Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (4/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6)-(4/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/6)-(3/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/6)-(3/6/5/7)-(4/3/1/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/7)-(4/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/7)-(4/3/1/8)-(1/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/8)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/8)-(1/2/6)-(5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/2/4)-(3/6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/6/5/1)-(6/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (3/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1)-(3/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/1)-(6/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-7   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHEE Sep16 Sep02 Aug13 Aug04 Jul03 (abrahamson )MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 4.00    
2  PRINCE OF LUCK Jun28 Oct09 Sep24 Sep02 Aug19 (freeman v)CRUZ M 125 1.80 18% 4.60    
3  MOJAVE (GB) Jun22 Jun01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 8% 11.40    
4  UPPER ROOM Jun28 Jun09 May18 Apr30 Apr02 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  PICK A LANE FRANK Jun29 Jun15 Oct11 Sep17 Sep03 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 125 6.00    
6  ROYAL JESTER Jun09 Jun07 Mar19 Mar04 Jan29 (gilmour jim)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Jun23 Jun15 Jun01 Oct08 Oct02 (navarro jose)MAWING A 125 8.00    
 
EMD-2   07/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN SPRING Jun21 May31 May18 Feb23   (silva-martine)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.00    
2  HATAGASAL Jun23 Jun14 May02 Apr04 Mar28 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 3.50    
3  THE GOLDEN EGG Jun14 May31 May18 Sep16 Sep03 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 1.60 36% 1.80    
4  POCO DIABLO ROJO Jun23 Jun14 May31 Dec31 Dec02 (baze robert)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
5  PUTDADDYINACADDY         (seymour carl)LOPEZ KARLO 125 8.00 15% 5.50    
6  ROPER         (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 121 15.00 17% 5.00    
7  ALLANTE Jun23 May25 May04 Sep17 Aug27 (belvoir howard)MATIAS J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A LOT OF VERVE Jun29 Jun15 Apr24 Apr03   (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 4.50 18% 4.50    
2  EARTHLY TIGER May31 May04 Apr18 Dec10   (gibson howar)OROZCO E 125 5.00    
3  SOLDATNA Jun21 Jun01 Apr19 Mar10 Feb04 (wright blaine)REYES R 125 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  POLIS Jun14 Jun01 May04 Mar17 Jan14 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  IM GUNNA Jun07 May04 Oct21 Sep17 Aug31 (gilmour jim)MAWING A 121 15.00    
6  WAITINGATTHEBAR Jun08 May04 Mar31 Mar10   (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
7  AVELLINASA Jun29 Jun15       (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 121 10.00    
8  IBN SINA Jun15         (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-4   07/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEUNTOUCHABLEONE Jun14 May12 Aug25 Aug06 Jul09 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 1.40 30% 2.30    
2  UNCLE LEON Jun16 Apr15 Mar19 Dec30 Nov24 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  SUMMANUS Jun16 Jun02 May19 Dec31 Dec01 (perez s)REYES R 122 4.00    
4  RIMROCK LAKE Jun07 May11 Sep17 Aug27 Jul30 (navarro jose)MAWING A 118 12.00    
5  NATION OF FAITH Jun29 Jun15 May31 May12 Sep10 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 125 6.00    
6  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY Jun16 May27 May06 Mar19 Feb08 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY BOY May25 May11 Sep02 Aug18 Jul23 (gibson vince)ENRIQUEZ D 121 15.00    
2  MISTER MIDAS May26 May11 Jun25 May27 May14 (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  RHODESIA Aug27 Aug13 Jul15 Jun25 May28 (soranno )AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00    
4  CONRAD MEADOWS Jul03 Jun16 May18 Sep02 Aug18 (navarro jose)MAWING A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ICE TOWER Jun01 Sep02 Aug04 Jul21 Jun25 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.20 37% 1.70    
6  NIGHT TO REMEMBER Aug20 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 122 8.00    
 
EMD-6   07/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KO SAMUI (IRE) Jun16 Jun07 Mar30 Mar16 Mar08 (gabriel luciano )ZUNINO L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAJUN TREASURE Jun30 Jun02 May18 Apr16 Jul03 (hernandez migue)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
3  MOONLIGHTNWINE Jul03 Jun08 May19 Aug25 Aug04 (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  ELEVADO Jun23 May12 Apr13 Mar15 Feb23 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 4.00    
5  WINTER FALCON Jun21 Apr13 Feb03 Jan05 Nov23 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 10.00 15% 5.80    
6  D K'S CROWN Jun23 Jun08 May26 Apr10 Mar06 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
7  CLUB MESQUITE Jun23 Jun16 Jun02 Apr29 Aug16 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 3.00    
 
EMD-7   07/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGAGING SOUL Jun30 Jun21 Jun02     (bean a)REYES R 125 12.00    
2  TIA SUZI Jun16 Jun01 May18 May02 Apr16 (alvarez )AMADOR RUIZ 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SORORITY PARTY Jun23 Jun15       (toye joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.50    
SCR  HARBOR LASS Jun16 Jun01 May18 May04 Mar20 (perez s)KRIGGER K 121 4.50    
5  SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT         (gibson howar)MARTIN A 121 15.00 17% 5.00    
6  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET         (bozell alan)LOPEZ KARLO 125 12.00 18% 4.40    
7  SHILSHOLE BAY Mar25 Mar05 Feb13 Jan31 Oct08 (lawrence heath)MAWING A 121 6.00    
8  NORTHERN LINCHPIN Mar14 Feb22 Dec03 Nov19 Oct21 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 2.00 18% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.