Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - July 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(4/3/6)-(1/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(1/6/4)-(1/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/3/6)-(6/5/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(6/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(6/5/8)-(5/8/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(5/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(5/8/2/6)-(6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/8/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/6)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/6)-(6/3/5)-(8/3/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(8/3/4/2)-(1/4/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (8/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/2)-(1/4/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-9   WIN (1/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/6)-(1/4/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/6)-(1/4/9/6)-(1/4/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   07/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER EYES Nov13 Oct21 Aug12 Jul30 Jul12 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of DAKOTA LILL by LIL E. TEE)
GOT NO MORE TEARS         (pompell robert)REYES ANGEL 124 8.00    
  (by MT WAVERLY out of TWO TEARS by DEMIDOFF)
SWEET LITTLE LISA Jun11         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIGRESS TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Oct29 Oct15 Sep15 Aug28   (perez manny)COLON H 119 6.00 9% 10.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of JULIE DARLIN by SEATTLE FITZ)
SCR  GLADYS ALICE         (rivelli larry)FELIX E 119 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DELUCIE by PIONEERING)
MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Jun21 Jun04 May25 Apr09 Dec02 (ramirez carlo)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
VISIONISTA Jun07 Apr27 Mar25 Mar09 Feb05 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00 7% 12.70    
  (by COURT VISION out of MISS PITTY PAT by DATA LINK)
 
HAW-2   07/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANGO TREE Oct29 Oct14 Oct02 Jun18 Jun04 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 122 6.00    
COUGER May28 May04 Apr16 Mar16 Dec18 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 6.00    
HATCHET CREEK Jun15 May04 Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50 13% 6.60    
SOUPER FORTUNE Jun21 Jun04 May11 Apr09 Mar09 (reid r)COLON H 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
BLURT Jun14 May31 Feb16 Jan22 Jan01 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
CHRISTMAS PRESENT Jun18 May31 May21 May11 Apr27 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.50 9% 10.60    
 
HAW-3   07/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADA KALINA Jun21 Jun07 May11 Apr20 Apr02 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
MUD HUT Jun14 Apr20 Mar09 Dec30 Dec18 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 2.50    
PRIMITY Jun20 May23 Apr25 Dec03 Nov12 (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 4.50    
INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Dec28 Nov25 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.00 7% 13.60    
SWEET CRYSTAL Jan14 Oct29 Sep15 Aug11   (robertson hugh)FELIX E 117 5.00    
HOLY IMAGE Jun14 May28       (weir george)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 5.00 10% 8.90    
 
HAW-4   07/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLOTTI Jun04 May04 Apr23 Mar26   (wainwright john)FELIX E 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS JUNE by MORE THAN READY)
REGIMENTAL May25 Apr08 Nov26 Sep10   (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 119 2.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
GONE AGAIN Jun15 May28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb10 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ISTAN AGAIN by ISTAN)
SCR  BLACK RAVEN Jun18 Jun11       (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
ICE AXE Jun15 May18 Mar15 Mar01 Jan13 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
EIGHT MAY Jun10 May20 Apr22 May07   (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00 20% 4.10    
  (by V. E. DAY out of CITY ROYALE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
MINNESOTA MOON Jun08 May18 May04 Apr13 Feb25 (block chris)MOJICA O 119 4.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CHORAGUS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
HAW-5   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GATE CREW Jun14 May25 Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 3.50    
HURTS SO BAD Jun15 May28 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
SCR  FORWARD CURVE Jun14 May25 Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00    
TEA AFTER BALLET Jun25 Jun08 May25 May18 Apr30 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
PINBALLER Jun22 Jun14 May25 Apr20 Apr02 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 6.00 9% 9.50    
MEMPHIS PRAYER Jun14 May25 Apr27 Apr13 Mar17 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 55% 0.80    
CHEEKERS Jun13 May16 May02 Dec30 Oct14 (scalcione p)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
MODIFIER Jun14 Jun04 May18 May11 Apr09 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 9% 10.00    
 
