Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(2/1/3)-(8/1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(8/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(8/1/2/5)-(3/2/7/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5)-(8/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/5)-(3/2/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/5)-(3/2/7/6/10)-(9/1/3/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/2/7/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10)-(3/2/7/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6/10)-(9/1/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6/10)-(9/1/3/2)-(7/4/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (9/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/2)-(9/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/2)-(9/1/3/2)-(9/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/1/3/2)-(7/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3/2)-(7/4/2/1)-(6/7/10/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/2/1)-(6/7/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/1)-(6/7/10/8)-(3/8/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/7/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/10/8)-(6/7/10/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/10/8)-(6/7/10/8/3)-(6/7/10/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/10/8)-(3/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/10/8)-(3/8/4/7)-(10/7/5/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7)-(3/8/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/7)-(10/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/9)-(10/7/5/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/9)-(10/7/5/9/4)-(10/7/5/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAOTIC TEMPO Aug31 Aug23 Aug08 Jul13 Jan08 (grainger wil)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
2  BARREL OF QUESTS Feb14 Dec31 Nov16 Nov02 Sep17 (granitz antho)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 13% 6.60    
3  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Mar06 Feb21 Feb09 Jan10 Dec22 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00 10% 9.00    
4  STORMY VICTORY Mar01 Feb14 Dec31 Oct20 Aug24 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 119 4.50 18% 4.70    
5  PRALINE'S CAT Mar01 Feb14 Jan24 Jan05 Nov24 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
6  ROUGH AND ROWDY Mar03 Jul14 May27 Apr06 Mar01 (danner k)GALLARDO A 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
7  BALLINDINE Mar01 Feb14 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00    
8  GUN RIGHT Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec23 Dec06 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00    
SCR  LAS OLAS Mar01 Jan21 Dec31 Dec06 Oct08 (orseno joseph )CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
SCR  MY FAVORITE TOPIC Jan17 Dec09 Oct06 Aug23 May26 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 119 3.00    
SCR  PHRASEOLOGISM Mar01 Jan21 Jan06 Dec24   (lilly p)IORIO MELISSA 112 30.00    
SCR  LORD OF THE NILE Mar01 Feb16 Jan06 Nov24 Oct06 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 119 20.00    
SCR  VERY DEBONAIRE Feb11 Feb03 Dec17 Dec01 Nov16 (gonzalez alda)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 15.00    
 
TAM-2   03/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISPRINT Mar03 Jan21 Jan07     (raven kerri)FERRER C 118 6.00 26% 2.80    
2  AMIRATI Mar03 Feb18 Jan31 Jan06 Dec08 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  SURVIVAL ROSE Mar03 Jan31 Jan17 Dec08 Nov17 (richards ren)ARROYO S 118 6.00 8% 11.70    
4  QUEEN AIKO Feb23 Feb04 Dec29 Nov12 Oct28 (laurato mich)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
SCR  THE GODDESS NIKE Jan31 Jan13 Dec22 Dec02   (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 2.50    
6  NINETYNINECARATS Feb18 Jan31 Jan21 Jul26 Jul08 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00    
7  RITZ ON BROADWAY Mar13 Feb09 Jan13 Jan03 Dec02 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 120 3.00    
 
TAM-3   03/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS TO THE END         (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
2  TAPPING GIRL         (morales guil)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
3  PAPAISICE Mar09 Feb10 Jan03 Dec13   (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.00    
4  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Feb18 Jan14 Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 (mcgoey mo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 8.00    
5  MS GLORIA JEAN         (pickett cryst)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
6  BEACH ISLAND Mar09 Sep21 Sep09 Aug25   (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
7  CRABAPPLE Jul17         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00    
8  FLUFFY Mar09 Feb10 Feb03 Jan13 Dec20 (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 24% 3.30    
 
TAM-4   03/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE'S COPY Feb17 Jan31       (smith ro)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
2  KHOZAN'S ON FIRE         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 22% 3.60    
3  FUJI FIRE Jan18         (david car)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  YOU BACK Jan07         (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
5  MR. LEFTY Feb28 Feb17 Jan19 Dec29 Dec10 (munoz )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 8.00    
6  LITTLE LUKEY         (ellebracht gar)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00 10% 9.50    
7  EL DE JOSUE Nov03         (minguet )GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  SUPERFIGHT Jan25 Jan05 Sep30     (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
9  SCALLYWAG (GB)         (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50    
10  Z RACES Mar03 Jun25 May19     (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   03/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERIFIABLE Feb11 Jun30 Jun03 May05 Mar24 (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 7% 13.10    
2  COUNTESS OF CAIRO Feb11 Sep02 Jul29 Jun18 Feb18 (vanwinkle d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE ISABEL ASTRAY Feb04 Oct01 Aug13 Jul11 Apr19 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 119 20.00 6% 15.60    
4  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Feb11 Dec29 Nov25 Sep23 Aug03 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
5  LOVE RHAPSODY Feb14 Jan24 Dec14 Nov24 Sep01 (crichton roha)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.50    
6  SUSIE'S SAVER Mar02 Feb14 Jan27 Jan12 Dec29 (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 20.00    
SCR  CLOUDY BAY Feb11 Jan12 Dec23 Sep30 Aug28 (moysey chels)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
8  CLASSIC DREAMER Feb11 Jan19 Dec29 Oct29 Sep01 (guciardo kathy)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
9  SWEET ALABAMA Apr25         (lopez ro)CEDENO CAROL 119 3.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  WAR MUSEUM Feb14 Jan27 Jan19 Sep03 Aug11 (ryan s)BATISTA A 119 5.00    
SCR  TAP AND CHU Mar02 Feb14 Jan14 Dec22 Dec13 (cahill steven )CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00    
SCR  NOBLE TESS Mar02 Jan19 Dec31 Dec15 Nov25 (smith robert )MORALES PABLO 119 4.00    
SCR  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Mar02 Feb14 Dec23 Dec01 Nov03 (kintz m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 10.00    
SCR  GOOD VALUE Feb09 Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Apr27 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
 
