Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - February 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2)-(3/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/2)-(4/1/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1/2)-(4/1/5/2)-(8/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/2)-(8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/2)-(8/4/2)-(6/1/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/2)-(8/4/2)-(8/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(10/14/4/11/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2)-(6/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/2)-(10/14/4/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/2)-(10/14/4/11/7)-(2/5/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/14/4/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/14/4/11/7)-(10/14/4/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/14/4/11/7)-(10/14/4/11/7)-(10/14/4/11/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/14/4/11/7)-(2/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/14/4/11/7)-(2/5/7/4)-(9/8/6/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4)-(2/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/4)-(9/8/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/4)-(9/8/6/10)-(1/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (9/8/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/10)-(9/8/6/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/10)-(9/8/6/10/2)-(9/8/6/10/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/8/6/10)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/10)-(1/2/7)-(7/2/5/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(7/2/5/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (7/2/5/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6/10)-(7/2/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6/10)-(7/2/5/6/10)-(7/2/5/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT-12:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIZZLE         (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 120 6.00 7% 14.30    
2  RITEOFFIRSTREFUSAL         (damen danie)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00 6% 16.40    
3  ROADRUNNER THE CAT Feb02         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 0.60 43% 1.30    
4  GRAND LADY INDY Jan24 Jan07 Sep16     (cordero antonio)FERRER C 120 10.00    
5  AUSTRIAN KITTY Jan07 Nov17       (minguet r)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 20.00    
6  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Jan14 Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 Sep02 (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 120 20.00    
7  AWESOME ELISSA         (orseno joseph )CEDENO CAROL 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
8  SOUTHERN COTTON Dec20 Nov10       (paramo marti)MORELOS E 120 20.00    
 
TAM-2   02/18/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Jan24 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Jun23 (arriagada juan)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  CALENDULA Jan24 Jan07 Dec06 Nov13 Sep20 (mendieta alej)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Jan17 Dec30 Dec09 Oct06 Sep03 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 8.00    
4  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Jan27 Jan03 Dec22 Nov25 Sep21 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.50 31% 2.30    
5  VILLAGE QUEEN Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
6  WATERWORKS Jan17 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Oct06 (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00    
7  FOXGLOVE Mar10 Feb08 Jan18 Oct22 Aug28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00    
 
TAM-3   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBYSA Jan12 Dec30 Dec20 Nov25 Sep22 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00    
2  LYRICAL Jan31 Jan19 Dec30 Sep04 Aug13 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Jan12 Dec20 Nov25 Oct13 Sep27 (bowersock mar)IORIO MELISSA 115 12.00    
4  ROYAL TO BE Jan12 Dec30 Oct23 Oct07 Jul12 (skeens jerem)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 10.00 12% 7.30    
5  JEFF'S ANGEL Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jun14 May03 (exposito ado)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
SCR  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Jan19 Dec13 Sep02 Jul30 Jan25 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50    
SCR  MURUMBI Jan24 Dec31 Mar22 Feb03 Jan06 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  PURE ELEGANCE Jan24 Jan07 Dec15 Oct16 Oct02 (simone micha)ARROYO S 122 2.00 16% 5.40    
9  AWESOME APEAL Dec30 Dec20 Oct21 Oct13 Aug10 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
 
