Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Saturday - November 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/1)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(1/5/4)-(6/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
WO-2   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/8/4)-(1/5/8/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/5)-(8/7/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
WO-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(8/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(8/7/5)-(6/5/7/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-4   WIN (8/7/5) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (8/7/5)-(8/7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/5)-(8/7/6/5)-(8/7/6/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (8/7/5)-(6/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5)-(6/5/7/1)-(10/2/1/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-5   WIN (6/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/10/1)-(6/5/7/10/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (6/5/7/1)-(10/2/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/1)-(10/2/1/6)-(3/1/7/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-6   WIN (10/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/6)-(10/2/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/6)-(10/2/1/3/6)-(10/2/1/3/6) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (10/2/1/6)-(3/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/6)-(3/1/7/2)-(10/5/8/3) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
WO-7   WIN (3/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/1/7/2)-(10/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/2)-(10/5/8/3)-(5/6/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
WO-8   WIN (10/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/5/8/3)-(10/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/8/3)-(10/5/8/3)-(10/5/8/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (10/5/8/3)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/5/8/3)-(5/6/1)-(1/2/8) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-9   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/6/1)-(1/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WO-10   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.20 $1.20 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NGABE Oct17 Oct09 Oct02 Sep25 Sep11 (grant carlos)MUNGER RYAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
TWIXTER Oct12 Sep22 Aug13 Jun18 Dec11 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 119 1.00 47% 1.10    
SUNYANI Oct22 Oct12 Aug26 Aug04 Jun15 (holder tedston)BYNOE DESEAN 116 4.50    
EVA'S RECORD Oct12 Sep28 Aug24     (katryan ab)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 116 8.00 25% 3.10    
HARD ROCK WARRIOR Oct26 Sep28 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 (marrocco )SEECHARAN A 121 10.00    
MANETKA Oct22 Sep22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 (tharrenos willia)SALLES LEO 119 15.00    
SPANISH SERENADE Oct12 Sep29 Sep22 Aug25 Aug13 (huarte frank)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 3.00    
 
WO-2   11/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALLEY GIRL Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Sep29 Sep15 (morden richard)AEBLY FRASER 116 2.50 64% 0.60    
WAKE UP MAGGIE Oct26 Oct12 Sep14 Aug10 Jul20 (ladauceur )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 118 20.00    
EYE GOT IT GOOD Oct26 Oct12 Sep26 Aug21 Aug08 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 123 20.00    
BABY MO Oct20 Oct05 Sep19 Aug21 Jul25 (maynard desmon)ADAMS AUSTIN 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPANISH BEAUTY Oct12 Aug24 Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 (huarte frank)HOYTE JASON 123 4.00 12% 7.20    
SO BREANNA Oct16 Oct03 Sep22 Aug18 Aug06 (tharrenos wi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 6.00    
PASSION TO PLEASE Sep18 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 Jun27 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 119 12.00    
SUMMER SNOW Oct05 Sep22 Sep03 Jul16 Jul01 (gattellaro tony)VIVES SOFIA 118 1.60    
 
WO-3   11/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($111K) 2 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAVO KATE Oct08 Sep21 Aug20     (attard c)KIMURA KAZUSHI 115 6.00    
SCR  READY TO JAM Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 Jul01   (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 118 1.20    
PONTIAC Oct14 Sep22 Aug20 Jul16 May21 (minshall )WILSON JAYNE 118 8.00    
LEGS LIKE FLATTER Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jun24   (carroll josie)CIVACI SAHIN 115 12.00    
PARTY Sep30 Jul15 Jun17 May20   (min)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
BABBO Oct01 Sep10 Jul30 Jun18   (attard c)FLORES ESWAN 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
 
WO-4   11/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($34.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT BELLE Oct17 Oct10 Sep26 Sep12 Aug28 (meli salva)CAMPOS LUIS 123 20.00    
SWIRLING DANCER Oct12 Aug05 Jun11 May19 Nov17 (morden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 116 3.50    
NADIABIZNIZ Oct19 Sep01 Aug10 Aug01 Jul06 (thompson r)ANDERSON JODEIEN 121 20.00    
ALBERTA BE MINE Oct05 Sep09 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (krczmar zelko)STEIN JUSTIN 121 10.00    
GIVE ME THE BOOTS Oct06 Sep15 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (mcknight norma)AEBLY FRASER 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIFLING Oct05 Sep14 Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 (simon stuart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.00    
SOCIAL DRINKER Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
UNIFIED FRONT Sep15 Aug26 Jul07 May27 May05 (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
 
WO-5   11/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT PASSION         (krczmar zelko)VIVES SOFIA 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
A. A. MINERVA         (des)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 8.00    
PRAIRIE SKY         (richards lorne)HOYTE JASON 118 12.00    
PORSHAS RUN Oct14 Sep23       (mcdonald micha)JOHNSON KIRK 118 20.00    
KITTY'SSPEEDYSTARR Sep02         (patton-cas)CAMPOS LUIS 118 3.50 8% 11.20    
SAUCY NAME Oct14 Sep21 Aug27     (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 2.00 63% 0.60    
JUST FOLLOW ME         (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 118 5.00 6% 16.70    
GO GIFFEN         (buttigieg paul )MORENO OMAR 118 20.00    
CLARAYOUTHEBEST         (banach darwin )AEBLY FRASER 113 15.00    
10  ECHO SEVEN Oct14 Sep30 Sep14     (hinckson marti)FLORES ESWAN 121 6.00    
 
