Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Wednesday - August 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/4)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/5)-(4/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/1/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/6/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(4/6/8/3)-(3/4/7/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/3)-(4/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/3)-(4/6/8/3)-(4/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/8/3)-(3/4/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8/3)-(3/4/7/2)-(4/1/8/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
IND-5   WIN (3/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/2)-(4/1/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/2)-(4/1/8/10)-(4/1/5/6) 64 $1.00 $32.00 
IND-6   WIN (4/1/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/10)-(4/1/8/2/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/10)-(4/1/8/2/10)-(4/1/8/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/8/10)-(4/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/10)-(4/1/5/6)-(3/6/7/8) 64 $1.00 $32.00 
IND-7   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(3/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
IND-8   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   08/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29.92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEWURZTRAMINER Jul02 Jun06 May23 Apr26 Mar28 (chavez manuel)REYES FRANK 118 8.00 53% 0.90    
YES POINT Jul10 Mar22 Feb10 Jan05 Oct04 (mckeeve)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
CABALLO FELIZ Jul09 Jun18 May23 Mar17 Jan28 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00    
DOG RED Jul03 Jun06 May13 Apr21 Mar24 (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
BAHAMIAN NATIVE Jul18 Jun23 May27 May07 Mar06 (granitz anth)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 4.50    
SCR  QUENCIO Jun20 May27 Apr25 Apr12 Mar08 (garcia gen)ANDERSON MCKENNA 118 5.00    
I AM THE GAME Jul03 Jun06 May21 Apr26 Apr06 (chavez manuel)PARKER L 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
JAY VEE BEE May25 May12 Jun22 May12 Apr22 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
 
IND-2   08/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE'S THE ANSWER         (fletcher kev)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 8.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHE'SA TOUGH TIGER by TIGER RIDGE)
CLAY BASKET Jun25         (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 33% 2.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of ROSSEZZA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
WARRIOR'S JUSTICE Jul06         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 1.60 34% 1.90    
  (by JUSTIFY out of WARRIOR MAID by HOLY BULL)
PRESHA Jul13         (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HUMOR ME DIXIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
THEHILLONWOODSIDE Jul16         (maker m)DE CRUZ 119 4.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of HEAVENLY HILL by CITY ZIP)
PLAZA BEACH         (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of KIMBERLEA K by INDIAN EVENING)
 
IND-3   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($49.68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBRACE ME Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 May19 May03 (rutledge )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 1.80    
HEAVENLY RICH Jul10 Jun11 May06 Mar21 Feb22 (riley donna)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 12.00    
KARMA GHIA Jul12 Jun22 Jun08 May18 Dec12 (lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00    
MISS GOODBAR Aug01 Jun14 May28 May08 Mar28 (davis jose)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 12.00    
RAINDROPS ON ROSES Jul06 Jun09 Dec21 Nov30 Sep12 (huffman pat)PRESCOTT R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
POLKA POLENTA Jun14 May29 May06 Mar20 Feb03 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 67% 0.50    
I HAD THAT ONE TOO Jul11 Jun12 Nov23 Oct15 Sep03 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
MARIA'S HONOR Jun14 Oct19 Jul27 Jul13 Jun03 (sancal murat)ROMAN A 122 4.00    
 
IND-4   08/14/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHEST MEMORIES Jul16 Jun20 Jun10 May22 Oct28 (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50    
POSITIVE CHANGE Aug01 Jul06 Jun19 Jun05 Nov16 (livers cha)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 4.00    
NO PROOF Jun26 Oct24 Sep20 Oct29 Oct13 (schultz john)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
CORONA GRANDE Jul13 Jun08 Oct28 Sep13 Aug11 (garcia genar)TERRAZA GERMAN 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
DATTTS LIFE Jul31 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 Apr24 (duran antonio)PARKER L 118 15.00    
CRINGE Jun12 May22 Apr08 Oct28 Oct18 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 10.00 30% 2.30    
ROYAL ICING Jul05 Jun18 May21 Nov09 Oct30 (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 115 15.00    
DADDYS DREAM Jul05 Jun18 Oct28 Sep26 Aug23 (matthew)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
IND-5   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR OF VICTORY Jul29 Jul15 Jun06     (holden j)PEREZ E 117 30.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of NORTHWEST BOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
FLUTTERBY ZOEY Jun10 May23       (fosdick steve)LEAHEY HANNAH 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of NORTHERN SCREAMER by NORTHERN AFLEET)
KENNEDY HEIGHTS Oct25 Oct12 Sep11 Aug08   (langemeier john )PARKER L 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by CONGRATS out of SAINT SAVIOR by YANKEE VICTOR)
SPOONER Jul09 Jun19 May01 Apr16   (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by OUTWORK out of TANQUERRAY by GOOD JOURNEY)
SCR  LEGS FOR DAYS Jul29 Jun08 Nov14 Oct31 Aug10 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 121 10.00    
  (by BARYSHNIKOV out of C J'S BRAHMS by BRAHMS)
LARRY'S REVENGE Jul03 Jun10 May16 May01   (nance)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of ICANTRUMPTHAT by BELLAMY ROAD)
SIGNATURE DAY         (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by RACE DAY out of SIG K by MR. SEKIGUCHI)
REDHOTJUSTICE Jun06 May09 Nov30 Oct25 Oct05 (paquett)DE CRUZ 121 1.80    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of SISTER CRIMSON by SKY CLASSIC)
 
