Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(2/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(2/6/1)-(3/5/1/9/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(3/5/1/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(3/5/1/9/8)-(3/9/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (3/5/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/9/8)-(3/5/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/9/8)-(3/5/1/9/8)-(3/5/1/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/9/8)-(3/9/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/9/8)-(3/9/8/6)-(6/2/10/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6)-(3/9/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/8/6)-(6/2/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/6)-(6/2/10/5)-(1/6/2/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/2/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/10/5)-(6/2/10/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/10/5)-(6/2/10/5/4)-(6/2/10/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/10/5)-(1/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/10/5)-(1/6/2/7)-(3/1/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7)-(1/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/7)-(3/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/7)-(3/1/7/6)-(6/4/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/4/6)-(3/1/7/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6)-(6/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/6)-(6/4/3/7)-(4/10/6/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7)-(6/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/7)-(4/10/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/10/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/6/3)-(4/10/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/10/6/3)-(4/10/6/8/3)-(4/10/6/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOMAR'S HOPE Apr05 Mar17 Feb17 Jan24 Jan10 (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 125 20.00    
2  SEAX Apr07 Mar24 Mar08 Feb16 Feb07 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 125 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  DOUBLE WARRIOR Mar24 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 Jun06 (exposito adolf)SUAREZ JESUS 125 2.00    
4  YOU BACK Mar22 Jan07       (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLACK ECHO Apr03 Feb02 Dec31 Dec01   (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 120 30.00    
6  JERSEY PERFECTION Oct26 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 Jun25 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
7  LITTLE LUKEY Mar22         (ellebracht gar)LINDSAY CHAD 120 15.00    
SCR  CHIEF HARLAN Mar20 Feb07 Aug06 Jun24 Sep29 (gonzalez jav)MENESES MARCOS 125 8.00    
 
TAM-2   04/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD BERRIER Mar20 Feb18 Feb02 Jan14 Dec27 (de jesus )MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00 10% 9.00    
2  JUST BEAT THE ODDS Mar06 Jan20 Dec16 Oct22 Sep09 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 48% 1.10    
3  CAPTURE THE TIME Apr06 Feb21 Feb04 Dec24 Oct27 (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50    
4  SILVER STYLE Mar08 Feb21 Jan17 Dec27 Dec16 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
5  FEAST Mar29 Jan19 Jan06 Dec22 Nov22 (lopez robe)FERRER C 118 8.00    
6  MAGICAL WARRIOR Feb29 Jul30 Jun10 May29 Apr26 (bennett gerald)LINDSAY CHAD 118 3.50 13% 6.60    
 
TAM-3   04/14/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTIVATING SOUND Apr05         (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00 6% 17.20    
2  DANNEEL Mar23 Feb04 Jan03 Dec20 Dec02 (laurato mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00    
3  OMEGA MS Mar13         (granitz anthony )FERRER C 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  PIZZICATO Mar23 Mar10       (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 115 20.00    
5  TOURIST STYLE Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
6  LADY LYLA Mar15 Dec20 Nov10     (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 120 10.00    
7  ESTRELLA KIARA Mar23 Dec31 Dec15 Sep16   (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 120 6.00    
8  TAPPING GIRL Apr06 Mar22       (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  PRECIOUS GRACE Feb28         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  FUTURE FORTUNE Apr05 Mar15 Feb02 Jan14 Jan03 (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 15.00    
SCR  JERSEY FACTOR Mar15 Jan24 Jan03 Dec02   (dini mike)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
SCR  SAHISH Mar17 Feb28 Jan07 Sep06 Aug25 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
SCR  MISS TARISANSOL Feb25 Jan25 Dec29     (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 120 4.00    
SCR  GULF COAST GIRL Mar30 Feb28 Feb09 Jan13 Jan03 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 115 5.00    
 