TAM-4   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD BERRIER Feb02 Jan14 Dec27 Oct21 Oct04 (de ka)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
2  TRULY MISCHIEF Feb04 Jan14 Dec13 Nov24 Oct11 (schistl rafa)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  FREEDOM ROAD Feb02 Jan14 Dec15 Nov24 Oct08 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 118 4.50 7% 12.90    
4  SAN COSTANTINO Jan12 Dec27 Nov25 Sep20 Sep01 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 3.50    
5  YES I'M A BEAST Feb07 Nov22 Nov05 May27 Apr27 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 118 3.00    
6  FLIPPING FISH Feb02 Jan14 Dec27 Dec13 Nov20 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 5.00 49% 1.00    
7  WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jan28 Jan05 Oct11 Sep25 Sep07 (mendieta ale)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
SCR  GRAN RUNNER Nov19 Sep24 Aug28 Jul05 Mar04 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-5   02/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRAIGHTOUTTAOCALA         (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 120 20.00    
SCR  ATTRAYANT Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 Sep22 Sep03 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00    
3  REMERTON Feb03 Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 Oct27 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
4  BRUSH RUSH         (smith robert )IORIO MELISSA 113 10.00 10% 9.40    
5  AYE CALYPSO Feb03 Jan05 Dec24 Dec02 Oct12 (rarick lynn)ALLEN D 120 10.00    
SCR  ZHU DADDY Jan24 Dec22 Nov22 Oct23 Sep23 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 6.00    
7  PRINCE DAVID Dec30         (collins john)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LENA'S JAZZ Jan24 Dec22 Dec02 Oct14   (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
SCR  SPECTACULAR LUCK Jan24 Jan03 Dec22 Jul15   (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
10  LONG ASTRIDE         (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
11  DRINK N WINK         (manchan ber)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 115 8.00    
13  IRON STREETS Jan28 Jan10 Nov24 Aug10 Aug03 (cascal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
14  ICONIC ROCK Jan28 Dec30       (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
TAM-6   02/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 3 F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS PEANUT Jan31 Jan06 Oct27 Sep20 Aug26 (potts wayne)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
2  AMIRATI Jan31 Jan06 Dec08 Nov23 Oct25 (potts wayne)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
3  R FASHIONABLY LATE Jan06 Nov29 Sep19 Aug25 Jul29 (wilson tony)SOSA LAUREANO 118 10.00    
4  NINETYNINECARATS Jan31 Jan21 Jul26 Jul08   (sillaman rich)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  FLORINDIA Jan31 Jan06 Nov29 Nov11 Sep09 (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  PAMZ PALACE Jan25 Jan03 Dec22 Dec02 Oct22 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.50    
7  DERBY GIFT Jan17 Jan05 Nov29 Nov05 Sep10 (hunt donald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 8% 11.20    
 
TAM-7   02/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY DATE Feb07 Jan20 Dec30 Dec22 Dec16 (curto beverly)IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00    
2  MORENA DANCER Feb09 Dec31 Dec22 May03 Apr15 (marrero nest)ARROYO S 122 12.00 ★    
3  GLADIATORA Jan27 Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 Nov11 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
4  AIN'T NONCENTS Jan21 Dec24 Aug24 Aug18 Jul27 (gardea abrah)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
5  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Jan10 Dec22 Dec09 Nov29 Jul01 (jones douglas)TARASENCO P 122 20.00    
6  UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Feb07 Jan14 Dec13 Dec06 Oct28 (gonzalez jav)MORELOS E 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
7  BET THE HOWES Jan21 Aug18 Jun22 May27 May08 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
8  SHE'S SO VOCAL Feb03         (barron rory)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
9  TESHIMA Feb07 Jan27 Jan12 Dec31 Dec22 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
10  REAL MIKEY Feb03 Jan14 Dec30 Nov29 Oct04 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  WOW LADY Jan21 Jan14 Dec30 Dec09 Nov29 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
 
TAM-8   02/18/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSPIRACY FACT Jan05 Dec15 Dec01 Nov03 Sep20 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
2  MR. RIPPLE Jan19 Apr01 Mar02 Jan08 Oct15 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.60 21% 3.80    
3  WINGED FOOT Sep15 Sep05 Aug23 Jul24 Mar27 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 119 10.00    
4  MR. SWAGGER Jan27 Oct28 Jul01 May29 Apr08 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 8.00    
SCR  SILVER SLUGGER Feb07 Dec05       (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00    
6  GROUP HUG Jan26 Dec27 Dec01 Sep02 Jul22 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 10.00    
7  RARE JEWEL Jan27 Jan03 Dec16 Nov12 Oct15 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  VALIANT WEST Jan17 Dec23 Sep17     (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 15.00    
 
TAM-9   02/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADEFORSUMMER Jan24 Oct06 Aug13 Jul16 Jun16 (dini mike)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 3.50    
2  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Feb01 Jan12 Jan04 Dec16 Nov17 (gatis chris)FERRER C 118 8.00 25% 2.90    
3  GINRIN Jan12 Dec14 Nov25 Sep23 Sep02 (philipp karyn)SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
SCR  SASSY BUT PRECIOUS Feb03 Jan14 May06 Apr15 Mar17 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
5  TOODALOO Y'ALL Jan17 Dec31 Dec09 Nov24 Oct20 (simone michael)CASTANON L 118 4.50 20% 4.00    
6  ROUGH ENOUGH Feb09 Jan28 Nov25 Nov10 Oct14 (dye steven)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  DREAMING IN STYLE Oct01 Sep09       (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  BELLA ROMANCE Jan28 Dec31 Dec15 Nov24 Jul01 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00    
9  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Dec16 Aug11 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 20.00    
10  GLITTER GIRL         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Jan17 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 (cook devin)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.