Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-1   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/6)-(8/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (8/3/6)-(2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
GRP-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (6/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/4)-(6/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GRP-5   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-6   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-8   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-1   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR HY ROLLER Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15   (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 126 15.00    
  (by SCOTS PINE out of MISS CURRENT SEA by PETERSBURG)
SCR  SENOR AT WAR Sep04 Jul04 Jun24 Jun18   (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 124 10.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of MIDDAY AFFAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  NEATAPAR Sep04 Aug10 Jul02 Sep17 Sep02 (cantrell marg)LOPEZ E 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by UNDERSTATEMENT out of RIO NEATA by BOCA RIO)
4  SMOKENSILVER Sep04 Aug19       (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 4.50    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of WILLAPA by GAME PLAN)
5  COLE'S DYNAMITE Sep04 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15   (magal)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 3.00    
  (by PONTIFF out of ANOTHER WINTER by DEMON WARLOCK)
6  COLTON'S TIGER Aug25 Jun18 May21     (stillwell tu)SMITH E 126 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of STARSILHOUETTE by ORIENTATE (GB))
7  MR MAKUNOUCHI Jul09 Jun03 Apr16 Apr01   (mccrack)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
8  FOYT Aug25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul09 May19 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of BABES BRIDGE IT by MARIA'S MON)
 
GRP-2   09/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECIMATE Sep09 Aug27 Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 8.00    
2  BOB'S SNIPER Sep10 Sep04 Aug25 Aug18 Aug05 (perez serg)CRUZ DIAZ 126 2.00 60% 0.70    
3  SYNC Aug27 Aug20 Jul28 Jun17 Jun03 (bumgardne)IRONEYES R 121 15.00    
4  SASQUATCH RIDE Aug26 Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00    
5  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Sep02 Aug25 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 (baze robert)SMITH E 126 6.00 7% 12.60    
6  BIG BAD BRIAN Aug26 Aug19 Aug12 Jul04 Jun25 (craig)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 10.00 11% 8.20    
7  MISO FAST Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Aug06 Jul22 (rosales jorg)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00    
 
GRP-4   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCINDA RELLA Sep04 Aug27 Aug13 Jun24 May29 (harwood )MURO ISIDRO 126 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  FRISCO FRILLS Sep03 Aug18 Aug04 Jul09 Jun17 (baze robert)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 4.00    
3  IN THE VAULT Sep10 Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 (velas)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.00    
4  COWLITZ Sep03 Aug25 Aug20 Jul04 Jun25 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GALWALKSINTOABAR Sep03 Jun24 May29 Feb27   (kowalsk)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
6  BETHEL RIDGE Sep03 Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 Jun24 (williams gab)SMITH E 126 5.00 49% 1.10    
7  MY LITE NITE Sep03 Aug25 Aug09 Jul04 Jun24 (hof bi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LAFONDA Aug25 Jul03 Jun16 May28 May14 (harwood ryland)ANAYA V 126 6.00    
 
GRP-5   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARNING SOUND Aug26 Aug18 Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 10.00    
2  SPORTS FOR WOMEN Aug12 Aug09 Jul04 Jun17 May26 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 10.00    
3  LILY PAD LAKE Aug25 Aug18 Aug10 Jun24 Jun10 (mcdevitt ti)GUERRERO C 124 6.00    
SCR  R HAPPY PLACE Sep03 Aug09 Jul12 Jun10 Jun04 (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 8.00    
5  CAMDEN HIGH Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun16 (morris mi)IRONEYES R 121 4.50    
6  BABY CHOCOLATE Sep04 Aug11 Jul12 Jul01 Jun21 (boyle mary)LOPEZ E 126 3.50 68% 0.50    
7  FLY PATTI FLY Sep03 Aug12 Aug09 Jul12 Jul02 (lawrence)MURO ISIDRO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  OUR GIRL ASHLEY Sep03 Aug25 Aug19 Aug09 Jul14 (hof b)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 6.00 ★    
9  GET MY POINT Jul23 Jul14 Jun18 Apr30 Apr22 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 124 4.00 6% 15.60    
10  SWEET MEG Aug27 Aug20 Jul01 Jun17 Nov16 (bumgard)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 20.00    
 
GRP-6   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY BRETT Aug27 Aug04 Jul21 Nov04 Oct21 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 12.00    
2  HEY WILMAAA Aug26 Aug20 Jul02 Jun25 Jun18 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 5.00 30% 2.40    
3  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Aug27 Aug19 Aug12 Jul01 Jun24 (hurley dennis)LOPEZ E 126 15.00    
4  RODEO ROSE Aug27 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 (velas)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 6.00    
5  SUE GENEROUS Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RESERVOIR Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May14 (baze rob)MURO ISIDRO 126 2.50 49% 1.10    
7  GREAT CURVES Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Aug10 Jul02 (hof bill )IRONEYES R 121 20.00    
SCR  SMILING SALSA Sep04 Aug10 Jun25 May28 Aug07 (harshman loe)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 12.00    
9  QUEENSBORO Aug06 Jul14 Jul01 Sep17 Sep04 (freeman scot)SMITH E 126 4.50 ★    
10  LUVAHAPPYENDING Sep10 Sep03 Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 (perez serg)CRUZ DIAZ 126 10.00    
 
GRP-8   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLS AND WHISTLES Aug27 Aug13 Jul21 Jun24 Jun18 (pollard eli)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 15.00    
2  FANTASTIC SECRET Aug26 Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 May28 (kowalsky harle)ANAYA V 126 8.00    
SCR  CAL Sep03 Aug18 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 (rhodes dixie )LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
4  RED NOVA Aug25 Aug11 Jul03 Jun10 May28 (morris m)MURO ISIDRO 126 3.00    
5  BANDON BRIDGE Aug26 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 Jun18 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 121 10.00    
6  TEASPOON OF PEPPER Jul04 Jun18 Oct15 Oct09 Aug21 (maelfeyt bru)SMITH E 126 4.50 45% 1.20    
7  SHESAIDSHESPERFECT Sep10 Aug26 Aug11 Jun25 Jun18 (hof bi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 5% 18.40    
8  HYPHY Sep03 Aug20 Jul01 Jun18 Oct15 (maelf)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.