Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - September 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(2/3)-(5/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/3)-(7/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/2/3)-(5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(5/3/4)-(6/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/5/1)-(3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(3/2)-(9/10/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(9/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (9/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/10/4)-(9/10/4)-(9/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Aug24 Jul25 Jun29 Aug29 Aug10 (bates l)MURGIA A 124 5.00    
2  YOGURT Sep12 Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun28 (short billy)SOSA LAUREANO 124 3.00    
3  AUNT RUTH Sep05 Aug24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun13 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 124 2.00    
SCR  ABOUNDING Aug16 Jul31 Jun15 Jun01 May18 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50    
5  LUNAR ICE Aug24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun28 Jun15 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
6  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Sep04 Jul11 May30 May16 May02 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY SET ADIOS Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul02 Jun12 (grubbs jamie )SOSA LAUREANO 124 3.50    
2  MS. THE LAW Aug30 Aug07 Jul06 Jun15 May16 (estvanko )CORREA L 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
3  MESMERIZING ME Aug30 Aug18 Jul25 Jul04 Jun22 (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  QUEEN LEXI Sep13 Sep04 Jul27 Jul13 Jun19 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 118 5.00    
5  ABOVE THE SKY Aug23 Aug14 Jul18 Jun22 May31 (nunez mauricio)JURADO EDDIE 118 3.00    
6  SANDRINHA LOVE Sep13 Aug29 Aug14 Jul27 Jul17 (decker anna)SERPA ANGEL 120 1.80 ★    
 
BTP-3   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Feb16 Jan04 Dec15 Dec03 Nov26 (lepiane paul)SOSA LAUREANO 122 4.50 ★    
2  LEAD ACTOR Sep07 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun12 (quezada inocencio)HESS SARA 117 6.00    
3  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Sep14 Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  FEELING IT Sep05 Aug08 Jul05 Jun14 Sep26 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 117 2.00    
5  DONTKISSDAMINISTER Sep04 Aug24 Jun28 Jun08 May16 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
BTP-4   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN ROYAL Dec20 Nov26 Nov08 Sep28 Sep06 (huffman pat)LEBRON VICTOR 121 8.00    
2  SIS BOOM BOB Aug23 Jul13 Jun14 Jun06 Dec22 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  MIND YOUR OWN Sep03 Aug19 Jan05 Dec08 Nov22 (delong ben)MURGIA A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INNER HARBOR Sep07 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May11 (alessi james)SERPA ANGEL 121 5.00    
5  FRANKLY MY DEAR Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul31 Jul05 (ocasio osvald)SOSA LAUREANO 121 4.00    
SCR  COMMANDERS PALACE Dec15 Nov02 Oct07 Sep21 Sep07 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00    
7  THE PRINCESS SAYS Sep07 Aug08 Jul05 May30 Apr26 (cunningha)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
8  PURE ELEGANCE Sep12 Aug29 Aug09 Jul24 Jul13 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 4.50    
 
BTP-5   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRIFTWOOD Aug22 Jun27 May30 Mar16 Feb22 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00    
SCR  SANT' ANTIMO Jun07 May16 May02 Apr11 Mar01 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 8.00    
3  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Aug24 Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 May15 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 25% 2.90    
4  HE'S A ANGEL Sep12 Aug31 Jun01 Apr14 Mar16 (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOME R BLESSED Sep14 Aug31 Aug14 Jul31 Jun12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 4.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  JURA Sep19 Sep04 Aug21 Jun21 Feb03 (meah m)SERPA ANGEL 123 3.50    
SCR  BIRD KING Jun29 May30 May12 Apr20 Mar30 (newton troy)MCKEE J 123 6.00    
SCR  NOBRAG JUSTFACT Aug24 May13 Feb13 Aug25 Aug17 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 123 2.50    
9  AZURE SKY Sep05 Aug24 Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00    
10  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Sep12 Aug24 Jul31 Jul13 Jun06 (dixon jr)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
 
BTP-6   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE BLOOMBOPPER Sep11 Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun05 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 10.00 6% 14.40    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
2  SUPER SCAMP Sep13 Aug21 Jul03 Jun05 Apr01 (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 124 3.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of LIEGE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
3  LIGHTNING MELODY Sep13 Aug02 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (quezada i)CORREA L 124 5.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MUSIC THUNDER by CISCO ROAD)
4  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT Sep13 Aug28 Jun18 May29 May03 (overholt paul)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
5  MY DEAR VALENTINE Aug21 Aug09       (salcedo ramon)SOSA LAUREANO 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MY DEAR OPAL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
6  IAMGOINGTOMAKEIT Sep13 Aug21 Aug02     (cline c)HERMAN NOEL 116 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by KLIMT out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
BTP-7   09/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTATION Aug23 Jul31 Jun07 Apr28 Mar18 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50 ★    
2  MY ANGELICA Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul17 Jun28 (pinzon maria)AYALA ISAIAS 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  JANUARY JUBILEE Sep12 Jul06 May01 Apr14 Mar21 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 113 1.60 64% 0.60    
SCR  HIGH MEADOWS Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 (hernandez debb)JURADO EDDIE 122 8.00    
5  ANN KOR Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 (manning john)HEBERT LINDSEY 122 4.00    
6  DOMITIA LUCILLA Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 Jun01 Jan27 (estvanko )CORREA L 122 4.50    
 
BTP-8   09/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOWHATEVERITTAKES May31 May03 Mar04 Jan14 Sep22 (reed r)COLON H 124 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CAT ON A TIN ROOF by CATIENUS)
SCR  MIT MONKEY Jul30 Jun16       (reed r)COLON H 120 3.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NEVERTHESAME by SCAT DADDY)
2  ROYAL GARDEN Jul12 Dec09       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 120 12.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BRIANNA ROSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  STAGE RIGHT Aug15 May30 May14 Apr11 Mar09 (douglass d)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UPSTAGE by CURLIN)
4  WESTPHALIA May25 Mar15 Feb25     (walden william)MURGIA A 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of WADIA by CAMPANOLOGIST)
SCR  TIZ OBLIVION Sep06         (knippenber)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 8.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of INTO OBLIVION by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ELLE'S DANCER Sep06 Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 Jun04 (brownfield claude)MCKEE J 120 2.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GYPSY ANGEL ROW by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  SHES A GOOD ONE Sep10 Aug20 Jul31     (dalton miche)HEBERT LINDSEY 124 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of BIRD FU by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  CHIC N DA WADDA Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul12 Jun11 (toye lin)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SILLY FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
9  AMERICAN HONEY May31         (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.50 60% 0.70    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of TRUTH by ARCH)
10  MO SASHAY Sep13 Aug26 Jul27 Jun25 Jun08 (cross r)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RED SASHAY by BIG BROWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.