Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - August 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/3)-(8/6/9/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3)-(8/6/9/7/3)-(8/6/9/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/2/10/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/10/9/1)-(3/2/10/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/10/9/1)-(3/2/10/9/1)-(3/2/10/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AHSAD Jul15 Jul02 May28 May08 Apr15 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 10.00    
2  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE Jul27 May25 Mar17 Feb11 Nov29 (gomez pompey)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  COCO SHELL Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May11 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.00    
4  SENSIBLE JIM Jul01 Jun17 May29 May20 May08 (perez ruper)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 8.00 8% 12.10    
5  BRASSTOWN Jun29 Mar30 Mar17 Feb25 Feb17 (serey jr)AGUILAR JEAN 114 3.50 16% 5.30    
6  RECKLESS PLACE Jul19 Jun15 May27 Apr27 Mar27 (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00    
7  MODERN MIDAS Jul23 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 May07 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-2   08/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANLUCA BE LUCKY         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 ★    
  (by FLATTER out of STARSHIP DIVA by ELTISH)
2  BIRRAVINO BLVD         (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 5.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SPUNDERFUL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  ELLINGER         (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by VEKOMA out of STAR OF THE EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  EL MEDIANOCHE         (crowell susa)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of DONNA D by DIXIE UNION)
5  MY MILITARY HERO Jul13         (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of DINN RIGH by KARAKONTIE (JPN))
6  SCUDETTO         (delgado jorg)SANTIAGO EDDIE 117 12.00    
  (by MITOLE out of THREE HALOS by LIAISON)
7  S J B EXPRESS         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  WHAT'S UP BROTHER Jun02         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of HISSE by BUDDHA)
 
MTH-3   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AEGEAN SEA Jul18 Jun12 May08 Apr17 Mar19 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.50    
2  MADELINE'S GROGU Jul17 May26 May18 Dec01 Oct24 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOLIDAY DECISION Jul07 Feb10 Dec18 Jul26 Jul14 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 119 2.50    
4  GLADRIEL Jul02 Feb25 Jan19 Jan01 Jul16 (padilla-precia)AGUILAR JEAN 117 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  I BELIEVE IN MAGIC Mar14 Feb15 Jan17 Dec08 Oct22 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  CLOUT CHASER Jun28 Jun11 May07 Mar20 Mar04 (st lewi)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 12.00    
 
MTH-4   08/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($28K) 2 F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLORIDA FLOWER         (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 119 6.00    
2  CORRIB QUEEN Jul21 Jul13       (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
3  CANTAFIO         (delgado )HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BUGGED OUT Jul04         (sweezey ke)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
5  SELECTIVE ENTRY         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00    
6  SIMSARA         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  TINY TEARS Jul13         (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 119 8.00 ★    
8  IN MY MEMORIES Jul11         (simoff andre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
9  VINO LIMONE         (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 114 5.00 ★    
10  CAROL SAID NO Jun21         (morley thomas)JUAREZ NIK 119 8.00    
SCR  LADY COLLECTED Jul27 Jun16       (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
 
