Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Timonium
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIM-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/6)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TIM-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/6)-(1/3/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/3/6/4)-(2/5/8/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TIM-3   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/4)-(2/5/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/4)-(2/5/8/4)-(3/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TIM-4   WIN (2/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4)-(2/5/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/4)-(3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/4)-(3/4/2)-(1/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-5   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(1/6/5)-(2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(2/1)-(4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TIM-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/7)-(4/3/5/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TIM-8   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/7)-(4/3/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TIM-9   WIN (4/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIM-1   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 2 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATAHARDMANFIDEAD         (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of ELUSIVE SURPRISE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  NEVER GREW UP Aug06 Jul16 Jun16     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOCIETY HILL by CITY ZIP)
3  CATAHOULA MOON Aug06 Jul16       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 1.20 41% 1.40    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ACCESS TO THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  NO FOOLIN MO         (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SULTRY by MALIBU MOON)
5  WITHOUT PRETENCE Aug12         (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PONDER LEA by MORE THAN READY)
6  DASHING D'ARTAGNAN         (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of MOM'S NIGHT OUT by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  SQUARE SLICE         (bracci)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MERRY BERRY by LOUIS QUATORZE)
 
TIM-2   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE AND NOFURTHER Aug26 Aug17 Jul13 Jul02 Jun16 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.50 57% 0.80    
SCR  POMPOUS PRINCE Jul29 Jul02 May25 Aug26 Jul18 (salzman timot)ALVELO C 122 2.00    
SCR  SIR SMOAK Aug27 Aug10 Jul29 Jul09 Jun21 (s)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 112 10.00    
4  SPUNTACULAR Aug26 Jun15 Apr14 Mar11 Dec02 (dowling wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00    
5  NOTION TO TAPIT Aug23 Aug03 Jul29 Jul19 Jun17 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 6.00    
6  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Aug27 Aug14 Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 (brooks geral)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.50 11% 8.00    
7  TYLER TIME Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Jun09 May06 (mcfarlane b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 8.00    
 
TIM-3   09/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL THUNDER Aug27 Aug05 Jun24 Jun06 May13 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
2  NORTHERN THUNDER Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 Jun18 Jun04 (mohan r)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
3  CAN'T PASS IT UP Aug20 May12 Apr14 Mar12 Dec20 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  JAMMIN STILL Aug19 Aug04 Jun24 Jun03 May18 (kee willie )CHATRIE E 116 20.00 10% 9.10    
5  EKATI'S VERVE Aug03 Jun18 Mar17 Mar04 Feb10 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 126 6.00    
6  HONOR THE FLEET Aug11 Jul28 Jun19 May29 May04 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
7  WHAT SAY YOU Jul12 Jun23 May31 May18 Apr27 (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 15.00    
8  BAHAMA CHANNEL Aug26 Aug05 Jul12 Jun18 Jun04 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.50    
 
TIM-4   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY REIGN Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 May02 Apr19 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
2  LOVELY LIZA Jun25 May29 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 (klesaris robert )CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.00 50% 1.00    
3  LOOKING FOR WATER Jul22 Jun25 Jun10 May06 Apr21 (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
4  DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD Jul21 Jul01 May29 Apr29 Mar25 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00 6% 16.90    
5  QUANTICO CREEK Aug05 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep14 (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 5.00 13% 6.70    
6  CIVIL NOTION Aug23 Jun12 Mar15 Feb07 Nov29 (st uriah)ROSADO JOHAN 122 20.00    
7  THUNDER BOSS Aug25 Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 10.00    
8  GRACE AND CHARM Aug10 Jun15 Mar03 Jan21 Jan01 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
TIM-5   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOTADA Aug18 Jul01 May11 Apr01 Mar10 (smith )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
2  ILLUSION OF HOPE Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  AWESOME VIEW Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 Jul06 Jun11 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  HASHTAG LUCKY Aug19 Jul22 Jun23 May18 May05 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.80 18% 4.70    
5  BREEZY CONNECTION Aug26 Aug16 Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 (brooks e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
SCR  SPICY MARGARITA Aug25 May12 Apr15 Mar12 Mar03 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 122 3.00    
7  ANONYMOUSLY Aug25 Aug12 Jun04 May12 Jan28 (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 10.00    
 
TIM-6   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCER'S MELODY Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May18 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
2  ESPERANNNA Jul21 Jun10 May26 May06 Apr14 (mcmahon t)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 5.00    
SCR  REDWHITEANDTACOS Jul13 Jun30 May11 Mar22 Feb26 (dilodo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00    
4  FLAVA'S DREAM Aug25 Aug06 Jul18 Apr01 Mar12 (woodit jose)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 117 10.00    
5  VIKING QUEEN Aug27 Aug06 May26 Apr14 Mar26 (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  VOLNAY Jul08 Jun17 Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 (perri gina)ALVELO C 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
7  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jul29 Jul07 Jun17 May14 May04 (perri g)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
8  BETCHA BY GOLLY Jul29 Jul16 Jun03 May19 May11 (andreadakis )BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50    
 
TIM-7   09/04/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R AVERIE LYNN Aug09 Jul06 Jun10 May24 Mar24 (gorham michael )MENA E 126 3.50 17% 4.80    
2  BANDITS WARRIOR Jul16 Mar12 Jan12 Jan01 Nov11 (robb gina)PEREZ XAVIER 122 1.80 50% 1.00    
3  GOLDEN CAN Aug20 Aug03 Jul07 May27 May19 (mcmahon t)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 12.00    
4  ORGANIZED CHAOS Aug19 Jul21 Jul13 Jun02 May11 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
5  GOLDEN EFFECT Aug26 Jul16 Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00    
 
TIM-8   09/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANOODLE Aug27 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun04 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
2  MAVILUS Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 May24 Apr15 (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
SCR  SIX THE HARD WAY Aug25 Aug04 Jul29 Jul15 Jun23 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 20.00    
4  SWEET WILLEMINA Aug29 Jul18 Jul01 May27 May14 (lake a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  MALIBU BEAUTY Aug26 Jul08 Jan21 Dec30 Nov12 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.00    
6  QUIET IMAGINATION Aug26 Apr13 Mar18 Feb18 Jan18 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00    
7  PEYTON ELIZABETH Jul17 Jul03 Jun12 Apr03 Mar08 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
TIM-9   09/04/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINIMO         (cox m)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
2  NOTION OF LOVE         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FORCE OF JUSTICE Aug21 Aug03 Jul16     (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  WATCH OUT WORLD         (russell b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
5  TOCAYO Aug06 Jul16 Jun04 May07   (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 4.00 8% 11.20    
6  BUCKIN' DREAMER         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 5.00    
7  ALOHA MAN         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 20.00    
8  RYE DIGGITYDOG Aug25         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.