Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/4)-(3/5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/4)-(3/11/4/7)-(1/4/2/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/11/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/4/7)-(3/11/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/11)-(3/4/7/11)-(3/4/7/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/11/4/7)-(1/4/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/11/4/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(7/6/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-3   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/7)-(4/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/7)-(7/6/4/5)-(6/9/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-4   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(1/3/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(6/9/3/1)-(6/14/11/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/1)-(6/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/5/6/9)-(1/3/5/6/9)-(1/3/5/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/5/6/9)-(6/9/10/11/14) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/9/3/1)-(6/14/11/9/10)-(1/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/14/11/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/14/11/9/10)-(6/14/11/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/10/11/14)-(6/9/10/11/14)-(6/9/10/11/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/9/10/11/14)-(1/2/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/14/11/9/10)-(1/7/2)-(10/8/11/5/12) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(5/8/10/11/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(10/8/11/5/12)-(4/3/8/10/5) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-8   WIN (10/8/11/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/11/5/12)-(10/8/11/5/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/10/11/12)-(5/8/10/11/12)-(5/8/10/11/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/10/11/12)-(3/4/5/8/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/3/8/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/10/5)-(4/3/8/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/10/5)-(4/3/8/10/5)-(4/3/8/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIVECOMMATWO Jun23 May29 May13 May06 Mar19 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 120 15.00    
2  CLOSERTOTHEHEART Jun25 Oct27 Sep11 Aug13 Jul29 (voss kathar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00    
3  AND WHISTLE Jun11 May19 Apr14 Mar03 Feb05 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
4  WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Jun23 Jun10 May26 May07 Jul08 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 12.00 10% 8.60    
5  BLAME CATALAYA Jun17 May31 May08 Oct21 Aug12 (pecoraro anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 10.00 17% 4.90    
6  TOP MULE Nov06 Sep22 Aug21 Jul22   (geralis ema)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
7  SPENCERIAN Jun25 Jun10 May04 Jul30 Jul08 (smith hamilton)ROSADO JOHAN 120 1.60    
8  I HAVE COURAGE Jun18 May29 May07 Apr02 Feb20 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 126 6.00 17% 5.00    
 
LRL-2   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOSS MAN J J Jul02 Jun09 May11 Apr20 Mar19 (salzman tim)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00    
SCR  BOWIE TWO STEP Jul07 Jun23 Jun15 May25 Mar26 (garibay and)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
3  SHIP THE GOODS Apr30 Mar10 Feb02 Dec03   (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  INEVTABL CONECTION Jun11 Mar17 Jan21 Dec21 Oct08 (klesaris stev)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00 10% 8.80    
5  SAINTHOODFORBRIAN Jun21 Jun01 Dec16 Nov25 Oct22 (klesaris steve)CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00    
6  SCIENCE (IRE) Jun02 Oct13 Sep25 Sep11 Aug17 (gorham e)ACOSTA D 126 12.00    
7  STAR SHOPPING Jun25 May29 May11 Feb25 Feb04 (robb t)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  R B'S THE BOSS Jul02 Jun10 Apr30 Apr15 Mar25 (magana j)ROSADO JOHAN 116 30.00    
9  BOURBON READY Jun24 May29 Apr15 Mar04 Feb12 (beecher mar)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 12.00    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE Jul04 May20 Feb04 Jan06 Dec04 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 2.50    
11  MAYA PRINCE Jun24 May28 Apr29 Apr02 Feb04 (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
LRL-3   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG LIVE NOW Jun30         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 1.20 61% 0.60    
2  BOBSWORTH May04 Apr01 Dec11     (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  RIVER FULL Jun23 Oct26 Oct07 Sep15 Aug11 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
4  STEP AHEAD Jun25 Jun04 May18 Apr16 Mar31 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.60 11% 8.10    
5  SURF CITY GOLD May13 Jan20       (buckley rick)MONTERREY R 126 15.00    
6  TOAST TO COAST Jun23 Jun03 May18 Mar31 Mar17 (aguirre anthon)ROSADO JOHAN 120 8.00    
7  GRANVILLE'S GARDEN         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-4   07/14/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOLA FLO Jun22 May18 Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 4.00    
2  LADY SERENITY Jun25 Jun02 May07 Apr07 Mar12 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 12.00    
3  POGGIBONSI Jul02 Jun17 May12 Feb02   (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 10.00    
4  O SHAUGHESEY Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr30 Apr15 (mckenzie dani)KARAMANOS A 116 10.00 6% 15.50    
5  ICE CUBE BABY Jun11 May19 May06 Apr07 Apr01 (frock l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  PATTY CAKES Mar30 Feb11 Jan01 Oct30 Sep17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 25% 3.10    
7  CHROMEPLATED HEART Jun25 Jun02 Apr22 Mar11 Feb09 (trombetta m)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
8  KILLY START Jun25 Dec01 Oct28 Sep16 Aug24 (merrym)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
 
