Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - September 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/4)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/1/5)-(7/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(7/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(7/4/3)-(2/3/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(2/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(2/3/6)-(6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(6/2)-(4/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(4/5/3)-(3/6/5/10/11) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/6/5/10/11) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/6/5/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/10/11)-(3/6/5/10/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/10/11)-(3/6/5/10/11)-(3/6/5/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   09/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL THE BALL         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
EMPTY MY POUCH Aug23 Aug09 Jul18 Jun14   (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 120 3.50    
DOUBLE DRIBBLE Aug27         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50    
SCR  BAYTOWN BRUISER         (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 120 6.00    
STEWIE         (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 24% 3.10    
CLOUD IN THE WIND Jul17         (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 112 3.00    
 
PID-2   09/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE COSMO Aug28 Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 120 8.00    
SCR  WON SMALL WARRIOR Aug15 Jul18       (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 118 3.50    
UP FOR THE CHANCE Aug15 Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun07 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 4.00    
DAD'S LIL SPARK Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jul03 Jun12 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
ROUND OF APPLAUSE Aug28 Aug07 Jul25 Jun07 May29 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.60 70% 0.40    
MOCA MONSTER Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 124 10.00    
SCR  MAKE YOUR DESTINY May20 May06 Apr22 Mar10 Feb22 (deville carl)ALENCAR WALBER 118 12.00    
 
PID-3   09/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLORIOUS TRIBUTE May28 May19 Apr30 Apr16 Mar18 (maver mario)LUGO D 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
NIP OF BOURBON Mar18 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 12.00    
TIZ TACT TOE Aug23 Aug07 Jul13 Jun24 Jun03 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
GOODTIME ARTIE Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.00    
JUST PRAISE Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 May13 Apr28 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN OAK Aug17 Aug02 Jul18 Jul12 Jun19 (schneider ki)AYALA J 122 10.00    
GRAVE DANGER Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
 
PID-4   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S GOT RHYTHM         (russell randall)WALES GARY 120 8.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of CHAMPAGNE RHYTHM by EDDINGTON)
ASHERAH'S RUN         (mckinley mar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 8.00    
  (by JACOB'S RUN out of DIXIE FELINE by LANGFUHR)
HOPE SHE COMES Aug25 Jul26 Jun12 May22 Oct18 (morrell justin)ALLEN D 120 3.00 11% 7.90    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of DELILAH'S SEVEN by SKY MESA)
GEARED UP Aug10 Jul18 May22 Sep29 Sep07 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
  (by CUPID out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
CEREAL I D Aug29 Aug15 Jul11 Jun19 May30 (miller henry)AYALA J 124 6.00    
  (by RED VINE out of LISO Y SEDOSO by CLEVER TRICK)
SCR  CHICKEN TALK Aug15 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Sep07 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 15.00    
  (by ISLAND PEAK out of CHICKEN LITTLE by PEMBROKE)
NATURE TRAIL Aug17 Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 May22 (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
 
PID-5   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADITUDE Aug17 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50    
RIVZONAROLL Jul26 Jul09 Jun25 Dec10 Nov19 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
GOLDEN SODA Aug16 Aug01 Jul12 Jun05 Apr07 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  THING Aug09 Feb23 Feb02 Dec01 Nov14 (howard d)DELGADO DAVID 122 12.00    
EUROBELIEVER Jul01 May26 May06 Apr16 Feb23 (deville j)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
LARZ Aug16 Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 (amaya joan)MARTINEZ W 118 5.00 6% 14.50    
QUEEN WIGGY Aug02 Jun26 Jun12 May16 Dec28 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 115 2.00    
 
PID-6   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW'S PRIDE Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun27 Apr12 (hamm timot)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50    
WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Aug21 Aug02 Jul11 Jun14   (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
METATRON'S MUSE Aug05 Jul13 May02 Mar25 Feb17 (morey e)MARTINEZ W 118 4.50    
SCR  IMMORTALLOVE Aug10 Apr12 Mar26     (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 117 5.00    
SCR  WORLDS ON HIGH Aug28 Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 5.00    
PUTTHEBLAMEONME Aug23 Aug02 Jun10 Jul16 Jun15 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 2.50 71% 0.40    
 
PID-7   09/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM WARRIOR Aug10 Jul25 Jun19     (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 5.00    
LA PANDA Aug28 Aug10 Aug01 Jun13 May31 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 118 10.00    
MOLISE Aug21 Aug01 Jul05 Jun12 May05 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
AZTEC PRINCESS Aug21 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 May24 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
PROTECTTHEWITNESS Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 Jun20 Jun13 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  ANIPPE Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun19 May29 (pappada michae)ALLEN D 122 4.00    
FEETS OF FEATHER Aug19 Jul30 Nov26 Oct21 Jul11 (cheeks joseph)WALKER M 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP PLAY BOY Aug08 Jul26 Jun11 Apr08 Mar12 (breed rona)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 8.00    
DISCO CENTS Aug21         (fennessy john)WALES GARY 120 12.00    
KENJI'S EMPIRE Aug08 Jul11 Jun21 May31 May16 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
GIZMO'S MISSION Aug11 Jul21 Jun02 May13   (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.50    
LUTE'S ANGEL Aug23 Dec29 Dec08 Sep28 Aug10 (cordero-lopez a)LEON A 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
JOYFUL GHOST Aug22 Dec17 Oct21     (rice linda)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
PITON Aug22 Aug08 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 124 20.00    
SCR  GREEK EASTER Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 May23 (lecesse micha)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00    
ROUND ROBIN Aug17 Jul10 Jun13 May30 Apr28 (morrell justin)ALLEN D 120 12.00    
10  YANKEE TEA PARTY Aug08 Jul11 May16 Apr18 Mar18 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 5% 18.30    
11  SHEP Aug22         (markgraf dav)ALENCAR WALBER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.