Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (5/6/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2/8)-(5/6/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2/8)-(5/6/7/2/8)-(5/6/7/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2/8)-(3/4/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2/8)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/12/10/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-2   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/1)-(3/12/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(3/12/10/5/7)-(6/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/12/10/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/12/10/5/7)-(3/12/10/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/12/10/5/7)-(3/12/10/5/7)-(3/12/10/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/12/10/5/7)-(6/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/12/10/5/7)-(6/1/7)-(10/1/5/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(10/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7)-(10/1/5/3)-(1/6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-5   WIN (10/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/5/3)-(10/1/6/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/1/5/3)-(10/1/6/5/3)-(10/1/6/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/1/5/3)-(1/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/1/5/3)-(1/6/4/3)-(6/5/9/1/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-6   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/3)-(6/5/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/3)-(6/5/9/1/2)-(5/1/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (6/5/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/1/2)-(6/5/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/1/2)-(6/5/9/1/2)-(6/5/9/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/1/2)-(5/1/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/1/2)-(5/1/7/4)-(2/10/6/5/11) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-8   WIN (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/4)-(2/10/6/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/10/6/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/5/11)-(2/10/6/5/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/5/11)-(2/10/6/5/11)-(2/10/6/5/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIKLAUSIA Jun29 Jun02 May04 Apr12 Feb24 (broussard j)LEDET THEODRICK 115 20.00    
2  EARLY DAWN Jul02 Nov30 Nov19 Oct22   (delany sarah)MAGNON H 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZ A BREAKUP Jun17 Aug04       (bernard john)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00    
4  KASENS TRIBE Jun29 Jun15 May26 May11 Aug27 (daigle walte)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
5  GLITZ AND GLAMOUR Jul09 Jul01 Jun15 Apr29 Apr15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 1.00 44% 1.30    
6  PINTORA Jul08 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28   (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 118 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  GRACE'S SOLDIER Jul13 Jun29 Jun09 May11 Apr26 (zenon s)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUNSET FLASH Jul20 Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 May19 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHARE THE DOE Mar18 Feb11       (zenon shelton)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
10  LUCCA'S LILYBY Jul01 Aug27 Aug18 Jul29 Jun16 (cormier don)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 20.00    
11  SPARKLE CITY Jul22 Jul13 Jun29 May30 May11 (zeno benja)ALBERT S 115 10.00    
12  PLEADING GUILTY Jul01 May03       (castille rickey )FUSILIER C 115 12.00    
SCR  MY SUGAR FIX         (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 113 10.00    
 
EVD-2   08/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHMORETHANREADY Jul22 Jun03 May10 Apr12 Mar09 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 118 10.00 9% 10.50    
2  THE CALLING STONE Aug03 Jun03 May12 Apr08 Feb05 (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 2.50 11% 8.30    
3  NODAH Jul08 Jun02 Apr29 Apr07 Feb04 (roberts kenneth)MELANCON G 118 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  BANDIT'S PRIDE Aug03 Jun17 Jun02 May05 Apr13 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Jul22 Jun03 Apr29 Feb23 Dec10 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
6  SIKARA SIKARA Aug03 Jul06 Jun08 Apr29 Apr08 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 110 4.50    
7  SCARLET STORM Jul22 Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 Apr12 (courville ri)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
 
EVD-3   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE RIDGE ROMANCE Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 Aug24 Jun23 (jackson dwayn)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 20.00    
2  T J'S SUNSHINE Jul28 Dec27 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (zenon )RUIZ GARCIA 123 20.00    
3  TROSKA Jul01 May27 May03 Apr12 Feb24 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  ROADSIDE GIRL Jun24 Feb28 Feb17 Jan20 Jan11 (latour nich)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 15.00    
5  TALENTS HOT DEAL Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 May20 Mar23 (blanchet chris)FUSILIER C 123 6.00 14% 6.10    
6  ASTRO FLASH Jul20 Jun24 Jun01 May12 Jan15 (patt roland)LEDET THEODRICK 123 20.00    
7  CRYPTO BRAVE Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 May27 Apr22 (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 6% 15.00    
8  ALL AMERICAN PAT Jul28 Jun24 Jun09 May03 Apr12 (sam w)STOKES A 118 15.00    
9  RESPECT ALL Jul20 Jun17 May27 Apr27 Nov03 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 123 20.00    
10  MARINA Jul08 Jun17 May27 May03 Apr12 (silva walt)ALBERT S 113 10.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  SHO NUFF Jul08 Jun24 May10 Mar17 Mar02 (cormier)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
12  ROARING QUINN Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 Jun01 May03 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
 
EVD-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOLLY TOMMY Jul27 Jul07 May05 Mar31 Mar12 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
2  SPECIAL OPERATOR Jun23 May20 Mar11 Feb26 Feb17 (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
3  BIND FAITH Jul07 May19 Apr21 Mar16 Feb20 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 8.00    
SCR  WILD BERT May26 May06 Feb25 Jan27 Dec22 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00    
5  JAZZ IT UP Jul01 Jun03 Jun23 Feb10 Jan21 (long eric)FUSILIER C 120 10.00    
6  MALIBU S S Jul29 Jun19 May14 Apr15 Feb23 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Jul15 Jun23 Apr26 Feb17 Jan28 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
EVD-5   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVVY SHIPMAN May28 Apr21 Feb04 Dec28 Nov30 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 113 10.00 30% 2.30    
2  ANGEL OF VERDUN Aug03 Jun02 May05 Mar08 Feb09 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 118 3.50    
3  MSCHITCHATTOUR Jul14 Jun16 May26 Apr15 Feb15 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAL'S DREAM Jul29 Jul20 Jun25 Jun11 May13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 8.00    
5  PROUD VICTORIA Jul30 May29 May04 Mar03 Feb18 (altamirano elueter)STOKES J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DOLLY'S GUITAR Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 Apr20 Apr07 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 110 5.00 ★    
7  J Z'S FIRST Jul14 Jun09 Nov18 Oct27 Aug03 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 118 15.00    
8  CRIDER CHASE Jul01 Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar19 (zenon shel)MARQUEZ L 115 20.00    
9  LAKE RUNNER Jul14 Jun09 May27 May05 Apr21 (richards co)MELANCON JANSEN 115 20.00    
10  HONORARY GUEST Jul29 Jul08 May28 Apr28 Feb24 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
11  FOR REAL ALICE Jul15 Jun01 Apr21 Feb20 Feb05 (pitzer floy)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 6.00    
 
