Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (1/5/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4/6)-(1/5/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (1/5/2/4/6)-(7/5/10/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
MNR-2   WIN (7/5/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/3)-(7/5/10/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/3)-(7/5/10/3)-(7/5/10/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/10/3)-(7/8/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/10/3)-(7/8/9/6/4)-(4/6/9/8/1) 100 $2.00 $200 
MNR-3   WIN (7/8/9/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/6/4)-(7/8/9/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (7/8/9/6/4)-(4/6/9/8/1) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/6/9/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/8/1)-(4/6/9/8/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/8/1)-(4/6/9/8/1)-(4/6/9/8/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/6/9/8/1)-(3/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (5/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6)-(5/4/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/8/6)-(5/7/8/3)-(5/6/1/4) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-7   WIN (5/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/3)-(5/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/3)-(5/6/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4)-(5/6/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   08/14/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF HOPE Jul31 Jul07 Dec03 Oct20 Sep09 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 114 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  YLANG YLANG (GB) Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 Apr07 Mar09 (cordero-lo)CASTELLANO JESUS 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
3  ALMOND FUDGE Jul14 Jun19 Jun01 May16 Jan12 (gowan william)NEGRON LUIS 116 3.00    
SCR  GETS ON BASE Jul31 Jul03 Jun23 May19 May07 (clouston ed)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 12.00 9% 9.80    
5  ERIC BROWN'S GIRL Jul29 Jul09 Jun03 May12 Oct08 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 5.00 16% 5.50    
6  BETHPAGE Aug07 Jul14 Jun18 May19 Apr30 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00 6% 15.20    
7  MOONLIGHT TANGO Aug05 Dec03 Nov12 Oct29 Sep11 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 120 30.00    
SCR  LEAVE DRAMA BEHIND Jul31 Apr26 Apr12 Mar02 Jan27 (sanders meli)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
9  DO YOU REALIZE Jun19 May28 Apr25 Mar14   (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 116 6.00    
 
MNR-2   08/14/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDED QUEST Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 May07 Mar30 (delong ben)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00    
SCR  ITSALLABOUTMEBABY Jun18         (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 8.00    
3  STELLARATOR Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEL MAR FLASH Jul23 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 May26 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 30.00    
5  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Jul28 Jun26 May04 Mar15 Mar08 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
6  WATERWORKS Jul10 Jul02 Jun04 May05 Apr19 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 6.00    
7  GOLDEN ISLE Jul10 Jul03 Jun24 Jun18 Jun03 (pizzurro jessic)VEGA L 120 6.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  LUCKY BOP Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 Jun14 May09 (craig l)BRAVO MISAEL 118 8.00    
9  WILD IRISH Jul10 Jun04 Apr20 Feb24 Dec27 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
10  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May17 (shanley timothy)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 7% 13.80    
11  DE JORIA Jul05 Jun14 May24 Apr28 Mar04 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Jul30 Jul11 Jun22 Jun13 May18 (inirio carlos )DIAZ I 120 8.00    
 
MNR-3   08/14/2024 4620ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ROAD Aug05 Jun25 Jun10 May20 Mar25 (carrillo rams)TOLEDO S 120 30.00    
2  THINK IT THRU Jul15 Jun12 Mar05 Jan02 Nov20 (meyers shane)BRACHO A 120 5.00    
3  TOO CROWDED Jul23 Jun24 Jun12 May23 Mar21 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 20.00    
4  FLAG SALUTE Jul30 Jul21 Jul03 Jun18 Jun03 (montano wilfrid)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEE WINGS Aug06 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 May20 (montano w)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
6  ALICIA'S WAY Jul09 Jun16 May28 May12 Apr23 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  BELLE BREZING Jun23 Jun16 Dec06 Nov26 Nov13 (blankenship )GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 1.00 31% 2.20    
8  TEAM HOT LINE Jul28 Jun23 May28 May06 Apr23 (ramgeet ti)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
9  REDWHITEANDTACOS Jul28 Jul09 Jun26 May28 May19 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
MNR-4   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCITATUSWAY Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Jun03 May20 (brown j)BRAVO MISAEL 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLESSED BY CUPID Jun13 May08       (stanoszek sara)WHITACRE B 116 20.00    
3  GALLAZO Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun19 Dec13 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 15.00    
4  MINNY SPEIGHTSTER Jul25 Jul17 Jun29 Jun07 May25 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 116 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  WEEKEND FLAME Jul30 Jun23       (gowan william)NEGRON LUIS 116 3.00    
6  THIRTY AMERICAN Jul22 Jul10       (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  BARBARAZO Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 Jun10 Apr12 (barbaran )HERNANDEZ H 116 20.00    
8  MR BINGO Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 May06 Jan10 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 8.00 13% 6.80    
9  INTRANSIGENT Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 Jun19 May17 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 116 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
MNR-5   08/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G MONEY LIV Jul07 Jun10 Dec13 Nov19 Oct23 (reffner tar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00    
SCR  DON'T LOOK UP Jul29 Jul21 Jun26 Jun16 Jun03 (sipp burton )VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 20.00    
3  MIT MAZEL Jul20 Jun29 May28 Apr29 Mar11 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 0.40 62% 0.60    
4  QUEEN CASHMERE Jul14 Jul01 Jun11 May19 Nov01 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  SMOOKIE Jul28 Jul10 Jun30 Jun02 May12 (trierweiler came)WHITACRE B 123 20.00    
6  GOLD PASS Jul17 Jun19 Jun04 May14 Dec05 (howard wi)HERNANDEZ H 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHEZAGOLDGETTER Jul09 Jun04 May13 Oct30 Oct02 (witherow wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 20.00    
 
