Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/2/6)-(4/6/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (2/5/6/7)-(3/2/4)-(6/5/3/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/5/3/7)-(2/4/8/1/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-6   WIN (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/5/3/7)-(2/4/8/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/4/8/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/1/3)-(2/4/8/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/1/3)-(2/4/8/1/3)-(2/4/8/1/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Jul03 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 Sep07 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 1.60 19% 4.20    
SASSY'S STORMIN May29 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul04 (husbands )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 4.00 18% 4.60    
LIVING SKY Jun26 Jun13 May29 Nov04 Oct08 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
GO IN GORGEOUS Jun13 May29 Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 (pruitt lise)CARRENO J 117 6.00    
ALL TERRAIN JANE Jun26 Jun19 Jun05     (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 117 5.00    
 
ASD-2   07/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE         (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
SHIVER         (brown jared)AEBLY FRASER 114 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DIRTY SHAME by IDE)
DAISYSADOOZY         (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 116 4.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GRACE OF HEARTS by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  HE'SATWISTER         (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 119 8.00    
  (by NONIOS out of LOOKS LIKE SIS by MUTAKDDIM)
MOBIL CREEK         (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 5.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of MOBIL APP by MOBIL)
MATRIX MECHANICS         (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 10.00 7% 13.30    
  (by NONIOS out of QUANTUM MECHANICS by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
SCR  RIPROCK Jul04         (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 15.00    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of STAGE CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
 
ASD-3   07/10/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE'S THUNDER Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep20 Jul25 (miller blair)CARRENO J 117 10.00    
MILAN OHIO Jun26 Jun13 May29     (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 3.50    
SCR  MONETARY MISHAP Nov05 Oct28 Oct08 Aug27   (britton calvi)AUSTIN NIRONE 117 15.00    
BIG BIG ENERGY Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep20 Sep05 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 1.20 39% 1.60    
ANNAKHOZANA Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep20 Sep05 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 2.50    
NONO MIDNITE Jun26 Jun13 May29     (johnston donna)BELLE SHAVON 117 25.00 6% 16.60    
RY BRED Jun26 Jun13 May29 Sep24 Sep10 (rowe michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 20.00 6% 16.60    
 
ASD-4   07/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Jun28 Jun04 May18 Apr23 Apr13 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 10.00    
TARA TATTOO Jun27 Dec08 Nov27 Nov11 Oct23 (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
GREAT REALIZATION Jun26 May12 Apr23 Apr10 Mar27 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 122 3.00    
TEE CLASS Jun23 Oct10 Sep24 Sep11 Aug16 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 25.00    
ARROGANCE Jun26 May23 Oct14 Oct01 Sep19 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
GREAT VISION Oct28 Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 (britton calvin)CARRENO J 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Jul04 Jun21 Jun07 May23 Aug28 (kinch bill)AEBLY FRASER 117 12.00 6% 17.00    
 
ASD-5   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUROMEC Jun26 Jun13 Nov19 Nov03 Oct01 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 122 10.00    
SAINT PIO Jun24 May29 May12 Apr28 Mar16 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 1.60 15% 5.50    
FRANKS RELOAD Jun27 May30 Dec01 Nov10 Oct14 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
KITON Jun21 Jun07 Sep13 Aug31 Aug23 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
MIA'S MAJESTY Jun26 May29 Oct10 Oct01 Sep16 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 8.00    
SCR  ARMAVEER Jun21 Jun07 May22 Apr03 Mar26 (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
HIGHRISEINTHEPEG Jun21 Jun07 Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 (miller bl)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 25.00    
 
ASD-6   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWNING ISLAND Jul03 Jun19 Dec10 Nov26 Nov06 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 20.00    
CLUB CHAMP Jun27 Jun12 May30 Sep27 Sep19 (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 25.00    
BITETHEBULLETBRO Jun27 Jun19 Jun05 Sep28 Sep20 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANZ A REBEL Jun28 Jun21 May30 Sep27 Sep06 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
CASALSA Feb26 Jan12 Dec10 Sep01 Aug17 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 3.00 8% 11.50    
HARD WEST Jun19 Jun06 May23 Feb14 Jan16 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.60 62% 0.60    
LUCKY BREAK Jun28 Jun12 Jun05 May23 Apr21 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
RIDE EM Jun28 Jun12 May23 Sep26 Sep13 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00    
 
ASD-7   07/10/2023 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jack Hardy Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHES TO ASHES Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May22 May03 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 114 40.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
SPITTEN KITTEN Jun20 Mar18 Feb15 Aug29 Aug16 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of ZAHRAH by KITTEN'S JOY)
I AM MILA Jun19 May29 May22 Sep27   (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 114 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
SUPER CARO Jun20 Jun02 Apr12 Mar25 Mar04 (o'h)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of MY SISTER CARO by BOP)
THE COMRIE RULE Jun28 Jun07 Apr04 Mar20 Mar12 (brown all)CHADEE JR 119 30.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STAR CHANT by MR. GREELEY)
REASONABLY LOVELY Jun27 Jun20 Apr21 Mar29 Mar17 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Jun27 Apr29 Feb10 Dec23 Oct29 (brown jared)CARRENO J 119 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of PREACH IT by SAINT BALLADO)
FOREVER LIGHTS Jun24 May21 Apr21 Apr02 Feb25 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 114 15.00 8% 11.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of CHIC by ORB)
GOVERNOR ANN Jun11 May18 Apr27 Apr08 Mar26 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of VOLANT by WILD SURF (IRE))
10  DIAMOND GRAND Jun02 May13 Apr30 Apr16 Mar25 (gourneau)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 114 5.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of SURELY GRAND by GRAND SLAM)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.