Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (7/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/8)-(3/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/8)-(3/6/5/7)-(7/1/6/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-2   WIN (3/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7)-(3/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/7)-(7/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/7)-(7/1/6/4)-(9/5/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-3   WIN (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/4)-(9/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/4)-(9/5/4/3)-(6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (9/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3)-(9/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/4/3)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/5/4/3)-(6/5/7)-(3/5/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-5   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(4/2)-(2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DEL-8   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MELODRAMATIC Jul26         (husted rachel)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 10.00    
CHUBLIN         (robb j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00 9% 10.00    
RITZ ON BROADWAY Jul26 Jun22 Jun03     (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 2.50 8% 11.20    
TURBO MILLIE         (simoff andrew)BLANCO ANDRY 119 6.00    
PAMZ PALACE         (pickett crysta)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00    
ARTICUNO         (pecoraro ant)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
LUBU         (pecoraro antho)HIRALDO JOHN 119 3.50 41% 1.50    
LITTLE CRYBABY         (worsley john)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 12.00 6% 16.20    
 
DEL-2   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINEOLA MIKE Jul14 Jun24 Sep09 Aug23 Jul23 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
SILVER R Aug02 Jul15 Jun21 Dec09 Nov11 (luqueno gi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 12.00    
GOLDEN WILDCAT Jul04 Jun05 May16 May06 Mar29 (padilla-preci)RANGEL JOEZER 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
FIRST TO LAST Jul21 Jun22 Jun05 May09 Apr26 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 118 6.00    
KERANOS Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun01 Apr14 (lawrence lee)ROSE J 122 1.80 16% 5.10    
OILER Jul22 Jun23 Jun01 Oct11 Aug23 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
RUSHIN TOTHECIRCLE Jul13 Jun28 Jun14     (clagett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 15.00 8% 11.30    
 
DEL-3   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEDINGOATEYOBABY         (russell britta)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of STARGIRL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SUBSCRIBED Jul12 Jun16 May12     (machado an)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 12.00    
  (by CUPID out of ARCH ARCH ROSE by ARCHARCHARCH)
DREAMERY Jul27 Jun23       (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 115 4.50    
  (by MASTERY out of DREAMER'S PROSPECT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
DATS DATS DATS Jul16         (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of ASIAN'S WAY by TRAPPE SHOT)
LEE ALEJANDRO Aug03 Jul07 Jun24 Jun04 May07 (cruz jaime)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 111 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CAROLE LEE by UTOPIA (JPN))
PLAY HARD Jul15         (capuano gary )ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MASTERY out of FELICIDADES by CONGRATS)
RANDAZZO         (stidham michael)CENTENO E 118 2.00 36% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARNIVAL COURT by CARNIVALAY)
 
DEL-4   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTIBUG Jul26 Jul05 May04 Apr14 Mar05 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
ELLIE VICTORINA Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 May18 May07 (serey jr)MENA E 119 4.00    
HONEYCAMP Jul12 Jun24 Jun10 Apr30 Apr14 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00 6% 17.00    
UNBRIDLED SASS Jul26 Jul12 Jun30 Jun17 Oct19 (nambo cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 117 6.00 13% 6.50    
BEARGREASE Jul12 Jun14 Oct05 Sep24 Aug26 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 123 8.00 23% 3.30    
LINAHASPECSHOES Jul14 Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 May13 (ashby lyn)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
EXPECT A CIRCUS Jul12 Jan07 Dec24 Nov25 Oct27 (werneth rober)MARTIN MATTIE 114 15.00    
SCR  LIZZIES RED VELVET Jul12 Jun17 Jun02 Mar09   (lopez r)ROJAS MARTINA 114 12.00    
LUNITA Jul26 Jun30 Jun17 Mar29 Mar17 (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 112 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
DEL-5   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANSUETO         (rawles alcin)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 12.00    
FIRST SQUAD Jun28 Jun05 May06 Jan14   (lake a)CORREA JULIO 119 8.00    
SCR  TAKEOVER KASH Apr05 Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 Feb08 (correa maxine)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
SCR  SHIP MASTER Jun30 May24 Apr29 Mar31 Nov09 (lopez ro)HIRALDO JOHN 119 20.00    
GRUNION Jul12         (yovanovic)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 15.00 22% 3.60    
DIZZY KITTY Jul22 Jun21 Jun02 May25 Oct08 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
KINGS ARE WILD         (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HENDERSON May31 Mar04 Nov05 Oct21 Sep17 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 123 20.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN KHOZAN Jun02         (alvarado diane)MENA E 119 4.00    
10  ENTRUST Jul12 Jun30       (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 20.00    
11  D'ARPINO B C Jul07 Nov11       (neilson ka)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 8.00    
SCR  BIONIC KAT Jul05 Jun14 May10 May03 Apr19 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 114 20.00    
SCR  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Jun05 Mar14 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 20.00    
SCR  FACTUM LOVE STYLE Jul26 Jul12 Jul01 Jun21 Jan17 (nicholson jun)TORRES WESLEY 123 20.00    
 
