Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - September 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(5/1)-(4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/6/1)-(5/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(2/8/5)-(8/6/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(8/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (8/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/7)-(8/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/7)-(8/6/2/7)-(8/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. LLOYD Aug16 Aug08 Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 (dominguez ca)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 6.00 ★    
1A  BLUES CITY Aug14 Jul24 Jul12 Jun05 May23 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  QUAD PARTY Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Jun26 Jun14 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
SCR  DOUBLE VISION Aug29 Aug16 Aug07 Jul18 Jul05 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 4.00    
4  STARINTHEMAKING Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
5  NIGHT ESCORT Aug28 Jul11 Jun20 Nov14 Oct25 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
6  BOWING SNOWMAN Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
FL-2   09/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABI DREAMS Aug29 Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 May22 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
2  GO SUSAN GO Aug24 May16       (iorio jr)HARKIE K 121 8.00    
  (by TONALIST out of GO OLIVIA GO by VALUE PLUS)
3  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 121 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of TWO HEARTS by DEPUTY MINISTER)
4  VARSITY DOLL Aug07 Jul05       (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of MODERN GIRL by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
5  MS. SOLVEIG Jul20 May28 Apr30 Mar12 Aug25 (antonacci phili)DAVIS KATIE 124 1.20 68% 0.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THEORY OF CHANGE by ARCHARCHARCH)
6  HAPPY TIME Aug30 Aug15 Jul17 Jun26 May29 (acquilano ja)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 2.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
 
FL-3   09/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARR'S DELIGHT Aug22 Jul31       (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MS HAYLEY May20 May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 (englehart je)HARKIE K 121 6.00    
3  DEVILLY Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 Jun17 May20 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00    
4  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Aug31 Aug12 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 124 8.00    
5  MISS STONES Aug08 Jul09 May21 Apr29   (barrow paul)DAVILA R 121 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  WHO ASKED YOU Aug15         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
 
FL-4   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORY BOUND CLARA Aug29 Aug08       (bartlett)DAVIS A 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HEART OF NEW YORK by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  MY INNER VOICE Jul31 Jul18 Jun02 May12 Apr20 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 121 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS BODINE by VINDICATION)
3  MA MI JO DREAMS Aug29 Jul25 Jul04 Jun05 May13 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.00    
  (by FREUD out of JUST CAT by CITY ZIP)
4  FLUTIE FLAKES Aug19 Mar24 Aug08     (englehart )DE EMANUEL 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by PAYNTER out of FLUTIE by TAPIZAR)
5  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 Jun12 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
6  SPECIAL PAL         (englehart chris)ROHENA M 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
  (by FORTY TALES out of WALTZ ME MATILDA by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
7  WITT LASTING SPEED Aug29 Aug15 Jun26 Jun12 May29 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
 
FL-5   09/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORENZEN Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 Jun12 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SO THERE Jul21 Jan16 Dec29 Nov03 Oct27 (progno chr)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
3  HANGOUT Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May29 (mastin kathleen)ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
4  UP FOR ADVENTURE Aug21 Jul31 Jul04 Jun20 May23 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  COLTEN GOES Aug22 Aug09 Jul25 Jun28 Oct19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May08 (englehart je)HARKIE K 121 3.00    
7  STORMANDY Aug21 Aug09 Jul10 Jun25 Jun03 (progno )NAVARRO J 121 5.00    
 
FL-6   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLMDEL PARK Aug15 Jul17 Jun21 May24 May08 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  LET'S MAGA Aug23 Aug15 Aug01 Jul24 Jul10 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
3  CAT GLASSES KATHY Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 Nov14 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00    
4  STABILIZE Aug23 Jul31 Jul04 Jun14 Jun06 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 10.00    
5  CHRISTMAS DINNER Aug29 Aug15 Jun27 May24 May08 (breed d)NAVARRO J 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
6  LA CAFETERA Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.00 13% 6.50    
7  INVESTMENT GRADE Aug29 Jul31 Jul19 Jun06 May24 (moral)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
 
FL-7   09/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WYNN GIANT Aug28 Jul17 Jun27 May22 Mar26 (englehart je)HARKIE K 119 4.00    
2  DOC ADVANTAGE Aug09 Jun12 Nov21 Nov02 Oct18 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Aug28 Aug02 Jul25 Jul10 Jun21 (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00    
4  FRATERNITY         (oyola d)NAVARRO J 119 8.00    
5  EMPIRE RIDE Jul21 Jun24 May21 Mar11 Feb09 (englehart jef)DAVILA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Aug14 Jul19 Jun28 May16 Apr22 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 12.00    
7  INTERSTATE Aug28 Aug16 Jul17 Jun28 Jun12 (cabrera joseph )ROHENA JR 122 12.00    
8  LEO AND ROYAL Aug27 Aug01 Jul10 May30 Nov16 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
FL-8   09/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PRO Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (lopez a)NAVARRO J 124 15.00    
1A  RILEY BEE Aug29 Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 Jun03 (lopez arcadio)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 15.00    
2  KOBE'S LEGACY Aug29 Aug15 Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  THUNDERING MARCH Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Nov23 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 12.00    
SCR  JUGGLER Aug02 Jun25 May29 May05 Apr22 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
5  M. C. DOUBLE R Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jul10 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00    
6  B C GLORY DAYS Aug22 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  SMART STORM Aug29 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 May31 (gutterson ka)HARKIE K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNCLE MILTIE Aug30 Aug16 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.