Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(4/7/2/1)-(6/13/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/1)-(6/13/5)-(1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/13/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/13/5)-(6/13/5/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/13/5)-(6/13/5/9/7)-(6/13/5/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/13/5)-(1/4)-(2/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/1/4)-(1/4/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-7   WIN (1/4/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/10/11)-(1/4/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/10/11)-(1/4/10/11)-(1/4/10/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(8/5/4/3)-(6/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-9   WIN (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/6/3)-(8/5/4/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3)-(6/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-10   WIN (6/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1)-(6/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOTER'S HONOR Mar29 Feb18 Jan21 Jan05 Nov30 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SCOOT ON BY by CATIENUS)
2  BACLIFF Apr21 Mar16       (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of CAMERON CRAZIES by LION HEART)
SCR  MARIAH (CHI) Feb23 Jan13 Dec13 Nov16 Oct21 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BUSTED AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
4  HIGHLANDER HONEY Apr27 Apr06 Mar16     (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 3.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of DANCE TEAM by DYNAFORMER)
5  GOD KNOWS WHY Apr21 Apr06 Mar16     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by EAGLE out of KATIE'S TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
6  LOVE ME DO         (davidson m )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 12.00    
  (by EAGLE out of WON VIEW by GUNNER'S VIEW (GB))
 
LS-2   05/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO LUTE         (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SMARTY MO by SMARTY JONES)
2  BORDER VIGIL         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of WAR TWEET by DATA LINK)
3  BIG RASEE         (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of PI by FLATTER)
4  CONSESSION         (newbold jo)RAMIREZ JR 114 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of BERN OBSESSION by BERNSTEIN)
5  GAME RUNNER         (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.50 ★    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SHE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  GLEE (GB)         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 111 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of RED TABBY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
LS-3   05/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF PREACHERMAN Apr21 Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 May21 (lewis jeh)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  IRON MOON Apr06 Feb25 Aug27 Aug12 Jul16 (hernandez alex)BENAVIDES D 124 10.00 19% 4.10    
3  BARBACOA Apr21 Apr04 Mar21 Feb25 Jul01 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 5.00    
4  ROMAN GENERAL Apr21 Apr06 Feb18     (ashford ray)DIEGO V 118 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  COPPER STATE Apr27 Mar21 Mar07 Feb23 Dec13 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 1.60    
6  LEXINGTON RIVER Apr27 Mar15 Feb08 Jan13 Dec19 (bryant georg)PIVARAL GERBER 118 20.00    
7  PALMETTO DEVIL May04 Mar16 Jan12 Jun08   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.00 20% 4.00    
 
LS-4   05/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN WARRIOR Mar24 Feb09 Nov28 Nov04   (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00    
SCR  TRIBAL QUEEN Sep14 Sep01 Jul29 Jul02 Jun04 (gomez j)SANCHEZ OBED 119 20.00    
3  TIZ FABULOUS Apr28 Mar30 Mar10 Jan20 Dec01 (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 6.00    
4  JOHNNY APPLESEED May04 Sep29 Sep14 Sep01 May27 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
5  MISTER BEAMS Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 Dec29 Oct23 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 5% 19.00    
6  SOLDIERS SACRIFICE Mar30 Mar09 Nov24 Oct07 Sep14 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
7  CATCHEM IF YOU CAN Mar24 Jan20 Dec01 Oct02 Sep14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 ★    
8  SECRET TAVERN Apr07 Mar29 Mar09 Jan28 Jan13 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 118 20.00    
9  LOUISIANA FLASH Apr05 Mar09 Feb17 Feb02 Aug13 (h)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO Mar09 Feb19 Jan20 Sep04 Jul15 (sauceda)ALVAREZ AMADOR 124 12.00    
SCR  DICEY WAGER Apr07 Mar07 Aug12     (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 15.00    
SCR  BOLD EXCAPER Apr05 Mar01 Feb19 Jan20 Jan05 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
13  BLOCKED Apr19 Mar16 Feb02 Oct14 Sep14 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
 
LS-5   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($35.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERNIE BANKER Apr07 Mar16 Feb23 Dec12 Oct12 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
2  SPEIGHT AND MALICE May03 Mar09 Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00    
SCR  EMPERADOR Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 Feb11 Nov10 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.00    
SCR  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Feb25 Nov25 Nov03 Oct12 Aug13 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PRANKS Apr16 Feb25 Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00    
6  CAMPFIRE CREED Mar14 Nov24 Oct26 Oct11 Dec17 (p)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 15.00    
SCR  BOBBY BRINKLEY Apr28 Apr18 Mar23 Feb17 Dec14 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00    
 
LS-6   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT RED BIRD Apr28 Jun04 May14 Apr13 Jul22 (bustamante ray)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
2  COWGIRLSLIKEBLING Apr27 Mar29 Feb17 Jul02   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.50 53% 0.90    
3  CREAM PUFF REAPER Apr27 Apr19 Apr07 Mar30 Feb19 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 118 3.00    
4  VOODOO MISTRESS Apr28 Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 (t)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRANKY SHEILA Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Feb02 Aug07 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 15.00    
6  TOO MUCH GUITAR Apr21 Apr06 Mar24 Mar02 Feb18 (govea ces)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 12.00    
7  SPACE PIRATE Apr27 Feb16 Jan26 Nov29 Oct27 (dupuy allen)SALAZAR TERESA 119 10.00    
8  GOLD MEMORIES Apr27 Apr06 Mar08 Feb11 Jan26 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  CLIPPER COVE Mar29 Mar24 Mar09 Aug27 Aug12 (hernandez alex)BENAVIDES D 124 20.00    
 
