10% 9.40    
LIGHT HEARTED Oct09 Sep26 Sep10 Jul21 Jul04 (ccamaque marc)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
M J GOLD Oct02 Sep15 Aug27 Nov01 Oct18 (sauer j)WHITACRE B 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
MYRRH Sep25 Sep15 Oct04 Sep05 Aug23 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 118 3.50 40% 1.50    
G MONEY LIV Aug14 Jul07 Jun10 Dec13 Nov19 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
10  DON'T LOSE HOPE Aug06 Oct25 Sep27 Feb12 Sep28 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 3.00    
 
MNR-5   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLICITO Sep24 Sep11 Aug21 Jul29 Jul07 (barbaran hora)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of SHIRLEY'S RAINBOW by KANTHAROS)
FLIGHT WAY Oct09 Dec02 Aug26 Jul29   (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PURRFECT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
JAKE'S AFFECTION Oct03 Sep26 Sep10 Sep02 Jul20 (fennessy j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 4.50    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of HUGH ACHOO by MILWAUKEE BREW)
S S TRACKSIDE FUN Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 Jul29 Jul02 (cain crysta)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 6.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of VERONICA'S LAKE by SALT LAKE)
JUSTCUZIFEELLIKEIT Oct07 Sep24 Sep11 Aug27 Nov12 (cook de)BRAVO MISAEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of NANETTE'S SPIRIT by WAR PASS)
SWIFT DANCER Oct07 Sep24 Aug29 Aug17 Jul25 (tumblin andre)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 5% 18.20    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of AMERICAN SWAGGER by MR. SEKIGUCHI)
CANT FAKE THE HATE Sep06         (reed r)TAPARA BRANDON 115 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of STORM RISING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
YOUNG ELVIS         (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of ANDREA'S LILLY by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
S S FLAT OUT FUN Sep18 Aug28 Jul29 Jul16   (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of LET ME FLATTER YOU by FLATTER)
 
MNR-6   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE MARTHA Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jul01 May28 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.00    
SILVER STICK STAIR Sep29 Sep03 Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CONTENT (IRE) Sep29 Sep03 Aug19 Jul21 Jul01 (walker charle)BRACHO A 120 3.50 64% 0.60    
PALACE MAGIC Sep21 Sep05 Aug15 Jul21 Jun30 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 120 10.00    
ICE FLOE Oct14 Oct02 Sep15 Sep03 Aug21 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 10% 8.80    
SHEZA NASTY GIRL Oct02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun19 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 118 5.00    
SHOW ME THE BEST Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 Jun23 (jenkins wa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-7   10/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CURB THAT TIGER Oct05 Aug17 Aug01 Jul06 Jun13 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 15.00    
SCR  SUGAR LIPS Sep24 Aug18 Jul30 Jul14 Jun28 (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 20.00    
OUT OF CENTS Sep24 Sep08 Aug27 Aug12 Jul01 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 0.80 66% 0.50    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Oct09 Sep22 Sep16 Sep08 Aug27 (dixon geo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY INVASION Sep25 Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 Jun27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.00    
RESCUE FIVE Oct09 Sep24 Sep17 Aug28 Aug18 (kocijan marc)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 4.50    
BLACK CANDY Oct09 Sep24 Aug28 Aug18 Jul30 (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-8   10/21/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONJE SOLAIA Sep25 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 118 20.00    
COLD PLUNGE Oct01 Sep22 Aug12 Jul24 Jul09 (reffner tara)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00 10% 8.70    
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Oct08 Sep02 Aug13 Jul28 Jul02 (sanders melinda)WHITACRE B 120 50.00    
GRAND SIR Oct01 Sep09 Sep02 Aug26 Aug13 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
DEVIL'S CANYON Sep25 Aug18 Jul14 Jun27 Feb08 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 8.00 24% 3.30    
ANDYLITHIC Oct08 Sep25 Sep08 Aug14 Jul29 (cady khalil)TAPARA LUIS 123 10.00 6% 16.30    
HOLLYWOOD HERO Oct08 Oct02 Sep25 Sep11 Aug31 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
BLACK BULL Jul28 Jul02 Jun04 May20 Nov15 (lopez-olm)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
DUKE SKYWALKER Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 Aug26 Aug12 (fennessy j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 3.50    
10  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Oct08 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Oct13 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00    
SCR  BEYOND TALENTED Sep30 Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 Jun04 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 5.00    
SCR  AMANI'S TIGER Sep28 Sep13 Aug18 Jul20 Jun11 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.