Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/1/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(4/1/8/7)-(7/8/10/9) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/7)-(7/8/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/7)-(7/8/10/9)-(4/2/6/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/8/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/9)-(7/8/10/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/9)-(7/8/10/9/3)-(7/8/10/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/10/9)-(4/2/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/10/9)-(4/2/6/9)-(6/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/6/9)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/9)-(6/3/2)-(5/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/3/4)-(3/6/9/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/6/9/10)-(1/6/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/10)-(3/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/10)-(3/6/9/10)-(3/6/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/9/10)-(1/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/10)-(1/6/8/3)-(9/12/4/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/3)-(1/6/8/3/10)-(1/6/8/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/8/3)-(9/12/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/12/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/12/4/2)-(9/12/4/2/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/12/4/2)-(9/12/4/2/11)-(9/12/4/2/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/10/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A BEAST Mar20 Mar06 Feb23 Feb02 Jan06 (paragallo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 10.00    
SCR  GUN RIGHT Mar22 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec23 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 117 2.50    
SCR  DUKE OF DOOLY Mar30 Mar17 Mar01 Feb17 Feb02 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 124 8.00    
MAGIC HOOH Mar20 Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
COMMANDER BIZ Mar20 Mar01 Feb21 Feb11 Dec01 (agostini arth)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
MALIBU MIKE Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 Feb07 Jan12 (dobber arnoud)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT ONYX Mar08 Feb07 Jan21 Dec16 Dec04 (yates michael)CAMACHO SAMY 124 5.00    
 
TAM-2   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILES OF SMILES Mar20 Jan24 Dec22 Nov25 Oct27 (orsen)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 6.00 32% 2.10    
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Oct31 Oct12 Aug28 Jun16 May29 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 123 15.00    
OSCAR GAZE Mar13 Feb17 Dec29 Dec01 Sep16 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 125 3.50    
RITABOOK Mar16 Feb24 Jan19 Jan10 Dec20 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
BEATIFUL KARLA Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 Oct14 Sep02 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 123 2.50    
SCR  TAYYARA Mar06 Jan28 Jan12 Dec16 Nov25 (mendie)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 10.00    
D' TIGER LILY Mar16 Jun16 Oct05 Aug20 Jul30 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
KITTY QUICK Mar16 Jan31 Jul16 May25 Apr28 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 8.00 8% 11.60    
 
TAM-3   04/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTIN FOR DRAMA Mar20 Feb09 Dec31 Oct23 Jul04 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
FAMILY STASH Mar02 Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 Nov29 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 122 30.00    
THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Mar02 Dec14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul16 (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 15.00    
PRINCESS DAMIAH Feb14 Dec08 Aug05     (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 30.00    
MRS BRADSTREET Sep06         (lusk r)MORALES PABLO 122 12.00    
HUGE G Jan26 Jan18 Sep23 Aug12 Jul08 (lilly p)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 20.00    
REPLENISH Mar20 Apr28 Jan06 Nov05 Sep05 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
JANNIE MAE Mar20 Mar02 Jan26 Nov05 Sep02 (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 115 2.50 25% 3.10    
MIGHTY MADI Mar20 Feb09 Jan12 Dec15 Sep13 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  LUCKY GIRL COCO Mar20 Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Sep25 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 4.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  BLACK AND SILVER Mar20 Dec24 Dec06 Oct29 Oct15 (dobber ar)RODRIGUEZ A 122 30.00    
 
TAM-4   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAHGO Mar06 Feb03 Jan17 Dec15 Oct06 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 123 10.00    
BABY'S DIALED IN Mar06 Jan17 Dec16 Nov12 Sep08 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.00 10% 8.80    
GLORIOUS WAVE Mar30 Mar06 Feb14 Jan27 Jul09 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 10.00    
ELISSA JOE Mar13 Feb17 Dec29 Nov29 Nov03 (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 2.00 51% 0.90    
TESHIMA Mar06 Feb18 Feb07 Jan27 Jan12 (allen lisa)FUENTES MARIO 125 6.00    
MISS FABIANA Mar23 Mar10 Mar02 Jan24 Dec22 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 120 8.00 6% 14.60    
SASSY BUT PRECIOUS Feb03 Jan14 May06 Apr15 Mar17 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 8.00    
PAMZ PALACE Feb18 Jan25 Jan03 Dec22 Dec02 (pickett cryst)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 15.00    
AMERICAN PEACHES Mar13 Feb28       (lopez )ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   04/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REINVEST Feb21 Jan10 Jul10 Jun11 Apr15 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00    
E MINOR Mar01 Jan17 Dec23 Oct26 Sep18 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
FACE VALUE Mar20 Feb28 Feb16 Jan19 Oct10 (orantes yoni )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
CHICO CHARLIE Mar06 Jan20 Dec31 Nov24 Aug18 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 3.50    
SCR  MR JACK Mar16 Mar02 Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00    
BRAMBLE BLAZE Mar20 Feb16 Feb03 Dec24 Sep09 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.50 49% 1.00    
DENYING Mar30 Feb24 Feb16 Sep29 Sep08 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 119 15.00    
FROSTY THE SOLDIER Mar22 Mar06 Feb21 Feb09 Jan10 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00    
COSMIC SPECULATION Feb23 Sep06 Aug19 Jul14 Jun03 (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 2.50    
 
