Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/4/3)-(6/2/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/2/1)-(2/7/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(2/7/5)-(4/2/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(4/2/5)-(2/6/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(2/6/1)-(9/5/8/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/6/1)-(9/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (9/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/8/7)-(9/5/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/8/7)-(9/5/8/7)-(9/5/8/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY GIGI Jul04 Jun13 May23 Apr01 Mar08 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.40 40% 1.50    
EAGLE EXPRESS Jul02 Jun16 May14 Apr13 Mar10 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 123 3.00    
TIZ HOPPIN Jul11 Jun02 May07 Apr07 Mar12 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
MIDSUMMER SOIREE Jun18 Jun08 May11 Apr21 Mar23 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 10.00    
MACLEAN'S BELLA Jul11 Jun28 May06 Apr05 Mar18 (keplin st)CHADEE JR 123 6.00    
 
ASD-2   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLEBARRELDELITE Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May29 Aug22 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 117 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of RUNAWAY DELITE by MINESHAFT)
MILAMARIA Jul24 Jul04 Jun19     (husbands tiffany)CARRENO J 117 6.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of JUNGLE STORM by STORM BOOT)
ISLAND HIGH Jul11 Jun19       (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 109 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of HIGH PIONEER by PIONEERING)
ASHES TO ASHES Jul17 Jul10 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
TEEMANS FLAIR Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Sep27 Aug30 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 25.00    
  (by TEEMAN out of CUVECIOUS by CUVEE)
DAWN OF THE DEVIL         (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 117 4.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SECRET APPEAL by STREET HERO)
 
ASD-3   08/01/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP C/G PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRESSIVE SENSE Jul12 Jun21 May29 Sep27 Sep06 (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PURRSIBILITY Jul19 Jun26 Jun06 Sep06 Aug24 (donley jim)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 2.00 16% 5.40    
CROWNED ROYAL Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 May23 Sep27 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Jun27 Jun21 Jun05 Sep26 Sep06 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 20.00    
LUCKY CHUCKEE Jul24 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 Sep26 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00    
MCKAGUE Jul17 Jun19 Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 (anderson )CHADEE JR 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
 
ASD-4   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIA'S MAJESTY Jul10 Jun26 May29 Oct10 Oct01 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.50    
BIG TICKET Jul26 Jul02 May29 May12 Apr22 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
TEE CLASS Jul10 Jun23 Oct10 Sep24 Sep11 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 25.00    
DESTINY ONE Jun13 May23 Apr17 Mar25 Mar05 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 124 15.00    
PIONEER TOWN Jul26 Jul05 Jun26 Jun14 Jun06 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 8.00 8% 11.90    
TOMAHAWK EXPLORER Jul19         (fraser lorne)TARASENCO P 122 20.00    
SMART CALL Jul15 Jul03 Jun11 Apr24 Apr12 (keplin j)AEBLY FRASER 117 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
ASD-5   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY NYLA Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Sep20 Aug31 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 123 15.00    
CYCLONE SORORITY Jul18 Jul05 Jun14 May22 Apr30 (keplin st)CHADEE JR 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
VALLENTAY Jul05 Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 Jul04 (jordan jennife)BUDHU ARTHUR 121 30.00    
BYE Y'ALL Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Aug30 Aug08 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 1.00 43% 1.30    
KIM'S TEXAS BLING Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 May29 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.50 10% 9.40    
MISS PARFAIT Jul05 Jun14 Jun06 Sep28 Sep20 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 20.00    
SCR  CHARGE IT JENN Jul19 Jun14 May22 Apr26 Apr08 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 116 5.00    
 
ASD-6   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RON RON Jul12 Jun20       (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 119 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of BEARS PRINCESS by OLMODAVOR)
FINALIZE Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun14 Nov04 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.80 43% 1.40    
  (by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
HEZADOOZIE         (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.50    
  (by EZ DREAMER out of CRITICAL CHOICE by MARQUETRY)
OH MAN OH MAN Jul19 Jun20 Sep27 Sep13 Aug29 (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 124 20.00    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of LIL' BUNNY FOO FOO by COLONEL JOHN)
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun06   (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 25.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
VIRAL Jul19 Jul05 May27 Oct28 Sep27 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.50 18% 4.70    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
BOLD NEW TRICKS Jun23         (cole terry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 12.00    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of NO TRICKS FOR JACK by JACKPOT)
 
ASD-7   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TECATE GOLD Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May30 (stanford mari)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 12.00    
HIDDEN DREAMS (GB) Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Sep28 Sep20 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 30.00    
LOAD ABROAD Jul11 Jun30 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 116 4.00    
GIDDY UP ZOEY Jul18 Jun20 Jun05 Sep12 Aug24 (desjarlais ryan)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
CATO'S LADY Jul26 Jun18 Jun09 May14 Apr23 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
SECRET AVENGER Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Jun12 May29 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 121 20.00    
QUEEN IN THE NORTH Jul12 Jun05 Apr16 Mar02 Feb11 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00 5% 17.60    
LIPSTICK LADY Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May29 Sep20 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 6.00 8% 11.00    
FOREVER LIGHTS Jul10 Jun24 May21 Apr21 Apr02 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 117 2.00 36% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.