Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/2/1)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/1)-(2/1/4)-(5/1/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(5/1/4/8)-(4/3/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(4/3/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/8)-(4/3/7/2)-(2/1/6/9) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(2/1/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(2/1/6/9)-(6/1/5/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/9)-(2/1/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/9)-(2/1/6/9)-(2/1/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/6/9)-(6/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6/9)-(6/1/5/7)-(3/2/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/7)-(3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/7)-(3/2/1/5)-(8/5/6/10/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/5)-(8/5/6/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/5/6/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/10/2)-(8/5/6/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/10/2)-(8/5/6/10/2)-(8/5/6/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jul13 Jun17 Apr13 Mar24 Feb22 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 6% 14.40    
2  PRACTICALLY THERE Apr27 Mar18 Mar09 Feb16 Jan28 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 7% 13.80    
3  GRACE'S SECRET Jul01 May26 Mar25 Feb09 Jan19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.80 58% 0.70    
4  SAX Jul13 Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
5  SHEMADEMELUCKY Jul22 Jun17 May06 Mar24 Feb26 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
6  MAE SAI PRINCESS Jul13 Jun17 May20 Mar18 Jan21 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
7  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Jun16 Apr29 Apr13 Mar10 Nov12 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 7% 13.70    
 
CT-2   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETCHA BY GOLLY Jul16 Jun03 May19 May11 Apr06 (andreadakis )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 7% 13.80    
2  DIVINE FASHION Jul01 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 68% 0.50    
3  EXTRA CRUNCHY Jul07 Jun17 May14 May04 Apr07 (perri g)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00    
4  HIDDEN IDENTITY Jul08 Jun17 Feb23 Jan21 Jul01 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VOLNAY Jul08 Jun17 Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 2.50    
6  HOLY DELITE Jul15 Jun16 Apr01 Mar12 Feb20 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
7  SISTER'S DUTY Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 Apr20 Apr07 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 116 15.00    
 
CT-3   07/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUEY DUEY May29 May22 May06 Apr16 Apr08 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 2.00 20% 4.00    
  (by COMMANDER'S SHOES out of WITH A TWIST by FAPPIANO)
2  DOG TOWN ALLEN         (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 118 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of ALLEN'S SONG by WINDSOR CASTLE)
3  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jul07 Jun10 May26 May06 Apr29 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BAHAMA HALO by MORE THAN READY)
4  GOLDEN ADAGE Jul01 Jun16 Apr28 Apr08   (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of TWISTED ADAGE by HARD SPUN)
5  ISRAELI ARMY Jul01 Jun25 Jun03 Aug21   (felici)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by ARMY MULE out of CARRIED AWAY by WELL DECORATED)
SCR  BUMPY LANDING Jun01         (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 108 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SHOT OF COGNAC by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  KLIMT O'MATIC Oct07         (viands r)CULLUM W 118 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of NEVER TOOMANY GEMS by GEMOLOGIST)
8  LIL BUDDY         (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BANDBOX out of GRAND IDEA by CATIENUS)
 
CT-4   07/29/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Jul08 May26 Apr21 Apr01 Feb15 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 118 20.00    
2  ATLANTIC VAQUERO Jun22 Jun01 May04 Feb24   (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE ILLUSIONIST Jul08 Jun23 May26 Apr21 Mar10 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.60 11% 7.90    
4  NOW HOOK'EM Jul08 Jun23 Jun02 Apr14 Aug25 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 1.40 61% 0.70    
5  REATA'S CASTLE Jul08 Jun16 May25 Apr14 Mar31 (collyer jamie )MONTANO JOSE 124 8.00    
6  TRAPPE THE GOLD May10 Apr19 Jan17 Jan07 Nov27 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 113 12.00    
7  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Jun15 Feb18 Jan12 Nov25 Oct15 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00 6% 16.50    
 
CT-5   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERECOMES SCARLETT Jul09 May18 Apr28 Apr16 Mar17 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  WEST COAST WILDCAT Jul15 Jun10 Apr16     (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
3  COWGIRL HOP Jul12 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar26 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 110 20.00    
4  MY BEST GIRL Jul15 May27 May12 Apr20 Mar09 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 122 30.00    
5  MORE TAJ Jul14 Jun10 Apr20 Mar17 Feb25 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
6  NINETY PROOF Apr20 Mar16 Sep10 Aug25 Jul21 (groves jani)ESQUILIN J 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  WAVERLEY Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May06 Apr02 (bailes ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.60    
SCR  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Jul12 Jun09 May25 May02 Mar29 (sullivan e)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
9  UNBRIDLED IRISH Jul14 Mar04 Feb11 Jan13 Dec29 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ROSE Jul08 Jun11 Apr30 Mar18 Feb20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 23% 3.40    
2  FLAT DISCOUNT Jun24 Jun09 May26 May10 Apr20 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00    
3  CRICKET WEST Jul05 May26 May06 Apr15 Mar26 (morzan javier )ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00    
4  DALLAS Jul14 Jun16 Mar18 Feb25 Jan14 (salinas jose)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
5  MYGIDGETMARIE Jul08 Jun10 May26 May04 Apr15 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SENECA ROCKS Jul01 Jun17 Apr15 Mar23 Dec08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  TIMEISGOLDEN May09 Apr13 Feb25 Dec06 Nov26 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DROPKICK QUEEN Jun17 May26 Apr28 Mar19 Feb25 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 116 20.00    
 
CT-7   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sylvia Bishop Memorial Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHTNIN RUNNER Jul11 Jun03 Apr29 Oct29 Sep17 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 122 3.00 8% 11.20    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
2  BARBERS POINT Jun01 Apr21 Mar18 Jan18   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
  (by CONGRATS out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  GREAT SPIRIT Jun03 May13 Apr29 Mar25 Mar04 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
4  LUCKY BLONDE Jun02 May12 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of VAIN MAGICIAN by STREET MAGICIAN)
5  MUSIC LASS Jun30 May12 Apr29 Dec17 Nov19 (tuomisto c)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 8% 11.30    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of PERFUME IN THE AIR by MUNNINGS)
6  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May18 Feb24 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LUCKY CANDY by LUFTIKUS)
7  KEEP ON SPURRIN Jul06 Jun03 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of EAGLET by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  JUBA'S PARADE Jun23 Jun01 Nov19 Oct29 Oct08 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of MUMMERS PARADE by STREET SENSE)
 
CT-8   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BESTLA Jul14 Jul08 Jun01 May11 Mar17 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
2  BROADWAY PEGGY Jul22 Jul08 Nov23 Sep17 Aug31 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALL THE WAY MAE Jul12 May05 Feb11 Nov04 Oct21 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
4  TESTED POSITIVE Jul06 Jun04 May13 Apr23 Jan18 (morzan javier )ARAUJO DENIS 118 3.00    
5  SWEET FACTOR Jul22 Jun23 Jun09 May18 Apr27 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  TWIN CAUSE Jun01 May11 Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 (hurley jack)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 7% 13.10    
7  SULTRY SALLY H Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 May04 Apr08 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 2.50    
8  SPUNKY ZOEY Jul13 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr20 (shanley tim)ESQUILIN J 120 6.00 48% 1.10    
9  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 (ramos agosto )BATISTA C 120 15.00    
10  CURLIN'S DOVE Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr06 (sterling )BOCACHICA J 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.