Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (3/1/5/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/9/4)-(3/1/5/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/9/4)-(3/1/5/9/4)-(3/1/5/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (8/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/9)-(7/1/8/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/9)-(7/1/8/9/5)-(7/1/8/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-5   WIN (9/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/5)-(9/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/5)-(9/2/7/5)-(9/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/8)-(6/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (8/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/1)-(8/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/1)-(8/3/5/1)-(8/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/6)-(8/5/10/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6)-(8/5/10/6/4)-(8/5/10/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-10   WIN (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5)-(3/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/06/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR MASQUE Jun08 May18 Mar09 Jan17 Oct06 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MASQUE D'OISEAU by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Aug27 Jul23 Jun11 May20 Apr23 (mcburney)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
ONE FINE WINE Jun08 May18       (mcburney )VARGAS A 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PINOT GRIGIO by UNBRIDLED JET)
MOLLY'S A BULLET Aug27 Jul21 Jun30     (margotta ant)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
STARVIEW TWINKLE         (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 123 10.00 16% 5.50    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of HIDDEN JOY by KITTEN'S JOY)
WHISKEY AND RAIN Oct13 Sep15 Sep10 Aug19 Jul21 (simon li)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
LET HER RUN Jun16 Sep03 May20 Sep11 Aug28 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 123 4.50    
  (by JUMP START out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
VIVID ARTISTE Jun16 May18 Jul21 Jun30 Jun03 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 114 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MELODRAMA by ORB)
SALT AND LIGHT         (harris ho)HERNANDEZ F 119 12.00 16% 5.50    
  (by IL POSTINO out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
 
MTH-2   07/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO REGARD Jun22 May26 Apr19 Mar09 Feb10 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
EL DE LEO Jun28 Jun02 May12 Mar24 Mar03 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00    
RUN CORY RUN May11 Mar02 Jan21 Dec16   (delgado j)VARGAS A 121 1.80 38% 1.60    
FESTINATE Jun22 Jun09 Apr27 Mar29   (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  GRATED COCONUT Jun24 May12 Apr05 Mar22 Feb21 (sacco gregory)IORIO MELISSA 112 2.00    
EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Jun22 Jun08 May26 May12 Nov20 (milne joan)JUAREZ NIK 121 8.00    
 
MTH-3   07/06/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE DRUNK NEIGHBOR Apr26         (breen j)JUAREZ NIK 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
ATTRAYANT May03 Apr14 Mar08 Jan21 Dec24 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
EDITOR'S CHOICE Jun22 May27 Dec16 Jul14 Jun03 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00    
GOVERNOR DUTTON Jun02         (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
T V MAN Jun21 Jun01 May19 Oct06 Aug27 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 119 15.00    
RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Dec15 Nov12 Oct06     (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
BRAD'S BET Jun23 Jun02 Sep03 Jul23 Jun18 (cash russell )IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00    
NEW SPELL Jun04 Apr30 Mar29 Feb15 Jan31 (linder j)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MTH-4   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLISON PARK         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
GYPSY STYLE Jun16 May18       (carango)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
FANCY'S ROSEBUD Jun08         (mazza joseph )OLVER MADISON 119 8.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of WALKING PRIMROSE by RAVEN'S PASS)
ALI'S HANNAH Jun22 Jun09       (pantaleo jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00    
  (by ALI out of PRIVATE COUNCEL by ELTISH)
J WILLARD Jun16 Jun08 May18 Apr24 Apr01 (simon li)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
EATONTOWN GIRL Jun16 May18 Aug27     (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BERNING CARBS by BERNARDINI)
LADY MARLEEN Oct26         (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
GROOVY SENSATION         (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00 13% 6.70    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of GOOD AND GROOVY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
MILDOON Jun16 Jun08 May18 Sep10 Aug27 (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 5.00 9% 10.60    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
 
MTH-5   07/06/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLY FLY AWAY Jun22 May26 May07 Jan21 Jan05 (potts way)HERNANDEZ F 121 6.00    
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW May19 May04 Apr13 Mar13 Feb18 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 114 8.00 8% 11.90    
SAND DUNE Jun22 Feb21 Sep04 Jun24 Jun09 (abrams j)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
SCR  WOOD BE WILD Jun22 May18 Apr16 Feb19 Feb07 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
CABINET PIK Aug26 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jun04 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
WE READY Jun25 Jun12 May18 Apr30 Apr22 (perez ru)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
BABY BOOMER Feb23 Feb09 Nov24 Nov03 Oct18 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50    
EDDIE THE GREAT Jun29 Jun15 May11 Feb24 Jan13 (gonzalez claudio)JUAREZ NIK 119 4.50    
FAST FIXER May22 Mar23 Feb10 Jan13 Dec21 (giddings melan)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 66% 0.50    
 
