Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/1/2)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(3/6/4)-(7/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/2/4)-(5/7/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(5/7/4)-(1/7/6/2) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(1/7/6/2)-(7/5/8/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2)-(7/5/8/2)-(3/10/2/9) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (7/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/5/8/2)-(3/10/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/10/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/2/9)-(3/10/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/2/9)-(3/10/2/9)-(3/10/2/9) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAN'S STARLET Jun23 Jun11       (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 109 2.00 23% 3.30    
CARPIQUET Jul17 Jun28 Jun06 May23 Oct29 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 8.00 10% 8.80    
FAVORITE LIGHT Jul05 Jun06 May23 Apr30   (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.00    
GERRYS MAGIC MAP Jun28 Jun14 May30 Jan02 Dec14 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 124 6.00    
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Jul10 Jun28 Jun04 May18 Apr23 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
SALTO DEL LUPO Jun20 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23   (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 15.00    
 
ASD-2   07/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 Aug31 Aug17 (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00    
MORO OUTLAW Jul02 Jun15 Jun08 May14 Mar04 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 2.00    
KITON Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 Sep13 Aug31 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
BIG TICKET Jul02 May29 May12 Apr22 Mar12 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 5.00 13% 6.40    
FRANKS RELOAD Jul10 Jun27 May30 Dec01 Nov10 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 20.00    
SAINT PIO Jul10 Jun24 May29 May12 Apr28 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
ASD-3   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SATURDAY SERVICE Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 May22 May13 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 119 15.00    
BROWNING ISLAND Jul10 Jul03 Jun19 Dec10 Nov26 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
FELLER Jul05 Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 Apr30 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00    
NORTH FORK Jul11 Jun20 Jun13 May29 Mar23 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD SPECIAL Jul12 Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 May29 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00    
C C'S KITTEN Jul05 May22 Apr09 Mar04 Feb11 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 122 2.50    
LUCKY LUKE Jul19 Jul03 Jun13 May30 Sep24 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
ASD-4   07/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIM'S TEXAS BLING Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 May29 May22 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 25.00    
SCR  DIXIE MO Jun21 Jun05 Sep26 Sep12 Aug30 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 2.50    
CATO'S LADY Jun18 Jun09 May14 Apr23 Apr01 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 123 6.00    
BLAZING SKY Jun14 Jun05 May22 Dec01 Nov24 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 116 7.00 11% 7.90    
RUN WITT RUN Jul01 May18 May06 Apr21 Apr08 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
WITT'S TENNY TEN Jul11 Jun28 Jun14 Oct28 Oct07 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 15.00    
EVEN PANDURA Jun28 May06 Apr03 Mar19 Feb22 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
ASD-5   07/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIONEER TOWN Jul05 Jun26 Jun14 Jun06 May23 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
UNCLE MO'S CAT Jul18 Jun19 Jun06 Sep26 Sep13 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 15.00 7% 14.20    
JUSTA BUSTER Jun27 Jun13 May29 Apr22 Feb23 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 5.00    
PEB Jul12 Jun20 May29 Sep26 Sep06 (husbands tiffany)CARRENO J 122 12.00    
RUNAWAY HURRICANE Jul11 Jun26 Sep27 Sep13 Sep06 (husbands tiffa)CHOW CHAVION 124 2.50    
OUTCOME Jun27 Jun13 Sep26 Aug30 Aug10 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 117 20.00 9% 9.60    
TARA TATTOO Jul10 Jun27 Dec08 Nov27 Nov11 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.80 11% 8.30    
 
ASD-6   07/26/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LONNA RANGER Jun16 May27 Feb25 Jan28 Dec26 (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 8.00    
ADJOURNMENT Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 May23 Sep19 (pruitt lise)AEBLY FRASER 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
ATABOYCOOKIE Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 Oct21 Sep27 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 12.00    
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Jun22 May29 May18 May07 Apr23 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00    
BLAZING BO Jul12 Jun26 Jun06 Sep27 Sep06 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
SUPER D'ORO May23 May09 Apr20 Apr06 Mar30 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 25.00    
PRIVATE FRANK Jul12 Jun12 May30 Aug22   (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 119 1.60 47% 1.10    
DISCOVERY PEAK Jul12 Jul05 Jun23 Jun08 May07 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 119 5.00 9% 9.60    
 
ASD-7   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLETT'S FLOWER Jun19 Oct28 Oct14 Sep27 Jul29 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00    
TAPITURE WAY Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 May22 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
MARGOT'S GIRL Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 May22 Apr05 (brown jared)CARRENO J 123 1.60 39% 1.50    
RUBYINTHESTARS Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 May22 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 20.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE MAGIC Jul05 Jun21 Jun05 May22 Sep20 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 123 12.00    
SCR  SKY TIZZY Jul12 Jun26 Jun21 May23 Apr22 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 15.00    
WITT'S MEMORIES Jun28 Jun07 Sep28 Sep20 Sep12 (anderson )CHADEE JR 121 25.00    
SEA OF LIFE Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun07 May22 (mustard dou)BYNOE DAMARIO 121 30.00    
MAIBELLA Jun19 Jun06 Sep20 Aug31 Aug24 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 6.00 6% 15.80    
10  PLUM ROSE Jul17 May05 Apr18 Apr10 Mar18 (sanderson br)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 5.00 17% 4.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.