EVD-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARY JACK Jul27 Jun29 May21 May04 Apr13 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  COUNTRY DREAM Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 Jan13 Dec28 (alberto ant)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00    
3  LAURIEANN Jul27 Jun29 Jun09 May10 Apr27 (alberto)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6% 15.10    
4  SWEET BAY Jul27 Jun24 Jun11 May11 Oct19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 9% 10.80    
5  BIND ON EARTH Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May10 Apr12 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 5.00    
6  TAYLOR'S SECRET Jul06 Jun11 Mar12 Feb11 Jan22 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 3.50 28% 2.60    
7  ITSNOTMYJOB Jul27 Jul04 Feb04 Jan14 Dec27 (gonzalez adriel)STOKES J 115 8.00    
8  BLONDIE LOX BABE Apr27 Mar02 Feb09 Jun18 Apr13 (zenon char)ALBERT S 110 20.00    
 
EVD-7   08/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET DOCTOR Jul03 May27 Sep13 Aug13 Jul23 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 118 10.00 10% 8.60    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of HOMETOWN GOSSIP by MILWAUKEE BREW)
2  HARD KINGS Jul13 May10 Apr13 Mar22 Mar12 (ladner )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of SURVEIL by KINGMAMBO)
3  INGLIS Jul28 Jul15 Jun30     (patt jr)ROSIER R 123 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
4  UNCLE HUTCH Jul06 Jun15 May18     (richards coral)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of KATIE B'S WAGER by HALF OURS)
5  SYVESTAR Jul06 May04 Mar22 Feb24 Feb05 (wilson shan)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SUPREME BEAN by SUPER SAVER)
6  SASSI D         (thomas lee)MAGNON H 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by SASSICAIA out of DIANE C by MUTAKDDIM)
7  SEA OF LIGHT Jul06 Jun03 Apr27 Mar26 Feb17 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 123 5.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of DIVINE PROVIDENCE by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
8  POPPA BEAR Aug03 Jun03 May13     (woodley ca)ALBERT S 118 15.00    
  (by MO TOM out of EDACIOUS REALITY by EDDINGTON)
9  MARVINS' POSSE Jul06 May27 Apr27 Mar11 Feb25 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 6.00 15% 5.90    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of POSSE UP by POSSE)
10  NOW NOW SAINT Jun12 May15 Oct26 Sep18 Sep03 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 123 20.00    
  (by NOWNOWNOW out of OUR SAINT by ZARBYEV)
 
EVD-8   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF PAGE Jun10 May10 Apr14 Jan06 Dec09 (rubin donald)VARGAS P 115 10.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  FINAL QUEST Aug05 Jun22 Jun03 May18 Mar26 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 115 2.50    
SCR  AKIANE'S SOLDIER Aug04 Jan28 Jan01 Dec09 Nov02 (boxie s)STOKES A 115 20.00    
4  CAVE CREEK Aug03 Jul01 Jun23 Jun02 Apr28 (dussette a)ALBERT S 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FLASHY MEG Jun03 May05 Feb24 Feb01 Dec29 (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 3.00 59% 0.70    
6  ONEROLLOFTHEDICE Sep03 Aug04 Jun24 May23 Mar01 (wilson shan)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 5.00    
7  MARIAH'S CANDY Jul21 Jun23 May11 Apr15 Apr02 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BROKE FINANCING Jul21 Jun22 May11 Apr27 Apr12 (jackson dway)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
9  MY FRIEND AMY Jul21 Jun09 May20 Feb24 Jan06 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 3.50    
 
EVD-9   08/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  U S NAVY CROSS Jun17 May27 Apr30 Apr22 Jan28 (broberg karl)BARRERA J 115 3.50    
2  JACI'S ROYALTY Jun15 Jun02 May03 Aug06 Jul23 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  STANDING MAN Jul22 Jun29 Jun15 Jan29 Dec17 (richards c)MARQUEZ L 117 15.00    
SCR  HELLUVA LIFE Jul21 Jul01 Jun02 May03 Feb10 (kidd mardy)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
5  PINCH ASSAULT Mar26 Feb25 Feb15 Feb04 Dec27 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 117 12.00 5% 18.80    
6  RUN ROCKET Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 May13 Apr29 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 15.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  UNFATHOMED Jul22 Jun15 Jun02 Feb17 Jan18 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 20.00    
8  ONE TIME GEM Jul22 Jul14 May13 May03 Feb11 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00    
9  MORE LIKE IT Jul22 Jun17 Jun09 May27 May05 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 120 8.00    
10  CHAOSMOS Jun17 Jun02 May13 Apr20 Mar10 (richard russell)POMPELL L 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
11  EGO Jul30 Jun19 Jun03 May21 Apr15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  WISH UPON A STAR Jul01 Dec09 Nov26 Oct12 Aug26 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 117 20.00    
SCR  TALK TO TOKEY Jul28 Jun29 May25 Apr26 Mar12 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.