Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - September 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(6/4/5)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(1/4/6)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(5/4/2)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/6/5)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/5/4)-(5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(5/1)-(7/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Aug30 Jul07 Jun21 May31 Mar19 (deiter kel)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
2  MISS YOU AJAX Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 (knoblau)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  PLAYBOY ROY Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Jan20 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  CRYPTIC CODE Aug04 May15 Apr22 Mar09 Feb15 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
5  URBAN BANDIT Aug17 Jul02 Jun02 Apr21 Apr06 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50    
6  UNION LEAGUE Aug25 Jul07 Apr15 Apr01 Jan08 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 30% 2.40    
 
CT-2   09/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAPPE THE GOLD Aug18 Jul29 May10 Apr19 Jan17 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
2  DIVINING DANCER Aug18 Aug03 Feb08 Jan04 Dec03 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
3  PERSONAL FINANCE Aug18 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 May06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
4  HAGGERSDALE Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 May19 Feb15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 22% 3.50    
5  THE CLOWN Aug18 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 May19 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
6  SEIZE THE BREEZE Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul12 May04 (rodriguez ang)BATISTA C 120 1.60 28% 2.50    
 
CT-3   09/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCLUDE THE BEAST Aug18 Jun16 May26 Apr13 Mar23 (garrido rau)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  KOBE'S GIRL Aug18 Jul07 Jun15 May11 Apr08 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
SCR  SHENANDOAH CAT Jul21 May26 May12 Apr29 Apr20 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
4  GARY DOING BIZ Jul07 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar02 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  AT THE HALF Aug19 Jul06 Jun15 May04 Apr13 (davis russell )ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
6  THUNDER PUNCH Aug18 Jul06 Jun16 May13 May05 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
7  PRAY FOR THE U S A Aug03 Jun11 May14 Mar24 Feb24 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60    
 
CT-4   09/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REATA'S CASTLE Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 May25 Apr14 (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 113 15.00    
2  EL LUCERITO Aug17 Jul21 Jun02 May13 Apr14 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
3  ELEANORS JACK Aug17 Jun23 Apr14     (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
4  HARDLY EVER BETTER Aug05 Aug19 Jul18 Jun18 May21 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 18% 4.50    
5  TEACHINTHERELEASE Aug17 Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 1.20 48% 1.10    
6  COLT ROCK Aug17 Jul21 May13 Apr27 Apr14 (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 118 4.00    
 
CT-5   09/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARYA CHARMING         (wilhelm tab)ESQUILIN J 120 15.00    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of PAYING DIVIDENS by STORMY'S MAJESTY)
2  KARMA BUS Aug17 Jul22 Jul01 Jun03   (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of AD MUSTER by DIXIE UNION)
3  EL PACHO Aug17 Mar10 Feb17     (reyes d)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of I'VEGOTADATE by KOKAND)
4  ESPRESSO         (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 ★    
  (by JUBA out of UP CLOSE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  DIMELO PAPI         (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of GIANNA BELLA by FIBER SONDE)
6  GREY BOUQUET Jun03 May13       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of CHOCOLATE BOUQUET by ESKENDEREYA)
7  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Jul20 Jul06 Jun09 Apr08 Mar09 (boykins)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
8  LORD CLANCY         (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of LADY CHARITY by CHARITABLE MAN)
 
CT-6   09/08/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 WET FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE REASON Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jul14 Jun03 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  FORTES Aug24 Jul07 Jun16 May26 May05 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
3  GRANDIOSELY Aug24 May05 Mar01 Feb15 Feb04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
4  R WORKING GIRL Feb02 Jan05 Dec16 Dec01 Nov21 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 9% 9.80    
5  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Jul07 Jun16 May26 Apr14 Feb17 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  LIKING IT TWISTED Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun14 Mar22 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50    
7  BLACK PANDA Aug18 Jul07 May26 May05 Mar23 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY NAN Sep02 Jul27 Jul02 May29 May07 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
 
CT-7   09/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL HER Aug19 Jun16 May04 Mar25 Feb04 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 27% 2.70    
2  REVEIRS MINUTE Aug19 Aug03 Jul20 Jun16 May20 (hess jacob)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Jul13 Jun30 May11 Mar22 Feb26 (dilodo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
4  BABA Aug25 Aug03 Jun10 May28 Apr06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00    
5  BARBERS POINT Aug15 Jul29 Jun01 Apr21 Mar18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  CHROMATIC LASS Aug12 Jul01 Jun01 May12 Mar10 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 0.60    
 
CT-8   09/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALL ROADS TO DENIS Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jul01 Jun10 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 118 15.00    
2  DOG TOWN ALLEN Sep01 Aug17 Jul29     (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 120 15.00    
3  MOON FALL Aug10 Jul06 Jun01 May18   (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 9% 10.50    
4  SCARE DEM Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun10 May18 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00 7% 14.10    
5  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 May18 Apr27 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50    
6  LAST PARTY Jul28 Jul20 Jul01 May18 Apr29 (armstrong busan)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00    
7  DENIZETTI Aug17 Dec14 Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 1.80 54% 0.90    
8  LITTLE RICHIE Jul01 Jun03 May13     (gur battulga)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.