Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/5/4)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/6/3)-(9/8/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(9/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/5)-(9/8/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/8/5)-(9/8/2/5)-(9/8/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/8/5)-(2/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/4)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/4)-(4/7)-(5/2/8/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/7)-(5/2/8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-9   WIN (5/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/1)-(5/2/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITT DASHING SPEED Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 Nov22 Nov06 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
2  SUPPORT THE CAT Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Feb24 (sells rachel)COA J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
3  ROAD TO POWER         (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of WOMAN POWER by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA)
4  FIVE DESTINATIONS Jul22 Jun10 May20 Oct18 Sep25 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 1.80    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
5  SHARP PLAY BOY Jul22 Jul01 May20 May06 Nov22 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.60 26% 2.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of LARA by JUMP START)
6  DREAM ALLIANCE         (delauro j)PEREZ E 120 5.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PURPLE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
FL-2   08/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATERI EMPIRE Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May28 (cabrera )DAVIS A 115 15.00    
2  WARTAPPED Jul15 May14 Apr30 Jan28 Jan11 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 122 1.60    
3  OUCH THAT HURT Jul24 Jun04 Nov22 Nov07 Sep20 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  DETERMINED LOVE Jul10 Jul02 May20 May07 Apr29 (johnston rob)COA J 121 3.50 30% 2.30    
5  BAD CONNECTION Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 May21 May13 (gutierrez luis)BROWN DALTON 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAKEAJOYFULNOISE Jul09 Jun18 Nov20 Nov07 Jul31 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 119 5.00    
 
FL-3   08/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Jul23 Jul02 Jun13 May29 May08 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 122 2.50    
2  GONNA BE DANCING Jul02 Jun10 May21 May06 Nov20 (breed ronald)HARKIE K 118 6.00    
3  BROCKMONINOFF Jul16 Jun10 Nov13 Oct17 Sep19 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
4  DEE'S WISEGUY Jul02 Jun11 May28 May13 Apr30 (johnston rob)COA J 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  HONOR AMONG MEN Jul08 Jun05 Sep19 Jul28 Jul03 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.00 7% 12.70    
6  ZIP IT SCOTTY Jul23 Jul12 Jul01 Jun08 May29 (o'callahan ca)DAVILA A 117 6.00    
 
FL-4   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING WITH DOLLS Jul04 Nov20       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ANY VALID SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
1A  FLORA ROSE         (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 6.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of BRIAR CAVE by HIGH COTTON)
2B  CREWS IN TO WIN Jul23 Jul04 Jun25     (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 4.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of SWEET FROST by FROST GIANT)
SCR  EDDIES ROCKET Jul23 Jul09 Jun25     (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SUBTLE SWEETNESS by DURING)
3  WITT LASTING SPEED Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 Nov08 Oct24 (progno michael )FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
4  REGENERATOR Jun25 Jun05 May20 Nov20 Oct20 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AL KHALI out of MISS SPLASH by HUSBAND)
5  LADY ELOISE Jul04         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of DO THE DANSE by KAFWAIN)
SCR  I'M TAPI Jun11 May28       (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 120 15.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of I'M AUTHORIZED by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
7  MY KINDA MISCHIEF Jul09 Jun20 May19 Apr06 Oct21 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OFF THE BOURBON by CURLIN)
 
FL-5   08/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Jul24 Jul10 Nov07 Oct23 Oct10 (lecesse m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 115 12.00    
2  LINDSEY (GB) Jul22 Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 May22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 2.50    
3  QUIET HORIZON Jul24 Jul15 Jul04 Jun17 Jun04 (cabrera )DAVIS A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  INVESTMENT GRADE Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 Jun18 Jun10 (morales samuel)PENA LUIS 115 6.00    
5  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Jul15 Jul01 May24 Apr25 Jan18 (ferraro michae)COA J 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  RUXTON ROCKS Jun12 Jan13 Dec07 Sep19 Aug22 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
7  AMI'S LINK Jul24 Jul02 Jun19 May28 Mar22 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 117 3.50    
 
FL-6   08/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY Jul08 Jun10 Nov21 Oct18   (smith troy)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00    
  (by DESTIN out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
2  SAINT BONES Jul22 May26 Apr12     (shaffer richard)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00 ★    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  FIRST TRUMPET May10 Apr21 Apr05 Mar24 Mar09 (delauro j)PEREZ E 120 3.50    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of APPEALING IVY by MINESHAFT)
SCR  DR. DARBY Sep18 Sep04 Aug22 Aug07 Jul24 (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 124 20.00    
  (by ZIVO out of PROVIDED FOR by SIGNAL TAP)
5  JAKE'S ORCHARD Jul24 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jul28 (torelli stacy)DAVILA A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  HAL AWAY Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 May29 May13 (falk jac)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
7  AIR FORCE CROSS Jul08 Jun26 May25 May12 Mar21 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 6.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SOUL SPINNER by HARLINGTON)
8  WO HOP Jun28 Jun09 May10 Apr12   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 11% 8.50    
  (by LAOBAN out of NILE PRINCESS by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  LIFETIME GUARANTEE Jul08 Jun26 Nov21     (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VELMA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
FL-7   08/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORENZEN Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 Nov15 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 10.00 11% 7.90    
2  RILEY BEE Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May22 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  REUNION TOUR Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
4  BAM BAM WARRIOR Jul09 Jun11 Sep10 Sep02 Aug05 (lopez d)PENA LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  ANOINTED SPIRIT Jul23 Jun25 Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.00    
6  TAKE THE EDGE Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
7  OUTSTANDING DEBT Jul23 Jul09 Nov22 Nov14 Nov21 (cotrone )DAVIS A 122 20.00    
 
FL-8   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELLY Jul02 Jun05 May22 Apr07 Mar24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
2  JACKSON AVENUE Jul04 Jun18 Jun04 May21 Feb16 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50    
3  BUSTIN TIME Jul04 Jun18 May14 May06 Apr14 (davis ed)DAVIS A 118 5.00 ★    
4  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Jul15 Jun24 Jun05 May06 Mar03 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.50 64% 0.60    
5  STATUS SEEKER Jun20 Jun01 May03 Apr11 Jun02 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 ★    
6  MA MI JO DREAMS Jul17 Jun19 Jun05 May14 Nov21 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 6.00    
7  STARR'S DELIGHT Jul04 Jun04 May21 Nov13 Oct04 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-9   08/05/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRAL LOVE Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 May22 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  DISAPPEARANCE Jul19 Jun29 Jun08 May04 Apr20 (barrer)GRISALES DANILO 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  MASETA Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 116 15.00    
SCR  BENCH PRESS Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Aug24 Jul19 (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 114 15.00    
5  JITTER JUICE Jun19 Oct11 Sep20 Sep05 Jun12 (ferraro michae)COA J 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Jul01 Jun12 May20 May06 Jan18 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 4.00    
7  KODIAK BROWN Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 May27 Nov20 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 118 10.00    
8  PARADE FIELD Jul10 Jul01 Jun03 May21 Nov06 (murphy t)DAVIS A 117 12.00 7% 13.80    
9  ACH DU LIEBER Jul04 Jun19 May27 Jan28 Jan05 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.