Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - July 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/7/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5)-(2/7/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/9/5)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/5)-(6/4)-(2/5/6/1/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(2/5/6/1/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(2/5/6/1/8)-(9/1/5/10/6) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/5/6/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/1/8)-(2/5/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/1/8)-(2/5/6/1/8)-(2/5/6/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/6/1/8)-(9/1/5/10/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/1/8)-(9/1/5/10/6)-(4/6/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PEN-4   WIN (9/1/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/10/6)-(9/1/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/10/6)-(9/1/5/10/6)-(9/1/5/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/10/6)-(4/6/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/10/6)-(4/6/1)-(5/4/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/4/1)-(4/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/25/2024 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALILEE Mar26 Jan31 Oct13 Sep21 Aug30 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 15.00    
2  PRETORIAN GOLD Jul03 Jun13 May23 May03 Mar22 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  BROOKLYN GUY Jun29 Apr26 Mar08 Feb11 Jan06 (alvarado dia)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00    
4  LA PAZ Jul03 Jun11 Nov30 Sep21 Aug09 (smith tho)VARGAS L 121 15.00    
5  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Jul03 Jun16 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOMETOWN HERO Jul05 Jun26 Jun04 May20 May01 (bravo-estrad)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 10.00    
7  BETWEEN THE COVERS Jun17 Dec24 Nov04 Jul19 Jun21 (alvarado dia)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
8  LE GRIFFON Jul03 May27 Apr07 Oct12 Sep17 (avila jua)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
9  SHOGUN BE FAST Jul06 Jun22 Apr24 Mar24 Feb13 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
PEN-2   07/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAERUS Jul05 Jun14 May05 Apr21 Feb22 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50    
2  PURPLE SHIRT Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May17 Jan11 (harigeorgio)INIRIO J 123 15.00    
3  DESANTIS Jul02 May28 May08 Apr16 Mar27 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 123 2.50 ★    
4  ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Jul14 Jun25 May11 Apr24 Apr08 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORD WINSALOT Jun29 May04 Mar21 Feb22 Feb02 (george a)CORA D 123 6.00    
6  MUSICAL HEART Jun16 Apr27 Apr12 Mar22 Mar02 (magee kie)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 116 2.00 66% 0.50    
 
PEN-3   07/25/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORK FROM HOME Jul10 Jun25 Jun05 May09 Mar22 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00 6% 15.70    
2  RUM TUM TUGGER Jun20 Jun08 May21 Mar29 Jul15 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  SOCIAL JOE Jul03 Jun25 Jun05 May07 Mar19 (betancourt eli)AGUILAR JEAN 116 12.00    
4  RUMORS TO BLAME Jun04 Feb08 Jan04 Dec06 Nov10 (rathman elish)ROJAS MARTINA 120 10.00    
5  STANDPOINT Jun18 Dec27 Nov21 Nov08 Sep23 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
6  UTILITY Jul10 Jun25 Jun05 May22 May02 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Jul10 Jun12 Nov01 Oct24 Oct03 (sarson b)BEATO INOEL 125 20.00    
8  LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May22 May02 (beattie sande)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TWIST OF FAITH Jun05 Dec20 Dec01 Oct17 Oct05 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
10  TACTICAL HUMOR Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 May22 May03 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 6.00    
SCR  ROLLY Jul11 Jun04 May22 May10   (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   07/25/2024 5490ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEYMAC Jul05 Jun17 Jun04 May22 Jan10 (betancourt j)CASTILLO A 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
2  LACCO AMENO Jul04 May31 Nov12 Oct14 Sep23 (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00    
3  LAKE NAKURU Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Jun04 May17 (kreiser c)CORA D 121 8.00    
4  HARDY CHOICE Jul03 Jun10 Apr30 Mar01 Feb22 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50    
5  WILL E SUTTON Jul05 Apr16 Feb02 Nov22 Sep30 (moreno tito)RAMOS C 121 15.00 10% 9.50    
6  JO JO KATZ Jul05 Jun19 Jun04 Nov14 Sep22 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Jul17 Jul05 Jun10 May11 Mar16 (dunham bernar)RIVERA D 125 4.00    
8  COPPERHEAD CREEK Jun19 Jun06 May16 May04 Mar15 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00    
9  RESTORED ORDER Jul11 Jun04 May11 Apr12 Feb24 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00 30% 2.30    
10  INDIRECTLY Jul05 Jun13 May23 May02 Mar07 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  KITTEN'S SPA Jun18 Jun05 May04 Apr25 Mar22 (collazo lui)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 12.00    
 
PEN-5   07/25/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORSODURO Jul10 Jun06 May22 May04 Mar01 (rideout ron)INIRIO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUGAR'S LAST HOPE Jul12 Jun26 Jun11 May10 Mar24 (sinnefia paulina)CHIAPPE R 118 2.00    
3  MUSKOKA GIANT Jul10 Jun25 Jun06 May22 May04 (beattie sandee)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
4  HE'S ON FIRE Jul10 Jun15 Jun01 May08 Mar25 (mancilla a)CORA D 121 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  DON'T QUESTION ME Jul10 Jun25 Jun06 May22 May04 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 3.50    
SCR  BOOK MARKER May23 May10 May01 Apr08 Mar21 (kravets bru)RAMOS C 121 4.50 19% 4.10    
 
PEN-6   07/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLANCY O'TOOLE Feb19 Feb05 Nov08 Aug21 Jul18 (velazquez da)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RENEWING VOWS Jun22 May31 Apr14 Dec15 Mar22 (bennett j)CARRASCO R 121 10.00    
3  LUCKY LINUS Jul08 Jun20 Jun04 May10 Apr30 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 118 8.00    
4  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jun19 Jun04 May16 Apr30 Mar15 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 12% 7.40    
5  FOLE'S NOTION Jun08 May16 May02 Feb02 Dec29 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  EASTER BET Jul12 Jul04 May29 May08 Apr09 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 118 3.50    
SCR  BAZINGA D Jul12 Jun20 Jun04 May16 May02 (kreiser t)VARGAS L 121 3.00    
 
PEN-7   07/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLS RUN Jul03 Jun18 May10 Dec27 Nov24 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00    
2  BEJUCO Jun26 May23 May10 Mar06 Feb16 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
3  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Jul10 Nov08 Oct27 Sep22 Sep07 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 12.00    
4  SPORTING THE GOLD Jul10 Jun04 May23 May02 Apr09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  PRACTICALLYMINE Jun26 Jun18 May31 May07 Apr23 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jul10 Jun18 May29 May02 Jan31 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 123 3.50    
7  HYPER INFLATION Jun27 Jun11 May23 May10 Feb23 (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.