Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - March 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/1)-(6/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/1)-(6/5/1/7)-(1/2/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(1/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/7)-(1/2/4/5)-(7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/5)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/5)-(7/6/2)-(6/3/1/2/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/1/2)-(7/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(6/3/1/2/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(6/3/1/2/8)-(3/5/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/3/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2/8)-(6/3/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2/8)-(6/3/1/2/8)-(6/3/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2/8)-(3/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2/8)-(3/5/7)-(1/9/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(1/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7)-(1/9/6)-(9/5/2/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/6)-(1/9/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/6)-(1/9/6)-(1/9/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/6)-(9/5/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/5/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/10)-(9/5/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/10)-(9/5/2/10)-(9/5/2/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER WILDCAT Mar20 Mar06 Jan13 Dec02 Oct25 (pennella m)WOODSON H 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
MAKE IT A DOUBLE Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 Dec01 Nov11 (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
THUNDER BOSS Mar13 Feb23 Feb02 Dec28 Nov29 (beattie cody)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
DAPHNE'S FIRE Feb23 Jan24 Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00    
MIDNIGHT REGRET Feb01 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 (dillon l)LARROSA G 122 4.50    
SEEMS TO WHISPER Mar06 Feb03 Jan13 Jan05 Dec07 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
ALWAYS SOMETHING Mar06 Feb24 Feb14 Feb01 Jan12 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
CT-2   03/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Mar06 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 Nov01 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 117 3.50 11% 7.80    
CURVE APPEAL Mar15 Feb24 Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 (smith osborne)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
OPPO TACO Mar06 Feb14 Nov30 Oct05 Sep15 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
PALACIO Feb28 Feb17 Feb07 Jan27 Jan11 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 8.00    
S S CASINO GIRL Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 Jan11 Dec07 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
JUBA'S PUNCH Mar14 Feb17 Jan27 Jan03 Nov29 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 1.20 50% 1.00    
OFFICER CALLY Nov30 Nov01 Dec07 Jul02 Jun16 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   03/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROFITUNITY Mar01 Feb10       (alvarado )CARRASCO R 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of PICK THE DOUBLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
COWGIRL NATION         (stites fl)BOCACHICA J 117 3.50 11% 8.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of DALLAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
DEBT RELIEF Mar02 Jan26 Jan03 Nov30   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIZ A BRITE MISS by HIGH BRITE)
CHELLS GIRL         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY GOLDEN BELLE by MY GOLDEN SONG)
JOLENES ECLIPTICAL         (stites w)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
  (by ST PATRICK'S DAY out of COUNTRY WOLF by CITY WOLF)
WAC IS FAST Mar02 Aug23       (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
PASS THE CASH Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 Dec15 Jul02 (cruz jesus)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ANALYZEYURSPENDING by OVERANALYZE)
 
CT-4   03/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR GREAT NOTION Feb02 Jan24 Jan13 Dec09 Nov30 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00    
JACKYSINTHECASTLE Mar09 Feb29 Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 (comi w)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCARLET REBEL Mar09 Feb28 Feb01 Nov10 Nov01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
WINDSOR'S MEMORY Mar21 Mar02 Jan26 Jan12 Nov30 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50    
GIRLS PERFUME Mar06 Feb15 Feb03 Jan13 Nov22 (tuomisto )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
DIXIE YODELER Mar02 Feb08 Dec14 Nov25 Nov10 (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
POUR ME A DRINK Jan13 Dec06 Nov17 Nov02   (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 113 4.50 62% 0.60    
 
CT-5   03/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17.2K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECTED SUCCESS Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec03 Nov08 (binning matt)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00 13% 6.80    
BUCKFAST ABBEY Mar07 Feb22 Jan31     (agnew naoise)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 13% 7.00    
TIDBIT Mar13 Sep06 Jul21 Jul07   (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
SHARP CHEDDAR Mar13         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
GOLDEN RUN Mar13         (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
UNMATCHED Feb14 Jan10 Dec16 Nov24 Oct19 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
SELES Mar07 Feb21 Jan31 Jan24 Jan03 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.50    
DEE DEE SIX Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec01 (cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
STATELY APRIL Mar15 Feb24 Feb02 Jan14 Dec22 (rose davi)BOCACHICA J 115 10.00    
 
CT-6   03/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTIVATING Mar09 Feb23 Jan27 Dec29 Oct28 (viands r)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
WOODLINE Feb29 Jan13 Dec08 Oct05 Jul22 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 5.00    
CAPTAIN CREED Jan25 Nov18 Oct28 Sep23 Jan06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 61% 0.60    
ROYAL PAIN Feb17 Jan25 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 (johnson j)BOCACHICA J 119 8.00    
PERSONABLE Mar09 Jan12 Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
BOSS E BOOGS Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 Dec01 Oct28 (wilhelm tabith)MONTANO JOSE 124 3.50    
GOLDEN ARM Mar21 Feb29 Feb09 Feb03 Jan24 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   03/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMY SONDE Feb29 Jan10 Nov10 Sep07 Jul06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
TIMETOGETUP Jan27 Jan03 Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
SCR  KEEP ON SPURRIN Feb08 Jan03 Dec06 Nov08 Sep07 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
MO TRAFFIC Jul19 Jul08 May03     (alvarado )CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
SCR  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Mar02 Jan26 Jan10 Dec09 Nov17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 15.00    
MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Feb21 Jan03 Nov08 Oct14 Aug24 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 5.00 12% 7.00    
COUSIN WINNIE Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May20 May04 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00    
SCR  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 Dec15 Nov04 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
MISS BEE BOP Feb29 Feb10 Jan24 Nov22 Nov02 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
CT-8   03/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZE FIGHTER Mar06 Oct25 Oct08 Sep03 Aug16 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
GRAND ESCAPE Mar06 Feb14 Jan25 Jan05 Dec08 (viands st)BOCACHICA J 117 4.50 10% 9.10    
PROTA Feb14 Jan25 Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
SCR  JAZZ MAN DO Mar01 Feb09 Jan25 Dec15 Nov24 (pennella m)WOODSON H 122 20.00    
CAJUN FUN Feb21 Jan27 Jan05 Dec02 Nov09 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
LOADED SNIPER Feb14 Jan25 Nov22 Oct20 Sep30 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SUPER JORDAN Mar13 Jan31 Dec02 Aug17 Jun22 (carson la)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 6.00    
SCR  COWBOY AT HEART Mar06 Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 Oct20 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
WILD BEHAVIOR Jan14 Jan05 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
10  GRAND FIBER Mar06 Feb14 Jan25 Dec15 Nov09 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NICK'S LITTLE BOY Mar08 Feb23 Jan31 Dec17 Dec01 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.