LRL-5   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANY FOOLS GOLD         (schoenthal phil)MONTERREY R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLASSY CHICK         (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
3  BUCKIN' LUCKY Jun25 May05       (robb j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Jul01 Jun17 Apr26 Apr12   (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 116 3.50    
SCR  DETERMINED BLUE         (schoenthal phil)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUCKIN' GREAT Jun25 May25 May05     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  ARIEL MOON         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 120 6.00    
8  CUNDI Jul01         (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 15.00    
9  EMM ESS EH         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
LRL-6   07/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD DIGGING BROAD Jun18 May27 May04 Mar05 Feb10 (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 117 30.00    
2  GALS GAL Jun11 Nov06 Oct22 Sep30 Aug19 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
SCR  CHORUS GIRL Jun23 Nov19 Oct29 Aug24   (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60    
4  DAILY PLANET Jun24 Jun03 May13 Jan13 Nov06 (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00    
5  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Jun11 Nov19 Oct22 Sep07 Aug01 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 15.00    
6  TEQUILERA Jun24 May20 Apr23 Dec04 Oct30 (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  ITALIAN DRESSING Jun23 May19 Apr14 Mar26 Mar03 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00    
SCR  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Mar26 Jan13 Dec03 Nov11 Oct07 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50    
9  NICOLAR Jun24 Jun03 May20 Nov06 Oct20 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT May11 Apr01 Feb25 Jan15 Nov26 (downin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  SHE IS WISKY Jun11 May04 Apr14 Mar18 Feb03 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 10.00 10% 8.70    
12  YOUENS Jun23 May20 Apr29 Oct23 Sep10 (nixon just)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50    
13  NAVAL EMPIRE Jun11 May04 Mar10 Feb11 Jan20 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 12.00    
14  EIDIKOS (GB) Jun02 May02 Apr13     (motion grah)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 1.80 17% 4.70    
SCR  DETERMINED STAR Jun23 Jun23 May20 Apr24   (schoenthal phil)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SCR  TRANSPARENCY Jun18 May21 Mar08 Feb09   (walden william)NO RIDER 123 20.00    
 
LRL-7   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVE IT A WHIRL Jun15         (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  SURFBOARD Jun22         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
3  LOW MILEAGE May05         (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 114 6.00    
4  KRISTINACHRYSALIS May25 May01       (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 117 12.00    
SCR  FROSTY THE GIANT Jun11 May11 Apr20     (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 1.80    
6  SPEEDYNESS Jun16         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.00    
7  STREET TOUGH May26         (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00 12% 7.10    
 
LRL-8   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET COPPER Jun24 Nov07 Oct22 Sep23 Aug23 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 2.50    
SCR  YOUNGEST OF FIVE Jul02 Jun11 May06 Sep04 Aug13 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.00    
3  WICKED PRANKSTER Jun18 May06 Apr07 Oct22 Oct16 (davis g)MONTERREY R 123 3.50    
SCR  ONE TEN Jun18 May20 May06 Apr29 Feb24 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50    
5  POWER BACK Jul01 Jun18 May25 Nov07 Oct23 (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  WOW WHATA SUMMER Jun30 Jun14 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 (lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
7  THE ADDISON POUR Jun17 May05 Apr20 Feb05 Jun12 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 4.50    
8  PLOT THE DOTS Mar19 Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 Jan21 (cash norman )BATISTA A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSS LOGIC Jun23 Mar01 Feb17 Jan14 Dec16 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.40    
10  YOU MUST CHILL Jun21 Jun02 May19 Apr29 Sep24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 71% 0.40    
11  TOM HAGEN May19 Dec03 Nov04 Oct16 Sep25 (meyers madiso)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  CURLIN'S MALIBU Jun09 May07 Apr16 Feb01 Jan07 (atkins )BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAN ANDREWS Apr08 Feb26 Oct30 Sep30 Sep17 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
2  BADGER TOOTH May29 May04 Apr02 Mar12 Feb19 (walters henry)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
3  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Jun04 May29 May05 Apr29 Apr06 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 4.00 17% 4.80    
4  WALK AWAY JOE Jun09 May27 Apr29 Mar12 Feb20 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  OUR HOISTED MAST May27 May13 Apr08 Mar25 Mar03 (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ERAWAN Jun18 Jun04 May12 Mar17 Mar04 (maldonado j)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
7  SASSY KING Jun18 Jun04 May12 Apr21 Apr06 (davis s)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
8  NEVER CHANGE Jun18 Jun09 May18 May06 Apr13 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
9  HAYNE'S FEVER Jun18 Jun04 Aug27 Jul31 Jul03 (shankle joann)ALVELO C 123 50.00    
10  UNEQUIVOCAL Jun18 May05 Apr08 Mar17 Feb25 (aguirre a)HERNANDEZ F 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.