Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/2)-(5/11/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/2)-(5/11/6/10)-(5/1/8/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/11/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/6/10)-(5/11/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/6/10)-(5/11/6/10)-(5/11/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/11/6/10)-(5/1/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/11/6/10)-(5/1/8/4)-(4/5/7/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4)-(5/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/8/4)-(4/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/8/4)-(4/5/7/3)-(1/7/4/2/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(1/7/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/3)-(1/7/4/2/6)-(1/12/7/2/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (1/7/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/2/6)-(1/7/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/2/6)-(1/7/4/2/6)-(1/7/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/4/2/6)-(1/12/7/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/2/6)-(1/12/7/2/9)-(8/3/4/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (1/12/7/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/12/7/2/9)-(1/12/7/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/12/7/2/9)-(1/12/7/2/9)-(1/12/7/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/12/7/2/9)-(8/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/12/7/2/9)-(8/3/4/6)-(9/6/1/4/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/6)-(9/6/1/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/6/1/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/4/3)-(9/6/1/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/4/3)-(9/6/1/4/3)-(9/6/1/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEG UP Jul07 Jun03 May11 Apr13 Apr06 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00    
2  NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Jul13 Jun22 May26 Dec16 Dec09 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPARKLING SHIRE May05 Mar09 Feb15 Jan04 Dec08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
4  THEWITCHISGONE May27 Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  SEAN THE HAMMER Jun18 Apr21 Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 8% 11.80    
6  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Jun22 May06 Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  THUNDERINREADYRICK Jun03 May13 Apr22 Apr13 Feb22 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
 
CT-2   07/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUTHFUL ENERGY         (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CONQUEST MS CURLIN by CURLIN)
SCR  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jun30         (farrior anthony)ACOSTA D 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
3  GREATEST NOTION Jun30         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  BREAK THE CHAINS         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SAID IN SILENCE by BERNSTEIN)
5  POWERED BY LOVE Jun30         (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GAME OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  SOUL CATCHER         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 13% 7.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TUXEDO LADY by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  DIRECT PROOF Jun30         (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of TWO HUNDRED PROOF by MALIBU MOON)
8  CANDY FOR JUBA Jun30         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
9  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Jun30         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
10  LOVE IS WICKED Jun30         (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
11  DESTIN'S RAINBOW Jun04         (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by DESTIN out of BECKY'S RAINBOW by INDYGO SHINER)
 
CT-3   07/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEACHINTHERELEASE Jun24 Jun03 May13 Oct08 Sep17 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  JUBA BOUND Jun16 Jun02 Mar10 Feb24 Feb08 (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 120 5.00    
3  STROLLINGINTHEWIND May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar30 Mar10 (sigler ronald )ARAUJO DENIS 116 12.00    
4  BERTRAM FLIGHT Jun23 May13 Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 (joy j)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  PINK DINGHY Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr29 Sep24 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 1.80 54% 0.90    
6  EL LUCERITO Jun02 May13 Apr14 Mar30 Feb17 (campbell marsha)WOODSON H 116 6.00    
7  COLT ROCK May13 Apr27 Apr14 Mar10 Feb01 (contreras j)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 4.50    
8  LORD OF CORK Jun23 Jun02 May13 Apr14 Mar10 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I SEE NOTHING Jun16 Apr27       (perry lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
2  A BIT OF HARLOW Jun30 Jan26       (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
3  TO THE TOP Jun01 Nov02 Oct06 Sep16 Sep03 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHARITABLE WINDSOR May11 Apr22 Mar31     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
5  CURB THAT TIGER Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr27 Mar31 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 120 2.00 17% 4.80    
6  COLONIAL ROAD Jul13 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr27 (campbell larry)ARAUJO DENIS 122 15.00    
7  JUBA'S MOCHA Jul13         (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 9% 9.70    
8  JUBAY Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr27 Mar31 (petty kri)BOCACHICA J 110 8.00    
 