TAM-6   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  U LITE UP MY LIFE Mar27 Mar10 Feb04 Dec20 Dec02 (bennett s)FERRER C 120 8.00    
AMY MULE Mar10 Feb04 Jan17 Dec02 Jul29 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 12.00    
CHIEF LADY Mar03 Feb16 Jan21 Jan03 Dec08 (bowersock m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
AMIRATI Mar22 Mar03 Feb18 Jan31 Jan06 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
GLORIOUS LADY Mar10         (o'connell kath)COTTO L 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  SOFSTER Mar21 Mar13 Feb10 Jan28 Dec23 (hayford )GALLARDO A 120 10.00    
HOPESNDREAMS Mar24 Mar10 Feb16 Jan10 Dec20 (dini mike)CASTANON L 122 3.00    
 
TAM-7   04/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINETYNINECARATS Mar22 Feb18 Jan31 Jan21 Jul26 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 10.00    
TURBO MILLIE Mar13 Feb21 Jan14 Jan03 Nov09 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
PLATINUM DIVA Mar13 Feb23 Feb02 Jan14 Dec29 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  PINK ROSE Mar10 Feb21 Jan03     (sacco gregory)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
SCR  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Mar27 Mar17 Feb02 Jan11 Dec08 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 2.50    
TRENDY (ARG) Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Dec30 Dec02 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
HIPATIA Mar15 Feb21 Feb02 Jan05 Dec29 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
SCR  NO FAKE Mar03 Feb02 Dec01 Nov04   (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
SHEZA NASTY GIRL Mar17 Feb04 Jan05 Dec08 Oct18 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 12.00 12% 7.10    
10  MUSTHAVEBEENLOVE Mar23 Mar01 Feb03 Dec24   (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME ELISSA Mar10 Feb18       (orseno)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.50 51% 0.90    
FUSSY GIRL Mar17         (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
GOOD MAGICCHILD         (crook-demasi)ARROYO S 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
MS GLORIA JEAN Mar22         (pickett cryst)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
OSO Sep06 Aug31 Aug17 Aug02   (wernet)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 110 15.00    
PLEASANT EMBRACE Mar13 Oct28 Sep30     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
AU PAIR Feb24         (buffalo marvin)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
FASHIONABLE KITTY         (o'connell kathl)CENTENO E 120 3.50 6% 16.40    
MINNESOTA ROSE Mar09         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 20.00    
10  LADYS CHANT Mar10 Feb02 Jan17     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
 
TAM-9   04/10/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRD'S EYE VIEW Mar08 Feb10 Dec22 Nov29 Oct13 (dini mike)CASTANON L 119 30.00    
INITFORTHELOVE Mar24 Feb24 Feb10 Dec23 May29 (bennett s)FERRER C 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
CATATUMBO Mar30 Mar08 Jan27 Jan13 Dec01 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
KLICKITAT Mar30 Mar24 Feb22 Jan28 Nov30 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 3.50 6% 15.80    
MISSION KEY Mar27 Sep02 Aug18 Jul27 Jun30 (aguayo ramon)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
MILLENNIUM CONDO Aug19 Jul16 Jun24 May21 Oct14 (soler edisle)MORELOS E 119 30.00    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Mar03 Jan27 Jan10 Aug02 Jun25 (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 12.00    
BIG RED ROCKS Mar16 Feb04 Nov29 Oct13 Aug26 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 30.00    
HARROW Mar10 Feb16 Dec24 Apr16 Apr05 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
10  TAP EM Mar16 Mar03 Jan24 Dec27 Dec20 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00    
11  LIGHT FURY Mar22 Feb22 Jan26 Dec15 Sep04 (crichton roh)BATISTA A 119 15.00    
12  NAUTILUS (BRZ) Mar16 Feb19 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  KING RAMOS Mar13 Feb14 Jan27 Dec30 Jun10 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.