IND-6   08/14/2024 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($35.36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELLACROCE Jul15 Jun20 May29 May09 Apr24 (torres conce)CALLEJA ANDRES 117 4.00 24% 3.20    
LIEUTENANT GENERAL Jun05 Apr06 Jan09     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
MERLIN'S MAGIC Sep14 Aug31       (nihei michell)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
POLYGLOT Jun20 May30 Feb24 Jan27 Dec28 (estvanko richard)PARKER L 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
AGAPEE MOU Jul05 May29 Apr24 Feb29 Dec29 (correas)DE CRUZ 120 5.00    
UNCLE TUFFY Jun13 May23 Apr25     (pinzon maria)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
DASHED Aug06 Jun05 May29 Apr16 Feb23 (ellio)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 12.00    
CHANNEL Z Aug06 Jun05 May13 Apr24 Mar22 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00 9% 9.50    
CHASING KITTY Jul15 May02 Apr06 Mar08 Jan26 (bindner walt)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 6.00    
10  TRACK OF MY TEARS Jul29 Jun26       (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HOBY CAT Aug01 Jul10 Jun20 May23 Mar15 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.50    
SCR  MILLARD A MAVERICK Aug04 Jul03 May21 Mar13 Feb16 (dobbsjr e)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
SCR  READY TO REIGN Jun18 May06       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
 
IND-7   08/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATCHER Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 May23 Apr25 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 118 1.40 29% 2.50    
QUEEN D Aug01 Jul18 Jun17 Apr30 Oct02 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 30.00    
WHAT ABOUT NOW Jun19 May23 Nov09 Oct16 Sep08 (eggleston tim)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
COLOR ME FAST Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 May09 Apr23 (klopp randy)LEAHEY HANNAH 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
MUJER BONITA Jul30         (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
B FLAT OUT Aug01 Jul02 Jun13 Jul18 Jun29 (phillips terry)PARKER L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TEAKETTLE Jul25 Jun13 Jun04 Nov17 Oct25 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 122 15.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY LIGHTS Jul09 Jun12 May22 May04 Apr17 (gorham m)PEREZ E 115 12.00    
LA FLAKA Aug01 Jul03 Jun24 May28 Apr16 (gonzalez li)ROMERO M 108 30.00    
 
IND-8   08/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHAT YOU WISHED Jul13 Jul03 Jun11 May30 May04 (holden j)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
  (by DOWSING out of THE GAILLIMH GIRL by MONTJEU)
WAR TRINKETS Jun10 May06 Apr25 Nov09 Oct16 (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of GLOSSED AND FOUND by LIMEHOUSE)
OUTLAW WOMAN Jun12 May23 Apr16 Mar01 Jan03 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of TRIP TO THE STARS by TRIPPI)
LILAH B Jul09 Jun11 May06 Oct18 Sep28 (mcgovern shannon)PRESCOTT R 120 3.50    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of MOON MINING by ORB)
LUNAR LACE Jun05 Oct25 Oct12 Sep12 Aug22 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 121 4.50    
  (by EUROPE out of MY LUNAR LOVE by PROUD CITIZEN)
BROWNSBORO ROSE Jul09         (huffman pat)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SHIPSHEWANA Jun11 May06 Apr16 Oct18 Sep08 (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ANGEL CHOIR by STAR CAT)
CHANNAH DEL MAR Jun10 May16 May01 Apr16 Nov09 (paquett)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of VISTA DEL MAR by DEPUTY MINISTER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.