CT-5   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREASURER Jun30 Jun01 Mar30 Mar10 Jan27 (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  MAKIN' GOLD Jul06 Jun16 Jun03 May13 Mar31 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  O'RIGSBY Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr20 Mar30 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 4.00    
4  JAZZ WITH DENIS Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr22   (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 11% 8.40    
5  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jul07 Jun30 Jun03 May19 Apr28 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 110 15.00    
6  ALDRINALINE Oct12 Sep14       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  I'M THE MONEY MAN Jun30 May19 Apr28 Apr06 Dec14 (sigler rona)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 4.50 31% 2.20    
8  LIEUTENANT BROWN Jun30 Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
9  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr29 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 116 12.00    
 
CT-6   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOBALIZATION Jun18 Jun04       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ALICE B WINKLE by GONE ASTRAY)
2  DIVINAS CONNECTION Jun30 Jun09 Dec08 Oct26 Sep05 (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
3  TEMPESTIVO Jun16 May05 Apr13     (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AFFEZIONAMENTE by FLATTER)
SCR  RUSH TO CANDY Jun30 Jun09 May04 Mar26   (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
5  CATCHING STARS Jun03 May18 May05 Mar24 Mar11 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 118 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LEMONDROPONTHEROX by LEMON DROP KID)
6  NEVER FOR SPEIGHT Jun30 Dec08 Oct27 May21 May04 (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of EVER APPEALING by APPEALING SKIER)
7  TAP SECRET Jul08         (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
  (by TAPITGOLD out of KAT OF KILKENNY by EVEN THE SCORE)
8  FAIRPIT Sep16 Jul30 Jun30 Feb25   (jones a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
  (by MAKE RESERVATIONS out of TSUNAMI STRYKER by FAIRBANKS)
9  FLOOR IT Jun16 Mar12 Feb26 Jan06 Dec11 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of CRYSTAL MINUET by THEATRICAL (IRE))
10  YO VINNIE Jul01         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of YOLO LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
SCR  BOOYAH Jun21 May19 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
12  REMASTERED May14 Mar09       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.40 22% 3.50    
  (by MASTERY out of SUNRISE GLOW by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-7   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OX DOC Jun30 Jun14 May26 May16 Nov04 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 15.00    
2  BUBBA GRUMP Jun16 May11 Dec08 Nov12 Oct27 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 12.00    
3  FANCY CONCHO Jun16 May19 Apr15 Mar11 Feb09 (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
4  HERO'S MAN Jun16 May19 Apr29 Nov18 Oct27 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 6.00 6% 16.50    
5  ROCKET APPEAL Jun30 Jun10 May19 Apr27 Apr07 (campbell )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
6  JUNGLE BEAST Jun09 Apr22 Mar16 Feb18 Jan07 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BRISTOL CHANNEL Jul01 Jun09 May20 Apr21 Apr01 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 116 30.00    
8  MUAD'DIB Jun16 Apr22 Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 61% 0.60    
 
CT-8   07/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROTA Jun24 Apr14 Mar10 Feb18 Jan18 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
2  ROYAL CRUSADER Jun24 Jun13 May07 Apr07 Feb23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50    
3  REY O REYES Jun15 May18 Apr27 Apr13 Apr01 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WE B SHACKIN Jun15 May13 May06 Apr01 Mar11 (gazzier k)BOCACHICA J 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIVE STAR PHIL Jul01 Jun18 Apr02 Feb24 Feb02 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00    
6  TOUGH TO TAME Jun24 Jun02 Feb24 Feb11 Jul17 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
7  TRINGALE Jun09 May13 Mar11 Jan26 Dec14 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
SCR  SPRING THE BEAST Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May20 May06 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
9  GILLIGAN Jul06 Jun17 May28 May13 May06 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
10  HAPPY CHARLIE Jul01 Jun03 May06 Mar02 Jan06 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
SCR  MUCHACHO MACHO Jun24 May20 Apr14 Apr06 Mar11 (perri )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
SCR  LADDIE LIAM Jun24 Jun02 May12 Apr22 Mar31 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.