Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fanduel Racing
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FAN-1   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(2/5/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/2)-(2/5/8/7)-(3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FAN-2   WIN (2/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/7)-(2/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/7)-(2/5/8/7)-(2/5/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/7)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/7)-(3/7)-(5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAN-3   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(5/2/7)-(9/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAN-4   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(9/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(9/6/3/4)-(6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-5   WIN (9/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/3/4)-(9/6/3/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/6/3/4)-(9/6/3/10/4)-(9/6/3/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/6/3/4)-(6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/3/4)-(6/7/4)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-6   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(2/4/5)-(5/8/10/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-7   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/8/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FAN-8   WIN (5/8/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/10/2)-(5/8/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/10/2)-(5/8/10/2)-(5/8/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FAN-1   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Aug26 Aug15 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
2  MARY'S BOY Aug19 Aug01 Jul15 Jul04 May30 (retana)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  UNCLE O. G. Sep16 Aug12 Jul18 Jul01 Jun20 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.00    
4  LAGRUE Aug08 Jul29 Jun20 Jun10 May27 (foxworth l)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  BLUE TEARDROPS Aug19 Jul27 Jul13 Jun20 May25 (manley steve)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 22% 3.50    
6  LORD SHAFTESBURY Sep16 Aug19 Aug01 Jul15 Jul01 (lynch e)LOPEZ A 126 10.00    
7  MY KINDA TETON Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jul11 Jul01 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 6.00    
8  THACKER FROMM Sep16 Aug19 Aug08 Aug01 Jul18 (laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
FAN-2   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MOSCATO Sep03 Aug13       (lopez elias)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 4.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of EMMA'S SMIDDY by CONCORD POINT)
2  STANCE Sep12 Aug15 Jul23 Jul09   (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
3  STROPE Jul23 Jul09       (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of JULMAE by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  C C RITHMS Sep12         (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of C C EINSTEIN by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
5  KISSES FOR WEEJ         (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 117 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MARY JEANS WILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  DRINKING TOUR Aug29         (essenpreis edward)ORM CORY 120 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of EXPLAINABLE by DYNAFORMER)
7  TIGGER ATTACK Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul15 Jun27 (childers v)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.50 7% 13.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of PIONEERING CAT by PIONEERING)
8  MAD WISH Aug15         (becker scott)REYES FRANK 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of FAST MADI by BELONG TO ME)
9  PETE'S LEGACY Sep12 Aug29       (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 120 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of AROSEFORMINESHAFT by MINESHAFT)
 
FAN-3   09/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZEN ROAD Sep11 Aug02 Jun20 May27 Apr06 (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
2  TWO COOKIE RULE Sep20 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jun24 (witthauer john )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00    
3  AWESOME WILLY Sep02 Aug15 Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 3.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  CURRENT Jul30 May15 May03 Feb04 Dec11 (howard)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
5  STORM BORN Sep16 Aug27 Aug09 Aug03 Jul19 (castro)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 8.00    
6  BLURT Sep03 Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 (rodriguez )WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 4.50    
7  BOURBON DELIGHT Aug16 Jul08 Jun21 Jun01 May21 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAN-4   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARL G Aug29 Aug08 Jul10 Jun17 Apr30 (lynch harr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 12.00    
2  TRY TRY AGAIN Sep04 Aug23 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
3  MY LITTLE TIPSY Sep12 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00    
4  NOT AGAIN JACKIE Aug29 Aug19 Jul22 Jun27 Jun13 (nesbit)BAILON JADHIR 126 6.00    
5  LITTLE MIGHTY MAN Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul15 Jun27 (appleton )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  PAYSTER Aug23 Aug10 Jul12 Jun22 Dec14 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
7  COMFORT ME NOW Sep16 Aug01 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 2.00 17% 5.00    
 
FAN-5   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET HONOR Sep05 Jul30 Jul11     (bahena fern)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 4.50    
  (by CYBER SECRET out of GOLDEN HONOR by MR. PROSPECTOR)
SCR  KRUELESS Sep05 Aug15 Dec10 Nov19   (thurman rhon)GILES EMMANUEL 121 20.00    
  (by GUEST STAR out of FT. MANN by FORT CHAFFEE)
3  UH OH IT'S MAGIC Sep16 Oct28 Oct13 Oct02 Aug11 (fridley st)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VIVID STORM by SUPER SAVER)
4  PLAY THE BLUES Aug20 Jul26       (rednour jr)ORM CORY 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of PRINCESA MARIN by OCEAN TERRACE)
5  ULTIMATE FIGHTER Sep05 Aug20       (villa fra)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of EXPRESS MISS by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
6  LONE RETURN Sep16 Sep03 Aug17 Aug06   (wittha)BAILON JADHIR 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
7  HALF THE BATTLE Sep05 Jul29       (lamew bria)MOLINA F 120 20.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  UNDEFEATED CHAMP Sep16 Dec11 Nov19     (bahena)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 20.00    
  (by STROLL out of GRAND AFFAIR by GRAND REWARD)
9  MAXIMUS DECIMUS Sep04         (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY FIONA by GHOSTZAPPER)
10  CHARLIE'S BEACH Sep16 Sep05 Sep13 Jul23 Jun18 (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 126 3.50 ★    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of BEACH TRICK by LIL'S LAD)
 
FAN-6   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLAVA UKRAINI Aug30 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (zawitz joel)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 6.00    
2  CAMPISI Sep12 Sep02 Aug15 Jun14 Mar30 (jansen ken)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.50    
3  GALLANT BUCK Sep09 Aug06 Jul13 Jun07 May11 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.00    
4  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Jun17 May31 May04 Apr13 Mar19 (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
5  LORD DYLAN Sep12 Aug30 Nov20 Nov04 Oct02 (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
6  BLAME TERI Sep12 Sep02 Aug12 Aug03 Jul01 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
7  ETERNALLY GRATEFUL Aug18 Jul14 May06 Apr08 Mar09 (becker scott)REYES FRANK 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
FAN-7   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SET THE PACE Sep09 Jul31 Jun25 May28 Apr02 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00    
2  TRIPLE SCOUT Sep09 Aug01 Jul15 Jul01 Jun13 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.50 52% 0.90    
3  LILY'S WOOFY Nov11 Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
4  WILDWOOD BYE Sep05 Aug26 Jul01 Jun13 May30 (becker scott)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  ICY RIVER Sep09 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (butler gerald)DIEGO JAVIER 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHEZ STUCK UP Sep02 Aug19 May30 Apr25 Oct08 (mcdonn)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.50    
 
FAN-8   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-11:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING DOODLE Sep12 Jul29 Jun27 Jun13 May27 (becker scott)LOPEZ A 126 4.00 7% 13.60    
2  SEMINOLE BEACH Sep23 Aug26 Aug03 Jul12 Jun13 (randazzo frank)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHEEKERS Jul29 Jul06 Jun13 May16 May02 (scalcione p)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 8.00    
SCR  TONYS MORNING LINE Sep12 Aug26 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 124 8.00    
5  PROTONIC POWER Aug16 Jul26 Jun15 May21 Apr16 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 54% 0.90    
6  SNOOZER Sep09 Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 May16 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 12.00    
7  DIAMOND DAVE Aug05 Jun20 Jun11 May27 Apr20 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 124 4.50    
8  LAND MARK DEAL Sep04 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 (manley steve)ORM CORY 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
9  KARAYEL Sep16 Aug15 Jul29 Jul15 Jun27 (randaz)ORTEGA JOSEPH 116 8.00    
10  SILVER QUARTERS Sep04 Aug16 Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 (manley steve)GILES EMMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.