MTH-6   07/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Jun30 Jun15 May25 Apr26   (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.00    
YUMYUM EAT EM UP Jun28 Apr28 Mar23 Mar08 Jan27 (serey jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
FLAG SONG FLYIN Jun28 Jun09 May26 May03 Mar29 (gallegos jose )RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  LA DE PELUCHE Jun22 Jun08 May25 Apr21 Apr07 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 123 12.00    
BABY CAKES Jun22 Jun08 May18 Mar03 Feb25 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
CLASSY CHICK Jun28 Feb04 Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 37% 1.70    
S K MOON Jun22 Jun09 May29 May06 Nov02 (pantaleo joseph)ESCOBAR E 123 6.00    
AZTECA STARDUST Jun21 May26 May02     (potts way)HERNANDEZ F 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA GROTTE May24 Apr18 Mar24 Feb19 Dec30 (belsoeur )VARGAS A 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Jun30 Jun14 Apr19 Mar17 Feb29 (jones )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00    
SHOGUN BE FAST Jun22 Apr24 Mar24 Feb13 Sep17 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 117 4.50 23% 3.40    
BAZZARINA Jun15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec24 Dec10 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 116 8.00    
THREETHIRTYTHREE Jun02 Apr13 Mar10 Feb11 Jan17 (hernande)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 6% 15.00    
SHEER DOMINANCE May21 May08 Apr01 Mar13 Dec08 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
DREAMING OF ABBA May25 Apr28       (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 112 3.50    
OY VEY May13 Apr24 Mar23 Feb23 Jan12 (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 117 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SUPREME DOMINANCE Jun18 May18 Mar02 Feb03 Oct07 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.50    
 
MTH-8   07/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN LOOSE May19 Oct28 Aug27 Aug04 Jun16 (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
KAZ SWEET HEIST Jun09 May19 Mar15 Feb29 Feb09 (synnefias dimitri)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00    
JASPER'S PRIDE Jun08 May19 Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
I'M ON FIRE Jun09 May12 Apr19 Oct13 Sep09 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
GROUCH Jun09 Oct13 Sep04 Aug27 Aug06 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHIP TO SHORE (IRE) May12 Mar16 Jan06 Dec09 Sep09 (owens edd)VARGAS A 117 2.00 22% 3.60    
POGI May19 Dec30 Nov18 Nov03 Sep04 (giangiulio mic)PENNINGTON F 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  WILD MULE Feb15 Dec14 Aug27 Aug05 May14 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00    
 
MTH-9   07/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jersey Girl Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER'S COMIN Jun09 May11 Apr20 Jan03 Nov29 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 116 30.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EMIRATES GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BINGO'S BIRKIN Jun08 Jul21 Jun30     (sanchez loz)JUAREZ NIK 115 12.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of FUTURE STORY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SEA MAIDEN Jun02 May18 Oct24 Oct06 Sep22 (huston k)NO RIDER 117 15.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of SPLENDORED THING by LANGFUHR)
SCR  BEL PENSIERO Jun02 May18 Sep10 Jul28 Jul15 (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 10.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
MIA'S CRUSADE Jun02 May18 Oct06 Aug27 Jul08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 31% 2.30    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MINI MONEIGH by MO MON)
MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Jan12 Dec02 Oct04 Sep10 Aug11 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of HEIR STREAM by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  DELIGHTFUL AVA Jun09 May11 Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 (frangella jr)NO RIDER 115 30.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SCURRY by SKY MESA)
RIDING PRETTY Jun02 Apr21 Feb24 Jan27 Dec23 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by JACK MILTON out of HIGH RENAISSANCE by GIROLAMO)
JOY AND PROSPERITY Jun02 Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 Aug11 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PROSPERITY AVENUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  BRAMBLE BAY Apr21 Feb21 Nov18 Oct06 Jul27 (breen j)PENNINGTON F 121 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  THE CLASSY ONE Jun02 May11 Sep10 Aug19 Jul08 (breen j)NO RIDER 121 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
 
MTH-10   07/06/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE CAN SCAT Jun23 Jun08 Apr07 Mar06 Feb10 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 120 1.60 22% 3.60    
CAPTURE THIS Jun28 Jun15 May19 Feb29 Dec30 (ortega leop)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 12.00    
BUCKIN' LUCKY Jun30 Jun22 Jun08 May25 May03 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 117 2.50 42% 1.40    
LUMINOUS RULER Jun15 May25 Apr11 Mar07 Feb16 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
NANASQUAN Jun08 May18 Feb16 Jan11 Dec27 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
GENERAL ROBINSON Jun23 Jun08 Apr25 Apr07 Feb15 (delgado jorg)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 8.00 7% 14.20    
BORNFORGREATNESS Jun30 Jun08 May18 Mar29 Jan19 (david ca)HERNANDEZ J 117 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.