LS-7   05/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAN'S TURN TO WIN Oct12 Aug25 Jul23 Jul01 Jun25 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  A ROZE AND WINE Mar29 Mar15 Jan13 Nov01 Sep13 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
SCR  STAN'S GOLDEN PATH Mar29 Feb04 Jan13 Dec01 Nov20 (chacaltana domi)BENAVIDES D 120 20.00    
4  BENDELENE Mar02 Aug25 Jun17 Apr23 Apr02 (padilla a)DIEGO V 120 10.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MY BABYS GONE Mar29 Feb04 Jan13 Dec15 Nov20 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 120 20.00    
6  RUMPUS May03 Mar29 Mar15 Feb16 Feb04 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00    
7  CHIKARA Sep30 Sep08 Aug06 Jun10 Apr21 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 20.00    
SCR  EQUILOVE (IRE) Feb18 Feb04 Jan06 Nov11 Oct14 (cappellucci d)CABRERA DAVID 122 6.00    
9  FIRE VISION Mar17 Feb07 Jan11 Dec19 Nov25 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 2.50    
10  STRESSED Mar14 Feb16 Jan19 Oct27 Oct06 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
11  WILLOW MOON Mar14 Oct20 Oct07 Mar23 Jan28 (cravens ronni)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-8   05/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($40.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURN NORTH May04 Feb09 Jan27 Aug21 Jul03 (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50    
2  BANDERA BLING Apr19 Mar03 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 3.00 ★    
3  MY BUDDY MEL Apr20 Apr07 Mar17 Jan27 Dec15 (hibdon n)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 15.00 10% 9.00    
4  BUBBA'S RECKLESS Mar17 Feb17 Jan21 Jan05 Jun17 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
5  FLAT OUT PERFECT Mar24 Feb24 Feb03     (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 122 20.00    
SCR  OZZIES WINGS Y G May04 Apr18 Apr05 Mar16 Mar01 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
7  HEZAKOOLKAT Apr19 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 Jul03 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
8  RIPSTER Apr19 Apr05 Mar17 Mar01 Feb17 (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00    
9  SON OF A BLING Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 Jan05 Dec11 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
 
LS-9   05/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIGER MAN MCKOOL May04 Mar17 Jun17     (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 20.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of LADY GIACAMO by GIACOMO)
2  XANDER S Apr19 Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 Jan13 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
3  LEONARDO CREED         (love alan)SALAZAR TERESA 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
4  BABY OF THE FAMILY Apr19 Mar30 Mar10     (martin b)SANCHEZ OBED 123 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
5  CHASING COYOTES May03 Mar15 Feb09 Jan18 Dec11 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
6  YO SOY ROY May03 Feb29 Jan18 Dec12 Nov06 (cappellucci dick)ELLIOTT S 118 6.00 ★    
  (by YOSHIDA out of QUALITY LANE by QUALITY ROAD)
7  MR. TEXAS CHARM Jun24 Jun05 May13     (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 118 8.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BEL AIR KID by LEMON DROP KID)
8  UP UP AND AWAY Apr19 Mar17       (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by KEEP UP out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
9  KICKED TO THE CURB         (wilson shan)WETHEY JR 118 20.00    
  (by DOMINUS out of FIVETHIRTYNINE by BERNSTEIN)
10  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION May04 Apr05 Mar17     (love alan)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 30.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
 
LS-10   05/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURQUOISE BLUE Apr21 Mar30 Feb19     (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of TAYRONA by A. P. WARRIOR)
2  COUNTY JUDGE Mar24 Feb11 Dec30 Nov22   (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 30.00    
  (by MITOLE out of THREE D FLAG by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  NERKY ROSE Mar24 Feb25 Feb11 Jan28 Oct13 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CORDELHIA by AUSTRALIA (GB))
4  BLAME DENNIS Feb10 Dec14 Aug29     (keithan rachael)ELLIOTT S 118 30.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SLEWPY'S STAR by STAR PROGRAMMER)
5  GET RIPPED Mar24 Mar03       (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 124 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PURPLE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
6  HOLD MY BEER BRO Mar22 Mar01 Feb04 Nov10 Oct24 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.00 50% 1.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of QUALITY SILVER by EUROSILVER)
7  ONE LAST BID Mar24 Mar03 Feb11     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by KINGMAN out of ACOMA by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  DINERO DE LA CASA Mar22 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13   (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LAST PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  CORREDOR Apr18 Apr06 Feb18     (young e)CABRERA DAVID 118 5.00    
  (by KLIMT out of MY FOOLISH HEART by SKY MESA)
SCR  GETOUTYOURWALLET         (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of DONTMESSWITHJOANNE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  R R EMPIRE Feb25 Jan28 May05 Apr16 Mar09 (k)DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.