TAM-4   04/14/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRYCENS GOLD Mar06 Feb25 Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 (tsirigotis jam)ALLEN D 124 15.00    
2  REAL MIKEY Mar15 Mar03 Feb18 Feb03 Jan14 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 126 4.50    
3  ALWAYS CONNECTED Mar29 Mar15 Feb28 Feb07 Jan27 (richards rena)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  MORENA DANCER Apr07 Mar16 Mar03 Feb18 Feb09 (marrero nest)ARROYO S 124 4.00    
5  RITZ ON BROADWAY Mar22 Mar13 Feb09 Jan13 Jan03 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
6  POLA OF TROUBLE Apr06 Mar13 Mar03 Feb16 Oct10 (cascallares)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  QUEEN AIKO Mar22 Feb23 Feb04 Dec29 Nov12 (laurato mic)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 30.00    
8  CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 Jan24 Jan12 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  EXAGERADORA Mar29 Feb25 Feb07 Jan27 Jan10 (potts )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 114 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
TAM-5   04/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERY DEBONAIRE Mar27 Feb11 Feb03 Dec17 Dec01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
2  MY FAVORITE TOPIC Jan17 Dec09 Oct06 Aug23 May26 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.00 8% 11.50    
3  TARHE Mar30 Feb09 Jan05 May31 Apr22 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
4  DIVINING STONE Mar27 Mar06 Feb07 Jan21 Jan10 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 12.00 ★    
5  DRUM AND DRUMMER Mar24 Oct06 Sep06 Aug26 Aug02 (mcgoey mo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STREET VENDOR Mar22 Feb22 Dec24 Oct09 Aug20 (smith ro)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
7  MO TOWN BLUES Mar10 Dec06 Nov14 Oct23 Oct10 (cascallares n)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 30.00    
8  DIAL HIM UP Mar30 Mar03 Jan24 Jan06 Dec22 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00    
9  ADIOS BUCCANEER Dec21 Dec03       (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
10  BARREL OF QUESTS Mar22 Feb14 Dec31 Nov16 Nov02 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   04/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYBROOK Mar24 Mar06 Sep16     (vinson john )BATISTA A 118 1.00 38% 1.70    
2  GOTTS GOT IT Mar08 Feb09 Dec20 Dec02 Oct15 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 9% 9.80    
3  VALIANT EXCHANGE Feb16 Jan27       (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 118 20.00    
4  HECTOR Sep20 Sep05 Aug09 Jul18   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00    
5  SNOWNAME Mar24 Mar09 Jan26 Jan05   (philipp kary)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00    
6  SIR MI TOLEE Mar08 Feb03 Jan20 Dec31 Dec02 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 30% 2.30    
7  BANDED ROCKET Mar24 Feb16 Jan13 Dec24   (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   04/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ABOUT ME Mar30 Sep06 Aug05 Jul07 Jun22 (stidham )GALLARDO A 118 4.50 28% 2.60    
2  ARMONIA Mar30 Mar20 Feb01 Dec23 Dec15 (roque elis)OLIVERO A 118 12.00    
3  NELIDA Mar30 Mar20 Dec01 Aug20 Jul21 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  JUST MERCY Mar20 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 Dec20 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 ★    
5  AIN'T NONCENTS Mar30 Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 Dec24 (gardea abr)URDANETA J 118 6.00    
6  BEASTIE GIRL Mar30 Jan27 Jan19 Nov22 Sep09 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  SWEET ALABAMA Mar22 Apr25       (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 6.00 11% 8.10    
8  NINETY NINE Mar20 Feb24 Apr23 Mar29 Feb12 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
9  SYLLABUS Jan27 Jan19 Dec08 Sep29 Sep08 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 30.00    
 
TAM-8   04/14/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND VALLEY Apr03 Feb24 Jan07 Nov17 Aug11 (yanez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 108 12.00    
2  COX CANYON Nov19 Oct28 Sep15 Apr26 Apr08 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 8.00    
3  DESERT RULER Mar17 Feb21 Jan27 Jan10 Dec16 (moysey chelse)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.00 11% 8.10    
4  CHARGING AERO Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  GROUP HUG Mar20 Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Dec27 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
6  FLAT LUCKY Apr04 Nov05 Oct04 Sep20 Aug29 (ness jamie)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  BUFF HELLO Apr06 Mar17 Jan07 Dec27 Nov18 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-9   04/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTRAYANT Mar08 Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 Sep22 (lerman s)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ELEGANT SUPERMODEL by LOPE DE VEGA)
2  DOMINATOR C.         (torres pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
  (by ACHIKULAK out of VILLA ELENA by OLD FASHIONED)
3  GRAN YACO Mar10 Feb17 Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LIKE IT HOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  FACTOR ANALYSIS Feb17         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TWO STEP SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  GRAND KINGDOM Nov11 Oct22 Sep30 Sep01 Aug05 (parra hern)URDANETA J 120 30.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
6  LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC Mar24 Mar06       (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00 13% 6.50    
  (by ROGUEISH out of LIKEUASAFRIEND by VALUE PLUS)
7  JUST BE HONEST         (carvajal lui)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of FOLKSY by MIDWAY ROAD)
8  POKER JOKER         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.50 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ABRACADABRA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  FAITH'S SPIRIT Mar24         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of QUALIA by SAARLAND)
10  ZAPATA (IRE) Mar23 Jan20       (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of ROCA ROJO by STRATEGIC PRINCE)
SCR  WHISKEY OR WINE         (rice kevin)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of CRUZIN ON IN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  ZEKE'S HEART Feb24         (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of EMERALD GAL by GILDED TIME)
SCR  RAPID ROY         (paramo martin)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FACTOR ONE by THE FACTOR)
SCR  KILLARGUE BLESSED Mar29 Sep01       (kintz m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 30.00    
  (by KILLARGUE out of VERA VERDI by COSA VERA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.