TAM-6   03/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWING LOW Feb28 Jan26 Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 (rivera xavier)ALVARADO JR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  VISUAL ARTIST Mar03 Feb20 Feb07 Nov30 Nov08 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 9% 9.70    
3  KHOZANDO Mar09 Feb23 Jan26 Jan14 Dec24 (rice k)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 109 30.00    
4  H C HOLIDAY Mar01 Feb14 Jan27 Dec24 Nov18 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
5  MR. SWAGGER Feb18 Jan27 Oct28 Jul01 May29 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 4.50    
6  STANDARD OF PROOF Jan21 Nov05 Sep03 Aug27   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50    
7  WORLDS ON HIGH Mar08 Feb14 Feb04 Jan10 Dec29 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
8  WINGED FOOT Mar03 Feb18 Sep15 Sep05 Aug23 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
 
TAM-7   03/22/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAD OFF Mar03 Feb09 Jan28 Jul19 Jun20 (morales guil)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00    
2  VINTNER Feb09 Dec01 Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 (yanez r)ALLEN D 119 30.00    
3  SIR LUMPALOT Mar01 Feb16 Jan19 Jan05 Dec13 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 123 6.00 ★    
4  HIGH BROW Mar08 Mar01 Feb09 Jan20 Dec24 (simone michael )GOMEZ KEVIN 121 8.00    
5  OFF THE MEDS Mar03 Jan26 Dec30 Dec22 Dec01 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
6  EMBER Feb14 Jan26 Jan14 Dec20 Nov17 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.50 39% 1.60    
7  GREAT FACES Mar08 Feb23 Jan26 Jan07 Dec27 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
8  KUHL STAR Mar09 Feb24 Feb11 Dec24 Dec08 (agostini arth)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  VILLAGE PREACHER Feb25 Feb02 Dec22 Dec06 Nov22 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 123 20.00    
10  GHOST STALKER Mar03 Jan06 Sep13 Aug03 Jul23 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.00 9% 9.90    
 
TAM-8   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR SCHUSTER Feb28 Feb07 Jan19 Dec27 Dec13 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00    
2  BEAR HUNT Feb23 Jan12 Dec08     (richards renal)CEDENO CAROL 118 15.00    
3  INDIO MARA Feb23 Jan12 Dec20 Nov24   (crichton roh)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  TUSCAN RULER Mar08 Feb16 Jan14 Dec20 Sep22 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DR BAYTER Mar06 Feb23 Feb02 Nov18 Aug12 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 122 3.00    
6  GRATED COCONUT Feb21 Feb09 Dec31 Oct22 Oct14 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00    
7  MY NAME'S JEFF Feb23 Jan07 Oct18     (wilson tony)BATISTA A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  EJTIMAA Feb17 Feb04 Sep08     (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 22% 3.50    
 
TAM-9   03/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELAKA Aug26 Jul14 Mar24 Jan08 Nov26 (danner kelsey)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00    
2  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Jan11 Jan04 Dec15 Oct12 Sep02 (mcgoey moni)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 12.00    
SCR  AUSTONIAN Mar07 Feb07 Dec16 Nov25 Oct20 (hess b)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
4  HOME SICK Feb21 Jul13 Jun17 May31   (cahill steven)IORIO MELISSA 111 10.00 ★    
5  CAMPTON Mar03 Jan27 Jan06 Apr13 Feb24 (morey wil)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.50 5% 17.60    
6  SAM STORMY Feb23 Feb02 Oct12 Oct02 Aug16 (lopez ro)CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
7  MR. BONES Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 Nov25 Oct25 (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 9% 9.70    
8  SIR ROBERT HALL Jun17 May29 Apr30 Apr14 Mar31 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 6.00    
9  UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Feb11 Jan12 Dec01 Oct28   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SILVER SLUGGER Feb07 Dec05       (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
11  SOPHIA'S PRINCE Feb11 Jan07 Jun21 Apr30 Apr12 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.