Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - October 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(4/5)-(8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(8/5)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-4   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5)-(8/3/4/5)-(8/3/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/5)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/7/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4)-(1/7/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/4)-(7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/4)-(7/1/6)-(3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-7   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FLOWING RIVER Sep05 Aug21 Jul10 Jun09 Apr16 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
SCR  DOC ADVANTAGE Sep12 Aug09 Jun12 Nov21 Nov02 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 122 1.80    
2  JOHN'S PROTEGE Aug09 Jun21 May05 Mar03 Jan15 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  GOLD IN THEM HILLS Sep04 Aug21 Feb20 Jan15 Nov02 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 121 8.00    
4  GOD BLESS AMERICA Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
SCR  PRINCESS SONYA Jul31 Jul12 Jun06 May22 Apr30 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 119 5.00    
6  POMPOUS PRINCE Jul29 Jul02 May25 Aug26 Jul18 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 8.00    
 
FL-2   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALMENDRO Sep05 Aug08 Jul10 Jun13 Apr24 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  NUMBER ONE DILLON Sep04 Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 Jun19 (huertas)NAVARRO J 118 5.00    
3  ANYTHING PAZIBLE Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 6.00    
SCR  MIAMI CHROME Sep20 Sep05 Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 (loaiza ilmar)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  CHARLIE FIVE O Sep18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun03 Apr27 (rodriguez rud)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50    
6  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Jul05 Jun19 May31 Apr18 Mar29 (dunham bernar)DAVILA R 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
FL-3   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVOLI GARDENS Aug09 Jul12 Nov21 Nov07 Sep26 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 117 8.00    
SCR  TREATHERLIKESTAR Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 Jun19 Nov21 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 115 8.00    
2  EASY PLAY Sep02 Aug08 Jun19 May29 May08 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
3  TRUE EMPRESS Aug30 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May20 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 1.00    
4  QUEEN ARELLA Aug14 Jul12 Jun26 Sep20 Jul22 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  QUEENS DANCER Sep19 Aug31 Jul29 Jul12 May29 (dixon li)DAVIS A 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
FL-4   10/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T'S DOUBLE TROUBLE Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Aug01 Jul12 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
2  CRYSTAL ORB Sep06 Jul09 Jun30 May27 Apr28 (ashley )NAVARRO J 124 6.00    
3  SWEET DESANTIS Sep19 Aug30 Aug07 Jul17 Jul05 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.50 ★    
4  M. A. S. SCRUVES Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Nov20 (marino e)FRET STEVEN 121 5.00 ★    
5  ROSEBUD RYDE Sep19 Sep06 Aug21 Feb07 Jan12 (chamberlin ti)DAVILA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUEBEE Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 Jul17 Jun28 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
7  SUMMER NITRO Sep18 Aug23 May16 May08 Mar22 (huertas )DAVIS A 121 12.00    
8  ICE LOVE Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 1.60 71% 0.40    
 
FL-5   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CODYS EXPRESS Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 3.00    
SCR  ROYAL KAZ Sep06 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun26 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 3.50    
3  STORMY NEW YORK Sep06 Aug08 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 12.00    
4  UNCLE MILTIE Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul10 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 2.50 39% 1.60    
5  THEJIGISUP Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 8.00    
6  UNCLE VIC Sep19 Sep06 Aug22 Jul05 May30 (dean vi)NAVARRO J 122 5.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  LEGENDARY BID Jul05 Jun20 Nov23 Oct25 Sep27 (sabine micha)HARKIE K 122 10.00    
 
FL-6   10/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOODBYE KYLE Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 Jun08 May05 (jacobson davi)DAVILA R 121 6.00 30% 2.30    
2  SWEET TOOTH SUE Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 4.00    
3  ROLL'OVA Sep20 Jun06 Aug08 Jul18   (progno christophe)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
4  KITTY TIN TIN Aug23 Jul18 Jun13 Nov01 Sep06 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 7% 12.70    
5  TINA BURNER Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 May30 May15 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
6  PRETTY MISS PENNY Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
7  E Z TOLL Aug02 Jul05 Jun20 May24 May02 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  SUPER SLIDE Sep06 Jul18 Jun21 May15 Apr25 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 121 3.00 9% 10.50    
 
FL-7   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LETTERCARRIERHENRY Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  HARRISON KNOWS Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 (morales )DAVIS A 122 8.00    
3  LOVER'S LEAP Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 (babcock kathleen)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE VISION Sep25 Aug29 Aug16 Aug07 Jul18 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 122 15.00    
5  QUAD PARTY Sep12 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
6  NIGHT ESCORT Sep12 Aug28 Jul11 Jun20 Nov14 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
7  SPECIAL STORY Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jun27 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  STONE GUITAR Aug08 May02 Nov14 Oct31 Oct19 (bireta don)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00    
 
FL-8   10/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Aug08 Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 Nov16 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
1A  SNEADS Sep13 Aug23 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 5.00 ★    
2  NO LIME Sep19 Sep05 Aug07 Jul17 May15 (lopez arcadio)ALVARADO R 124 15.00    
3  NOBLE ENDEAVOR Sep19 Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 3.50 66% 0.50    
4  PAPA TOM B Sep05 Aug08 Sep21 May25 Feb25 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  SOLAR ZEN Sep13 Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 Jun27 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 20.00    
6  BUSTIN THE RULES Sep13 Aug23 Aug08 Jul05 Jun20 (gutierrez luis)VENTURA JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DEAN VERDILE Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul18 Nov16 (marino e)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
8  HOLY COWBOY Sep19 Aug22 Aug08 Jul26 Jun13 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.