Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - July 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/3/2)-(4/3/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/3/7/1)-(6/7/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-3   WIN (4/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1)-(4/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/1)-(6/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/1)-(6/7/3/4)-(3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DEL-4   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/4)-(3/7)-(7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-5   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/7)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(7/4/5)-(8/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-6   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(8/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5)-(8/4/9/1)-(3/6/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-7   WIN (8/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1)-(8/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/9/1)-(3/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DEL-8   WIN (3/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8)-(3/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELKE LODGE Apr24         (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.40 72% 0.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
SCR  APPEALINGTOTHE EYE Jun03 May12 Apr01 Mar10   (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80    
  (by MASTERY out of APPEALING MAGGIE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
GUN RUNNIN' GAL Jun15 May31 May06 Feb15   (bedard alan)CENTENO E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DRESS THE PART by MALIBU MOON)
BELLA PALOMA Jun03 Mar25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan14 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 118 5.00 6% 14.40    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of STRAWBERRY TEQUILA by DAAHER)
VOLTA D'ORO Mar11 Feb12 Jan15     (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of OVER THE EDGE by THUNDER GULCH)
BROOKLYN GIRL Jun03 May14 Apr16 Mar26 Mar03 (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of POP DITTY'S GIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
 
DEL-2   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NURSE RACHETT Jun17 May25 Nov03 Oct21 Sep28 (cronk f)BLANCO ANDRY 119 8.00    
KIRBY Jun10 May25 Apr29 Apr15 Mar15 (neilson wal)CHATRIE E 109 6.00 5% 19.00    
RAVENEL Jun17 May11 Apr20 Mar24 Feb26 (harting c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 4.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  LIFE IN FLASH May20 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 (harting chr)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 109 8.00    
CHICA RABIOSA Dec31 Dec17 Dec02 Nov06 Oct22 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 119 3.00    
HELEONORTIZ Jun17 Jun02 May20 May03 Jan08 (machado anto)ARROYO S 121 1.50 63% 0.60    
 
DEL-3   07/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 WET FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LANCER Jun22 Jun10 May31 May07 Apr16 (sepulveda carlo)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVERY TIME Apr22 Apr01 Feb12 Nov04 Oct08 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 3.00    
BROOKLYN GIRLEE         (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
YOOOU KNOW May31 May12 Mar31 Mar03 Feb02 (cibelli jane)CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00 44% 1.30    
SEA IMAGE         (strauss bev)MARIN A 119 12.00    
SCR  SPUN IN A MILLION Jun10 Feb26       (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 8.00    
APPLE SHAKE SHAKE         (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
MEDB         (devereux jos)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00    
PINK SUNSET Jun17 Jun03 Sep23     (pham van)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 12.00    
 
DEL-4   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRASS CUTTER Jun09 May28 Apr13 Mar19 Mar05 (robb j)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 5.00    
CRIMSON LILLE Jun20 May25 May05 Feb22 Jan25 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00    
RATIONALMILLENNIAL Jun17 May20 May07 Apr20 Mar25 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
MERGER OF EQUALS Jun18 Apr07 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CIRCLE OF COURAGE Jun17 Dec28 Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 (lawrence lee)ROSE J 122 6.00    
DOROTHY'S THE BOSS Jun24 May31 Mar10 Feb15 Jan01 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.50 32% 2.10    
FORTIBUG May04 Apr14 Mar05 Jan29 Jan07 (moysey ch)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 4.00 25% 3.10    
 
DEL-5   07/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($26K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRUMMAGEM May25 Apr30 Nov05 Sep22 Aug27 (pickett crysta)CEDENO CAROL 115 8.00    
SCR  LUCKY PERIDOT May26 Mar23 Feb08 Jan05 Dec02 (walder r)CENTENO E 118 3.00    
I LOVE YOU Jul30 Jul01       (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 39% 1.60    
STARRY HOPE Jun10 May11 Apr20 Mar24 Jan21 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 8.00    
SCR  MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT May11 Apr01 Feb25 Jan15 Nov26 (downing wil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 5.00    
SCR  UNA LUNA Jun03 Apr23 Apr02 Mar09 Dec11 (pecoraro anthony)ROSE J 116 6.00    
ASTERS D'ORO Jun10 Apr23 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 (wagner karin)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 8.00 35% 1.80    
CRICKET WEST May26 May06 Apr15 Mar26 Feb19 (morzan e)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00    
SCR  NIBBLES Jun14 May28 May06 Apr06 Mar04 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
 
DEL-6   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITIGANT Jun15 May06 Mar25 Feb08 Jan25 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 123 10.00    
SCR  FREE SQUARE Jun24 May12 Mar26 Mar05 Feb18 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00    
SCR  GREAT GO GO Jun22 May12 Apr16 Mar31 Feb12 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 8.00    
SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Jun19 May31 Apr18 Mar29 Mar08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
THE SICARII Jun01 May07 Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 4.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  HIDDEN WARRIOR Jun15 Apr19 Mar15 Dec09 Nov05 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 123 8.00    
BAZOO Jun15 May27 Apr15 Apr02 Mar15 (carrascojr )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
MONDAY'S WITH MIKE Jun21 May27 Feb20 Jan20 Nov30 (siculietan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 15.00    
 
DEL-7   07/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUISSET Jan07 Dec03 Nov03 Oct12   (gorham michael )CENTENO E 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRULY AMBITIOUS Jun17 May31 Mar10 Feb18 Aug27 (husted rac)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 20.00    
SCR  TRANSLATE Nov20 Oct29 Sep05 Aug03 Mar19 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 121 4.00    
INSIGHTFUL Jun14         (nambo cesar)MENA E 121 10.00 25% 3.00    
MY CAJUN LADY Nov01 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16   (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 116 10.00    
SCR  HIPNOTIZADA Jun28 Jun19 Jun03 Apr08 Mar21 (smith lawrenc)ALICEA JEREMY 114 20.00    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Jun14 Apr30 Apr16 Feb25 Dec29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00    
FLIRTATIOUS LASS Jun02 May12 Nov20 Sep30 Sep17 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
SYSTEMIC RISK Jun04 May16 Nov21 Sep28 Sep14 (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR May12 Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 (pregman jr)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 10.00    
 
DEL-8   07/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORIED FELLA Jun19 May31 Apr05 Feb12 Jan27 (ness jamie)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 3.00    
ZIPPER ZAPPER Jun23 Jun02 May25 May06 Mar15 (bryant donal)ARROYO S 122 12.00    
CALL ME MAESTRO Jun15 May27 May13 May06 Apr13 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
POWER (BRZ) Jun02 May19 Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 (morzan javier)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00    
KIDYOUNOT Jun23 May11 Mar22 Feb12 Jan12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
ICY MINISTER May06 Mar24 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 (mancilla carlos)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
SALTY HEIR Jun09 May10 Apr14 Mar03 Feb16 (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
SINGLINO Jun23 Feb09 Jan21 Dec07 Nov27 (worsley )RODRIGUEZ L 112 12.00 11% 8.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.