WO-6   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 2 F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VUCCHELLA Oct07 Sep09 Aug13     (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 4.00 12% 7.10    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HEARTOFTHEMATTER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
INUDATION Oct07 Sep01       (attard kevin)SALLES LEO 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIDAL SURGE by STORM CREEK)
QUALITY PRESENCE Sep21 Aug19       (carroll josie)HUSBANDS P 118 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of GHOSTLY PRESENCE by GHOSTZAPPER)
RUSH TO GLORY         (casse mark)VIVES SOFIA 116 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MARIEL N KATHY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SIX FOR A NINE         (mattine mich)NICHOLLS KEVEH 121 12.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SLATED by UNION RAGS)
BLITZ Sep30 Aug20       (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CUSTOMER BASE by LEMON DROP KID)
VILLI OLENTO Sep16 Aug30 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 (englehart chri)AEBLY FRASER 113 20.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of GILDED SPLINTERS by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SACCHARINE Oct07 Sep09       (halden rachel)STEIN JUSTIN 118 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of NIIGON'S LEGACY by NIIGON)
SHAKSHUKA Oct14         (ladauceur harol)MUNGER RYAN 118 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of HOLY FORT by FORT LARNED)
10  MY GIRL DELLA Oct07 Sep09       (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KATIE BABY by CURLIN)
11  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Oct07         (charalamb)WILSON JAYNE 118 15.00    
  (by ENTICED out of J AND J O'SHEA by SKY MESA)
 
WO-7   11/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JILL Oct14 Sep16 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 125 2.50 22% 3.50    
IMA BEAST Sep16 Sep07 Aug17 Jul15 Jun23 (borsk davi)CAMPOS LUIS 123 10.00 8% 11.80    
SOUPER FLASHY Sep28 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May12 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.00 25% 3.10    
SOUPER PECAN Oct14 Sep16 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (billers george)HOYTE JASON 123 20.00    
VEERY Oct14 Sep14 Jan14 Dec08 Nov11 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 123 8.00    
INDIAN MUSIC Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul20 (sims michael)FLORES ESWAN 123 10.00    
VERDEJO Oct21 Sep09 Aug27 Aug17 Jul13 (mattine michae)STEIN JUSTIN 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
CARA CARA Oct14 Sep24 Sep08 Aug05 Jul22 (mattine john)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 6.00    
 
WO-8   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Grey Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHERIF ALI Oct26         (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 118 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MO KNOWS by UNCLE MO)
TWO GHOSTS Oct15 Sep22 Aug27 Jul30 Jun18 (minshall barba)STEIN JUSTIN 119 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CELIA'S SONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
JAYHAWK Sep24 Aug27       (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of ROOM FOR APTITUDE by APTITUDE)
SCR  SIMPLY IN FRONT Oct07 Sep16 Aug19     (dixon patrick)MUNGER RYAN 116 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of COMPLICATED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
PIPER'S FACTOR Sep10 Jul30       (vassil)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PIPERS FUTURE by NIIGON)
KING ROSSO Oct14 Aug20       (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATCH THE FIRE by KITTEN'S JOY)
BREAK THE SPELL Oct15 Sep10       (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 20.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BREAKSHOT by LEMON DROP KID)
MIDNIGHT MASCOT Oct15 Jul02 Jun04     (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 119 6.00 8% 11.10    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MIDNIGHT EMBRACE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
TUNECHI Sep16 Jul23 Jul02 May21   (minshall )WILSON JAYNE 119 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of STASHA MINASHA by CITY ZIP)
10  PIPIT Oct08 Jul16 Jun03     (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 117 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
WO-9   11/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Mazarine Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITWATERSRAND Oct15 Sep01       (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by CONNECT out of CARTA DE ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
UPHILL DANCE Oct15 Sep22 Aug05     (halden ra)WILSON JAYNE 119 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of STORMY BELOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
THAT GIRL ARTEMUS Oct06 Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 (squires nathan)BYNOE DESEAN 118 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of SPUN IN ARTEMUS by HARD SPUN)
MYSTIC LAKE Oct15 Sep09 Aug06     (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 119 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SALTY SOUL by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
TRIPOLINA Oct15 Aug13       (attard kevin)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 1.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
SIMPLY IN FRONT Oct07 Sep16 Aug19     (dixon patrick)MUNGER RYAN 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of COMPLICATED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
WO-10   11/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSLER'S IMAGE Oct19 Sep02 Jul08 Jun10 Feb23 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
CEFALO Sep29 Sep14 Aug17 May06 Apr29 (siddo barringt)AEBLY FRASER 117 6.00 21% 3.80    
SIMPLE SOUVENIR Oct03 Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 Jun29 (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00    
FLORAL Oct19 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 (rycroft r)WILSON JAYNE 122 15.00    
SCR  SILENT GHOST Oct26 Sep23 Sep07 Aug17 Jul08 (chircop steven)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
SPEEDY LYNN Oct05 Sep23 Sep07 Aug20 Aug10 (gordon kadain )BYNOE DESEAN 117 12.00    
SCR  CLEOMENES Sep15 Aug04 Jun24 May12 Nov24 (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00    
PINO IN A PURSE Oct20 Sep29 Sep07 Aug10 Jul20 (wright michael )VIVES SOFIA 117 4.00 11% 8.10    
BLAZING SKY Oct28 Oct17 Sep12 Aug22 Jul26 (gittens devo)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.