Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - March 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(3/4)-(5/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/1/2)-(5/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/6/7)-(5/7/1/8/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(5/7/1/8/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(5/7/1/8/2)-(3/4/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/8/2)-(5/7/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/8/2)-(5/7/1/8/2)-(5/7/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/1/8/2)-(3/4/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/8/2)-(3/4/1/6)-(2/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/6)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/6)-(2/6/5)-(6/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA DON Aug12 Jul07 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (shuler jo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
  (by DANZA out of FLOATING DREAM by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  COURT TUDOR Mar08 Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
SCR  JAMAICAN WAR CRY Jan24 Jan03 Nov20     (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 116 12.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of TOASTY by POLISH NUMBERS)
4  TEMPEST (GB)         (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 124 1.60 22% 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CAT TEN by GREATNESS)
5  BUFF'S CAT Nov15 Sep22 Sep07 Jul21 Jul07 (pennella rhea )REAP E 124 30.00    
  (by BUFFUM out of GRAND IDEA by CATIENUS)
6  BRAVE SAND RIDER         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 2.50    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of KEYSTONE PIPELINE by LOUIS QUATORZE)
 
CT-2   03/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIDMAN KERRY Feb28 Feb10 Dec26 Nov06 Jun27 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 3.00    
2  JUBAY Feb22 Feb09 Jan04 Dec08 Nov30 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
3  TIMMY Mar02 Feb10 Jan04 Nov29 Nov09 (dillow h)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
4  COLT ROCK Mar02 Feb10 Jan04 Dec08 Nov29 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.50 36% 1.70    
5  FOREVER TAKES TIME Feb10 Jan25 Jan04 Oct19 Jul08 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50    
SCR  TRIPLE BAD Feb10 Nov30 Nov16 Jan26   (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.00    
 
CT-3   03/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE LIGHTS Mar06 Feb01 Nov30 Oct05 Sep21 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  AT THE HALF Mar01 Feb08 Jan03 Nov30 Nov08 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  LIME AFTER LIME Mar07 Feb08 Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
4  DIVA ROSE Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov08 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
5  TIZ THE REASON Mar09 Feb02 Jan04 Dec16 Nov10 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  RIVER REWARDS RVF Mar06 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Oct26 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 1.80    
 
CT-4   03/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN JOE Mar07 Feb17 Feb01 Dec01 Nov10 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 6.00    
2  GOLDEN ADAGE Mar15 Feb29 Feb16 Jan26 Nov15 (caison l)MAWING A 122 12.00    
SCR  DR JACK FLYER Feb28 Feb17 Jan27     (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
4  JAZZ WITH DENIS Mar06 Feb10 Jan12 Dec16 Nov18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50    
5  XCELLENT START Feb10 Dec05 Nov14 Oct07 Sep25 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00 50% 1.00    
6  SPUNMAN Feb01 Dec16 Nov06 Oct06 Aug04 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
7  HOT FUDGE SONDE Mar14 Feb23 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
 
CT-5   03/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASAI MAN Mar16 Mar08 Mar01 Feb02 Jan26 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
2  NOTION TO TAPIT Feb14 Jan05 Nov29 Nov12 Nov04 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
3  MUD BUG Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Aug18 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
4  HIS ROYAL G Mar02 Feb10 Dec29 Dec09 Nov25 (perez )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
5  SUE LOVES BARBADOS Feb16 Jan26 Dec13 Dec01 Nov01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 (bobadilla f)CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00    
7  GABRIEL'S WING Mar02 Feb10 Jan24 Jan03 Dec17 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
8  BUSTIN PIETRE Mar02 Jan25 Dec10 Nov21 Oct30 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 119 12.00 14% 6.20    
9  CAPE LOOKOUT Mar02 Jan25 Dec13 Nov26 Nov17 (schottroffe edwa)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
10  TAPIO (IRE) Feb21 Jan27 Jan11 Dec02 Nov10 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   03/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBBIELIKESHIM Feb17 Jan05 Dec14 Nov25 Nov03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 6% 15.60    
2  RED HOT TODDY Mar01 Feb03 Dec09 Nov24 Oct06 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 15.00    
3  ESPRESSO Mar02 Jan26 Dec01 Nov18 Nov03 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
4  PAPA LINGUINE Feb17 Jan27 Jan05 Dec15   (johnson r)ACOSTA D 116 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Dec09 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00    
6  SUMMONING DENIS Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 Dec01 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY BOY CLYDE Oct12 Sep17 Nov05 Oct26 Sep10 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
8  SCARE DEM Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   03/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Mar08 Feb10 Jan10 Dec16 Nov15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00    
2  THE SKY IS FALLING Feb17 Jan10 Oct14 Aug25 Jul20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  JUBA'S PARADE Jan27 Jan12 Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50    
4  SENECA ROCKS Dec12 Nov11 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00    
5  ALPINE MOON Feb15 Jan18 May05 Apr15 Feb02 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 8% 11.40    
6  MOONLIT SHADOW Mar08 Feb10 Jan10 Dec16 Nov11 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 4.00 19% 4.10    
 
CT-8   03/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMSFAVORITESTORM Dec15 Nov24 Aug24 Jul21 Jun09 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
2  CAST YOUR NET Mar02 Feb07 Dec20 Dec05 Oct18 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00 7% 13.40    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of LAUR NET by STRONG HOPE)
SCR  CHELLS GIRL         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY GOLDEN BELLE by MY GOLDEN SONG)
4  VIENNA'S TWIRL Mar02 Feb09 Jan25 Nov29 Oct18 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
5  STORMIN' ANNA Mar02 Feb09 Jan25 Dec15 Nov04 (pyke joseph)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
  (by STORM WOLF out of BEWITCHING ANNA by ALAJWAD)
6  VISBY Jun19 Apr22       (nixon j)BRICENO GREGOR 124 0.60 68% 0.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of FLOWER CLASS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  NONESUCH GIRL         (brown kelton)CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ABOUND by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  WAC IS FAST Mar02 Aug23       (perez ernesto)PELTROCHE F 116 15.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
SCR  MAKAAN Feb09 Dec15 Nov24 Aug26 Aug02 (soldo elaine)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  P B FOXY Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14   (venham d)BATISTA C 116 30.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of POSEIDON'S BLUFF by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.