MNR-6   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A WILD CHILD Jul22 Jun02 May10 Apr21 Oct27 (lopez-olmeda ra)VEGA L 116 10.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of COMMAND PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
2  TRACK LIGHT Jun07 Apr24 Mar08 Nov23 Oct18 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 2.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LIGHT THE SKY by TAPIT)
3  POWER OF JUSTICE Jul16 Jun30 May24 Jan19 Dec22 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 123 12.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DAZZLING SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  FORTINBRAS Jul30 Jul07 Jun14 May25 Apr19 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 116 8.00 10% 9.20    
  (by KHOZAN out of NOBLE INTRIGUE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
5  HE'S A LUCKY GUY Jul22 Jul02 Jun12 Mar17 Jan18 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 6.00 59% 0.70    
  (by STREET BOSS out of SHE'S GOT RULES by HOLY BULL)
6  ANDYLITHIC Jul29 Jul02 Dec06 Nov21 Nov12 (cady khal)HERNANDEZ H 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of TEQUILA LIGHT by COLONY LIGHT)
7  CITADINO Jul21 Jul04 Jun13 May17 Mar29 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 116 1.60    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CALAIS by A.P. INDY)
8  TIZAWHITEFACECAT Jul30 Jul07 May29 May08 Apr24 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIZ SARDONIC JOE out of IVORY CAT by SHANIKO)
 
MNR-7   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANTHONY'S ROCKET Jul28 Jun19 Jun09 May20 Apr30 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 123 8.00    
2  DR SCHUSTER Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun22 Jun01 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 116 2.50    
3  LITTLE VAQUERO Jul24 Jun19 Jun04 Nov09 Sep17 (montano w)HERNANDEZ H 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BAYTOWN BEAVER Jul29 Jun19 Jun09 May26 Nov20 (langley c)YARANGA Y 120 15.00    
5  CONRAD THE RED Jul29 Jul03 Jun09 May26 May20 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 1.40 48% 1.10    
6  ASTRAL WEEKS Jul21 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Apr23 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
7  JONES FALLS Jul29 Jul08 Jun19 Nov08 Oct25 (clouston edward)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
8  HIALEAH NATIVE Jul29 Jun27 May31 Apr18 Mar28 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
MNR-8   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE EYED JACK Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 May21 Oct08 (poole a)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  CHACO SPIRIT Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 May14 Apr23 (bayley rand)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 10.00    
3  ULTIMATE IRONY Jul22 Jun25 Dec22 Nov29 Oct14 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00    
4  YOU ARE AWESOME Jul31 Jul23 Jul16 Jul03 Jun19 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 123 8.00 6% 14.50    
5  DREWPOWER Aug06 Jul04 May21 Mar29 Mar08 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  COSMIC TREASURE Aug26 Aug09 Jul14 Jun21 Jun03 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  FIND YOUR BOAZ Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 May26 May06 (fiesman r)HERNANDEZ H 123 30.00    
SCR  JUNE GLOOM Jul31 Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 May29 (cline c)YARANGA Y 123 6.00    
9  FLIGHT CATCHER Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May27 (inirio car)CASTELLANO JESUS 116 30.00    
10  DISASTER RECOVERY Jul24 Jul16 Dec01 Oct24 Oct17 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.