Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(1/8/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(1/8/2/6)-(2/6/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (1/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6)-(1/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/2/6)-(2/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/6)-(2/6/8)-(5/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8)-(2/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(5/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(5/1/3)-(1/6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(1/6/4/2)-(9/10/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/2)-(9/10/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/2)-(9/10/8/2)-(5/8/2/9/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-6   WIN (9/10/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/2)-(9/10/8/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/2)-(9/10/8/2/4)-(9/10/8/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/10/8/2)-(5/8/2/9/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/2)-(5/8/2/9/7)-(11/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/8/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/9/7)-(5/8/2/9/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/9/7)-(5/8/2/9/7)-(5/8/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/2/9/7)-(11/8) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
PID-8   WIN (11/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/8)-(11/7/6/9/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/8)-(11/7/6/9/8)-(11/7/6/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO COURAGIO Aug27 Aug05 Jul24     (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
2  BAYTOWN BARACUS Aug29 Aug10 Jun17 May14 Apr25 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 1.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of SANTINA DOND by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  NOTFANUTIN Aug27 Aug12 Jul07     (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by UPSTART out of FU PEGGI SUE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  BAYTOWN BULLEIT Sep11 Aug15 May09 Apr26   (mcentee paul)BAYS BROOKE 113 8.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of PEACE TAKER by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
5  BRAVADEER Aug12         (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRAVAZO out of IRELAND by AFLEET ALEX)
6  SAKI BOMB Jul08         (walsh colleen)DELGADO DAVID 120 3.00 54% 0.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CACTUS KRIS by CACTUS RIDGE)
 
PID-2   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP MACYS Aug26 Jul30 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 1.80 29% 2.40    
2  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  HIGH VIBES Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 Jun08 (miller m)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
4  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Sep04 Jun04 May27 Mar19 Feb27 (rojas e)BAYS BROOKE 115 4.00    
5  PRETTY FLATTERING Sep02 Aug13 Jun17 May28 Mar09 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
6  SEIVER Sep02 Aug13 Jul28 Jun26 Apr12 (barron rory)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  LUCKY ROAD Sep09 Aug14 Aug05 Jun25 Jun10 (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 20.00    
8  ANADOR (FR) Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 Jul04 Jun08 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
PID-3   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COURAGEOUS ARI Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of THATZA WRAP by HARD SPUN)
2  JOYS OF SUMMER Aug27         (rice ada)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of CLEAR POND by DYNAFORMER)
3  JASMINES WORLD Aug27         (kleine bern)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 15.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PRINCESS JASMINE by ARTAX)
SCR  LIZZIE BABY Jul22         (rice kevin)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of SCENE QUEEN by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  MIMA PRINCESS Aug25 Jun17 May29     (bouali wajdi)LOPEZ DERECK 113 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
6  TWO SCOOPS Aug27 Jul18 Jun17     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MY SUGAR by CONGRATS)
7  SUMMER FOREVER         (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 12.00    
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of PERFECT MINE by MINESHAFT)
8  INSTABRAT Aug07         (hamm timothy)BAYS BROOKE 113 5.00 8% 11.90    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
 
PID-4   09/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSTY MY BROTHER Aug30 Aug20 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
2  LAWN DART Aug26 Aug05 Jul17 Jul03 Jun25 (rojas e)BAYS BROOKE 115 10.00    
3  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Sep02 Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 (carr-rozant)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ON THE SHORTLIST Aug30 Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 May31 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60    
5  ROCK N REWARD Aug20 Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 May29 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  LOVELY EVER AFTER Aug12 Jul29 Jul04 Jun05 Oct17 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS BLUE Aug26 Jul21 Jun15     (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of KISS THE DEVIL by KRIS S.)
2  LITTLE MISS MUNNY Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 Jul15 Jun18 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00 5% 17.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLIPARDINI by BERNARDINI)
3  MAHJONG GIRL Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Mar13 Nov19 (wismer s)MARTINEZ W 120 12.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of PERFECT PREDICTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
4  BELLA STRADALE Sep02         (vassilieva kate)VIVES SOFIA 124 4.50 8% 10.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SARATOGA BELLE by THE FACTOR)
SCR  YOU KUUIPO Aug13 Jun26 Feb12     (walden william)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
  (by FLATTER out of GALILEO'S MELODY by GALILEO (ARG))
6  SICILIAN PRINCESS Jul21 Jun26 Jun06 May09 Apr07 (walden willia)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  OLD FASHIONED GIRL Aug27 Aug02 Jul11 Jun19 May31 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CREATIVE DESIGN by STRAVINSKY)
8  KITTEN'S WAR Feb22         (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WAR TAP by TAPIT)
9  VISION OF ANNA         (goodwin )MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of IMAGE OF ANNA by READY'S IMAGE)
 
PID-6   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Sep02 Aug14 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 (schaber debbi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
SCR  MISSING A SOCK Aug29 May17 Oct27 Oct18 Sep29 (miller m)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZORA Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
4  LEIPZIG Sep02 Jul29 Jul07 Jun08 May12 (rojas e)SPIETH S 122 6.00 ★    
5  GIO'S MY DAD Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (herrington call)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00    
6  WORKIN ECLIPTICAL Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 Apr27 Feb01 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00    
7  EQUINAMOUS Aug28 Aug19 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 (bourke john)MARTINEZ W 118 5.00    
8  SAWEETIE GIRL Aug27 Aug12 Jul21 Jun18 Jun03 (gotera juan )AYALA J 122 6.00 18% 4.70    
9  GOTHAM GRAY Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
10  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Aug28 Aug19 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
PID-7   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHARD HOOTY Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00    
2  TIZ TACT TOE Aug21 Aug06 Jul04 Jun19 Jun05 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
3  LIGHT CRUISER Aug28 Aug06 Aug23 Mar07 Feb25 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00    
4  GIANT PAYDAY Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul22 Jun19 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 20.00    
5  HEY PADRE Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 Jul02 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  ERLAN Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 Apr06 (kleine bern)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00    
7  EL SOLITARIO Aug21 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun12 (fennessy john)MORALES PABLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR TITO'S Sep02 Aug14 Jul23 Jun19 Jun04 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
9  YADI Aug28 Aug19 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 4.50 13% 6.50    
10  VAN Aug27 Aug01 Jul23 Jul02 Jun12 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 15.00    
11  THALBERG Aug28 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 124 2.50    
 
PID-8   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDLEY Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jun25 Jun12 (schaber debbie)FOX CHRIS 124 30.00    
2  BEE BY THE SEA Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
3  SWITHER'S SHORTCUT Aug26 Aug14 Jul16 Jul01 Nov08 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00    
SCR  LORD OF LEGENDS Sep04 Aug20 Jul31 Jul17 Jul01 (buhrow jamie )DELGADO DAVID 124 15.00    
5  SEEING RED Sep04 Aug27 Mar20 Mar05 Feb13 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 12.00    
6  JUST WATCH ME NOW Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 (miller d)ALLEN D 124 8.00 ★    
7  COMMODORE BARRY Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Oct25 Oct18 (cooper thomas)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50 ★    
8  THE COOKIE MAN Aug27 Jul31 Jul16 Jul01 May28 (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  FUEL THE BERN Aug26 Jul23 Jul16 Jun18 Feb17 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  JUPITER BLUES Sep07 Aug23 Apr06 Mar09 Feb04 (brooks geral)AYALA J 124 3.00    
11  GENERAL WINSTON Sep03 Aug21 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 124 3.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  BANDITOFTHEPRAIRIE Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Dec23 Dec07 (markgraf d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.