Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - June 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/2/1)-(3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/4/6)-(4/5/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(1/4/9/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-4   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(1/4/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6)-(1/4/9/8/7)-(5/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/4/9/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/8/7)-(1/4/9/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/8/7)-(1/4/9/8/7)-(1/4/9/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/9/8/7)-(5/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/8/7)-(5/1/6)-(3/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(3/4/5)-(6/7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (6/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   06/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VANDULIE Jun16 Jun02 May19 Aug18 Jul30 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 5.00 57% 0.70    
SCR  DEVIL D' ORO May31 May10 Apr04     (evans ju)AMADOR RUIZ 121 0.80    
SCR  EXCLUSIVELY NOBLE Jun14 May26 May19 Apr27 Apr05 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 125 4.50    
JUST PIN ME Jun14 May26 May11 Oct01   (tubbs scott)ORTIZ A 125 6.00    
BABY MARTINI Jun02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul28 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 10.00 12% 7.60    
MY MOTORHOME Jun14 May18 May04 Mar22 Mar01 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
 
EMD-2   06/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOUGHTS OF GOLD Jun09 May25 May12 Mar15 Feb22 (homer jason)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
OUR VALLEY Mar05 Jan31 Dec11 Oct29 Oct15 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 6.00 30% 2.40    
PICK A LANE FRANK Jun15 Oct11 Sep17 Sep03 Aug07 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50    
TAINO HOUSE Jun21 Jun02 May18 Mar18 Feb29 (perez s)REYES R 125 2.00 39% 1.50    
DECIMATE Jan28 Dec30 Dec03 Nov17 Oct30 (wenzel tom)MAWING A 125 3.50    
ARTHUR SPOONER Jun15 Jun01 May04 Dec10 Oct30 (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
 
EMD-3   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUSLY INSPIRED Jun14 May31 May04 Apr14   (homer jason)MAWING A 125 4.00    
BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Jun14 May31 Dec04 Nov07 Oct25 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50    
QUAIL Jun21 Jun09 May25 Mar27 Mar03 (rosales jorge)REYES R 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
NATION OF FAITH Jun15 May31 May12 Sep10 Aug27 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  FED GRANT Jun15 May26 May12 Apr29 Apr09 (birdwell tena)GUTIERREZ M 125 5.00    
WEDNESDAY AT SHADY Jun21 May25 Apr09 Mar19 Dec28 (tubbs scott)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-4   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MAMBO May19 May04 Apr09     (homer jason)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
PRINCE OF MEMPHIS Jun07         (gilmour jim)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00    
ALZATI         (harwood m)MONTALVO C 121 4.50 8% 11.00    
UNCLE PETE Jun07 Jun11 May27 May13 Aug28 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 1.40 34% 1.90    
KNIGHTLINE Jun01 May11 Sep03 Aug27 Aug05 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
BUTTONSARENOTTOYS         (homer jason)MAWING A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
JACOB YEN Jun15 Sep02 Aug18     (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 121 6.00    
 
EMD-5   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET MOGUL Jun15 May31 Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
PAKAS SECRET Jun15 May19 May04 Mar29 Mar08 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 8.00    
LOUIE THE FIRST Sep03         (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
A LOT OF VERVE Jun15 Apr24 Apr03     (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
MR. EXECUTIVE Jun01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 Jun18 (wright blaine)REYES R 121 5.00    
AVELLINASA Jun15         (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
KNOCKOUT GUY Jun15 Jun01 Apr25 Apr15 Mar27 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
ENJOY THE MOMENT Jun15 Apr20 Mar30 Jan02 Nov20 (baze robert)LOPEZ KARLO 125 6.00 11% 8.00    
JULLIAN IN PARIS         (wenzel tom)MAWING A 121 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
EMD-6   06/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGULATION DAZED Jun15 Jun02 Mar22 Feb18 Feb03 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
SUMMER SHANDEE Jun09 May31 May19 May04 Apr08 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.00    
WEAR THE CROWN Jun01 May18 Apr15 Mar26 Mar13 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
MOON TIME Jun09 May31 May04 Apr09 Mar19 (gabriel luciano)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
ATOMIC CANDY Jun15 May20 May06 Apr01 Mar18 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
SENSEMAKER Jun07 May12 Mar28 Mar04 Feb11 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-7   06/29/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FALSELY ACCUSED Jun16 May19 Apr25 Apr04 Mar18 (homer jason)MAWING A 122 12.00    
EVER A REBEL Jun07 Feb01 Dec21 Nov21 Oct14 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
DIRT ROAD RED Jun02 May12 Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 (cryderman cand)REYES R 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
COASTAL JAZZ Jun16 May18 May04 Apr13 Mar24 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jun01 Oct09 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (van debbie)MATIAS J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHUCKANUT BAY Jun07 May26 Jun30 Jun02 Apr28 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 2.50    
 
EMD-8   06/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSSYBYNATURE Jun21 May25 Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 (navarro jose)MAWING A 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BENNY BUCKETS Jun15 May25 May04 Apr09 Mar27 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50    
FIRST ENDEAVOR Jun14 May31 Sep17 Aug27 Aug20 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 1.80    
COY ROY Jun08 May19 Apr24     (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
RALLIFIED May25 Oct08 Sep02 Aug18   (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 20.00    
MOTIVATING FORCE Jun14 May25 May12 Apr20 Mar24 (rosales jorge)REYES R 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
CHINOOK BEND Jun08 May25 May11 Jul09   (gibson f)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 17% 4.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.