DEL-6   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMORDIAL FEAR Jul29 Jun13 May30 May06 Apr14 (flores-coba )ARROYO S 123 8.00    
READY AND RICH Apr04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan11 Dec09 (velazquez dani)CORREA JULIO 121 4.00    
LORD BERRIER Jul06 Jun15 May06 Apr19 Apr02 (de ka)MARIN A 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
GREAT GO GO Jul20 Jun22 May12 Apr16 Mar31 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
THE SICARII Jul20 Jul05 Jun01 May07 Mar25 (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 125 2.00 15% 5.70    
EVEN THUNDER Jul14 Jun01 May12 Jan27 Jan06 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 8.00    
PYLON Aug03 Jul10 Jun23 Jun06 Apr24 (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-7   08/12/2023 7920ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KITTEN AROUND Jul15 Jun10 May23 Oct12 Aug22 (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 10.00    
LOOSE GOOSE Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 May11 Feb11 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  WHO'S COUNTING Aug02 Jun25 May05 Oct15 Aug31 (mcdermott sean)HIRALDO JOHN 120 2.00    
SWING LOW Jul21 May27 May04 Mar05 Feb08 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 120 6.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  PARQUETRY Jun04 May11 Sep23 Sep05 Aug10 (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
SCR  HURRICANE ANDREW Jun28 Jun03 Nov05 Jun17   (richards mar)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
SCR  LUDICROUS MODE Aug29 Aug01 Mar25 Mar11 Mar05 (beecher mark)ALICEA JEREMY 113 12.00    
SCR  MY DANNY BOY Aug03 Jul15 Jun14 Oct08 Aug27 (strauss bev)MARIN A 120 20.00    
SAGRADA RAY Jul14 Jun09 May25 Nov23 Oct19 (capuano gary )ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT Jul28 May19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep02 (trombetta micha)CENTENO E 120 3.00    
11  PEOPLE FORCE Jul26 Jun27 Jun03 May06 Apr07 (preciado guada)CEDENO CAROL 116 10.00    
SCR  LACCO AMENO Aug04 Jun21 Jun02 May05 Jul27 (woolley tim)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
SCR  THE HAPPY GIANT Jul31 Jul14 May19 Sep07 Aug16 (fulmer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 20.00    
 
DEL-8   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACE PACT Jul12 Jan27       (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 111 8.00    
DON'T ANNOY ME Jul20 Jul12 Jun09 May24 Apr20 (nazario pedro)ALICEA JEREMY 113 2.50 38% 1.60    
EMILIA'S LEGACY (PER) Jul27 Feb25 Jan26     (correa maxine)MARTIN MATTIE 115 12.00    
HOME TOWN FAV Jul22         (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE MOOJI Jun22 May19 Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 4.50 6% 15.60    
SCR  RED RIVER SUSI Jul22         (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 6.00    
LADY AMANDA         (gerlach freya)PANAS A 120 8.00 31% 2.20    
SK'S HEART Jul27 Jul19 Jun24 May26 May13 (bailon h)MENA E 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.