MTH-5   08/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tyro Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOSTLY ROSE Jun21         (gonzalez javie)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of LET RIGHT BE DONE by WAR FRONT)
2  KIRIN May31         (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
  (by LORD NELSON out of WEALTH EFFECT by CURLIN)
SCR  NOBLE FORCE Jun21         (delgado jorge)NO RIDER 118 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GUESS WHAT by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  CRAZY FRAZY Jul13 Jun02       (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00 30% 2.30    
  (by BLAME out of D'ORO PARADISE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  JOHNNY COME LATELY May01         (ward a)BRAVO J 118 3.00    
  (by HOOTENANNY out of DOWN THE WELL by MUJADIL)
6  GOVERNOR SAM Jul19 May11       (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  JET SWEEP JOE Jul06 May02 Apr17     (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SISTER BLUES by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
MTH-6   08/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLOGE Jul20 Jun29 May26 May18 Apr27 (serey mar)VARGAS A 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  SWEET AS SUGAR Apr28 Apr21 Feb23 Feb10 Jan19 (shivmangal lo)OLVER MADISON 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FAIRY CAKES (GB) Jul13 Jun17 May08 Apr19 Nov29 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 114 8.00    
4  QUEEN TAPITURE Jul26 Jun30 May18 Sep01 Aug04 (hernandez jo)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
SCR  VEGAS WEEKEND Jun29 Jun15 May12 Apr04 Mar22 (arriaga anto)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
6  GRINGOTTS Jul14 Jul05 Jun21 May25 May10 (samsundar)BOCACHICA J 119 8.00    
7  EVERLYS GIRL Jul20 May16 Apr28 Mar15 Jan19 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-7   08/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAME CATHERINE Jul19 Jun15 Mar29 Feb16 Jan19 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50 7% 13.60    
2  FULLMOONMAGIC Jul08 Jun11 May20 Dec20 Nov27 (servis tyler)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.50 70% 0.40    
3  HIPATIA Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May18 Apr19 (harris )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 110 15.00    
4  PAUCILOQUENT Jul12 Jun27 May17 Mar22 Mar15 (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SMART RED Oct06 Sep04 Jul15 Jun30 Jun02 (captan bas)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 20.00    
6  VANELLOPE Jul17 Jul02 Jun08 May21 Jul18 (lake a)OCASIO M 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COLLECTIVE GOLD Jun28 Jun15 Jan30 Jan09 Nov13 (brown ho)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 4.50    
8  POWER AND GLORY Jul19 Jul03 Jun25 Jun08 May25 (thompson glen)IORIO MELISSA 116 15.00    
9  SPATIAL REALITY Jun29 Nov20 Oct18 Aug18 Jun30 (huston ro)VARGAS A 124 4.00    
SCR  LOOKING FOR WATER Jul05 Apr27 Mar22 Feb25 Feb11 (suarez wlaimar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
 
MTH-8   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($65.625K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jun28 May26 Sep09 Aug27 Jul23 (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  IRISH MEADOW Jul13 Jun28 Jun09 Aug27 Jul23 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Jul05 Jun08 Apr13 Oct06 Sep14 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  LAST ROMANCE Jul13 Jun24 May28 Apr24 Mar20 (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 8.00    
5  ALPHA COMPANY Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May26 May12 (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 116 20.00    
6  CRAFTY DON Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 May12 Jan31 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 114 12.00    
7  JASPER'S PRIDE Jul20 Jul06 Jun08 May19 Aug27 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
8  JERSEY PERFECTION Jun30 May26 Apr14 Oct26 Aug27 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
9  POGI Jul06 May19 Dec30 Nov18 Nov03 (schultz l)VARGAS A 121 6.00 10% 9.50    
10  AMATTEROFTIME Jun23 Jun09 Sep04 Aug27 Jul23 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
SCR  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Jul20 Jul05 Jun11 May19 Sep09 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00    
 
MTH-9   08/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RONSTADT Jul19 Jun22 May25 Apr26 Feb25 (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00    
SCR  SHARAR Mar10 Feb08 Oct14 Sep09 Aug05 (delgado jorge)JUAREZ NIK 121 2.50    
3  CONCEALED CARRY Jun25 May28 May01 Mar20 Jan31 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  STARSTRUCK NOTION Jul07 Jun09 Apr26 Oct14 Sep03 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  HOKU Jun18 Jun01 Mar01 Dec09 Oct10 (caban carlos )OCASIO M 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
6  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Jul19 Jun22 Apr13 Mar01 Jan27 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  GOLDEN PURCHASE Jul24 Jul06 Jun30 Jun14 Apr19 (jones eduardo)JARA FERNANDO 121 30.00    
8  MT SURIBACHI Jul19 Jun10 May11 Nov08 Oct17 (smylie timothy)MOYA F 121 10.00    
SCR  ANTIGRAVITY Jul12 Jun23 Jun01 May25 Nov11 (ward dan)BRAVO J 121 4.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY Jul12 Jun01 Mar29 Mar16 Feb16 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
 
MTH-10   08/03/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PORTIS Jul21 Jun21 May19 Aug06   (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.60 20% 3.90    
SCR  MOMENT AT SEA Jul05 Jun23 May09 Dec20 Nov22 (grullon )HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
3  LONG ASTRIDE Jul04 Jun09 May18 Mar08 Feb18 (serey jr)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50    
4  QUISTMER Jun30 Apr27 Sep09     (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 114 4.00    
5  JUST BE HONEST Jun30 Apr14       (carvajal luis)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00    
6  TORPEDO RUN Jul12 Sep06 May01 Apr09 Mar20 (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
7  EXCLUSIVE DANCER Jun25 Mar22 Mar14 Mar03 Feb16 (hamilton)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.