HAW-6   07/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI CRESCENDO Jun18 May28 Apr29 Mar24 Mar10 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
GHAALEB'S MAGIC Jun18 Jun01 May18 Apr22 Nov27 (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 10% 9.00    
TAP N TWINE Jun18 May28 May07 Apr16 Mar09 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00    
ARCH FLYER Jun18 May28 May07 Apr22 Apr09 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
APOLLO U ANYWHERE Jun18 Jun01 May18 Apr16 Mar26 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
HELEN MAE'S SONG May30 May02 Apr18 Mar18 Sep03 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
HER GOLD MINE Jun11 Jun01 May04 Apr09 Mar16 (meraz antonio)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
AUNT STELLA Jun11 May28 May07 Apr30 Apr09 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
HAW-7   07/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Indian Maid Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST A WONDER Jun18 May20 Apr25 Apr09 Mar23 (manley steve)LOPEZ E 115 20.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of AGILE WONDER by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
SCR  KINGSBURY DREAM Jun21 Jun01 Nov25 Nov13 Oct08 (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 115 30.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LAYNEE BUG by BEHRENS)
TRAIL RIDGE ROAD May31 Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 (block chris)MOJICA O 119 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
COWGIRL FRANKIE Jun18 May31 May21 May04 Apr18 (rednour john)CENTENO ALEXIS 114 20.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
SUMMER DAY Jun18 May31 Dec02 Nov04 Sep24 (mitchell anthon)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by SKY MESA out of SUMMER AGAIN by EMPIRE MAKER)
KATIE M'LADY May31 Oct23 Oct08     (boyce michele)FELIX E 123 2.50 57% 0.70    
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
SCR  OEUVRE May21 May05 Apr15 Feb21 Jan14 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  WANDA STRONG Jun21 May31 May18 Dec09 Nov25 (miller r)EMIGH A 115 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of WHERE'S WANDA by STRAIGHT LINE)
WHITE LIES Jun14 May21 Apr30 Dec02 Nov11 (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 117 12.00    
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
10  WAY TOO SMARTE Jun21 Jun11 May21 Apr25 Apr09 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 115 20.00    
  (by BRAVE 'N AWAY out of HOOSIER SMARTE by MARTE)
 
HAW-8   07/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY MISCHIEF May31 Apr13 Mar23 Mar05 Feb10 (campbell jo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00    
ROUGH JUSTICE Jun18 Jun25       (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SANTINO'S FANTASY May31 May21 May04 Apr07 Feb26 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 117 1.60 22% 3.60    
LIMA ZULU Jun10 Apr25 Apr09 Jan20 Sep18 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
MASQUERADE BALL Jun07 May11 Mar09 Feb24 Feb16 (rosas rigo)ORTEGA O 122 20.00    
DASTARDLY DEEDS Jun21 Jun14 Apr06 Mar23 Dec29 (flores j)COLON H 122 12.00    
LAMELO Jun07 May22 Feb17 Jul31 Jul10 (clay pat)FELIX E 124 4.50    
STORM APPROACHING Jun07 May06 Mar31 Feb24 Jan06 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 117 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
HAW-9   07/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET HOSS         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of JENNY'S ROCKET by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  OVERDUE HONOR May20         (roussel j)FELIX E 124 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STARSHIP DUCHESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
FROSTED TEMPTATION Jun14         (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.50    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of HAPPY REFRAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
MANEUVER         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00 21% 3.80    
  (by STREET BOSS out of YOU SHOULD BE HERE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
SCR  TOURIST CAT Jun17 May31 May20     (johnston reb)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of FASHION FUR by MR. GREELEY)
A P BLAZING GREEN Jun14 May28 May07 Apr16 Mar26 (witthauer john )BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
SCR  SMILING STORMY Jun14 May21       (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 119 30.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
ROCKET MAN ATTACK Jun18 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (childers )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ICE PELLET by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
FAST FORWARD May29 May08 Apr22 Mar25 Feb17 (bright derri)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  PIRATE MARMALADE         (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of CURUZU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  FLYING CRICKET Jun07 May07 Mar26     (witthauer john )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 30.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.