Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (7/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5)-(7/4/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/6/2/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3/9)-(7/6/2/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3/9)-(7/6/2/3/9)-(7/6/2/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   06/30/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTURE MY DREAMS Jun02 Oct22 Sep17 Aug15 Jul15 (stephens shari)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00    
2  SAWEETIE GIRL Apr02 Feb24 Jan29 Jan11 Dec03 (david a)JUAREZ NIK 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLDEN BELIEF May27 Mar31 Feb12 Jan14 Dec15 (matz )DIAZ RAFAEL 124 4.00    
4  ROYAL DAME Jun03 May14 Apr23 Apr02 Mar04 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 38% 1.70    
5  COLLECTIVE GOLD Jun02 Apr12 Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 (brown how)RODRIGUEZ A 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUDGEMENT TIME Jun02 May13 Sep24 Sep17 Sep02 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
7  CAN'T COMPLAIN May24 Apr03 Mar01 Feb07 Jan23 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  INFLUENTIALOUS Jun02 May03 Mar25 Feb01 Dec15 (wilson tony)BATISTA A 117 5.00    
 
MTH-2   06/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE DREAM (BRZ) May27         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.00    
  (by GHADEER (FR) out of OCALA'S DREAM (BRZ) by CLACKSON (BRZ))
SCR  ESME'S ROSE Jun04         (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of JOAN'S ROSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
3  RAW POWER Jun18 Sep10 Aug21 Aug13 Jul16 (spina charles)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ROCK 'N WOLIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  BOURBON MISS Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 Jul29 Jul05 (jennings j)RIVERA R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAYERN out of LITTLE STITCH by GEROSA)
5  SILVER TICKET         (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.40 41% 1.50    
  (by CURLIN out of ROYAL OBSESSION by ROYAL ACADEMY)
6  DUKE GIRLS May13         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 32% 2.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of GOLD MEDALIST by SLEW O' GOLD)
 
MTH-3   06/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr02 Feb11 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00    
2  WHATCHAMACALL Jun09 Jun03 May20 Mar01 Feb02 (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 117 2.50    
3  AIKEN TO BELONG Jun03 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04   (berrios manuel)COTTO L 119 20.00    
4  MISPELLED MOOON Jun03 Oct28 Sep25 Aug28 Aug04 (handal ra)VARGAS A 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  SANTAFE EXPRESS Jun02 May05 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 119 20.00    
6  WHEELINGNDEALING Jun18 Feb08 Jan18 Dec10 Nov04 (wilson tony)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  SHERRY ORIENTAL Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Sep18 Aug28 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SEDONA ROCKS Jun03 Dec18 Dec04 Nov19 Sep17 (harris ho)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BIG BROWN EYES Oct25 Sep28 Aug30     (martin f)LUZZI J 121 10.00    
SCR  PROSPECTIVE CANDY Jun20 May31 May19 Mar15 Feb20 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 10.00    
 
MTH-4   06/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HEAD ITALIAN         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DANGEROUS DAWN by FOREST DANGER)
2  SUMMER'S COMIN         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 8.00 6% 16.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EMIRATES GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  MOLLY'S A BULLET         (margotta anthony)FERRER C 117 4.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
4  J WILLARD         (simon linda)GOLIBRZUCH S 117 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
5  BEACHFRONT BREEZE         (simoff andre)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by COAL FRONT out of QUICK BREEZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  BINGO'S BIRKIN         (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50 6% 15.40    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of FUTURE STORY by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  VIVID ARTISTE Jun03         (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MELODRAMA by ORB)
 
MTH-5   06/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LENDHERCREDIT Jun10 May13 Apr16 Mar24 Jan29 (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 9% 9.60    
2  RAPID MISS TAPIT May13 Sep02 Jul24 Jul01 Jun17 (potts wayne)OLVER MADISON 111 15.00    
3  SPATIAL REALITY Jun01 Apr06 Mar12     (huston ro)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
4  E M'S TREASUREGIRL May05 Apr19 Mar10 Feb08   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50 31% 2.30    
5  ROMPING Jun04 Apr28       (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 6.00    
6  GIRLY THE BUTCHER May29 May13 Mar30 Mar03 Feb05 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  OFFICE ETIQUETTE May27 Aug27 Aug15 Jul31 Jul15 (stephens john)LUZZI J 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
8  BOLT OF PARADISE Jun11 May27       (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00    
SCR  CAPTURE THIS Jun17 Jun10       (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
MTH-6   06/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF ENGINEER May29 May21 Mar24 Feb25 Jan21 (cash j)LUZZI J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  COAL MINE May29 May13 Apr07 Mar12 Feb19 (skelto)ROJAS EDUARDO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ADIOS DINERO Jul23         (bennett gera)BATISTA A 117 4.50    
4  ONE AMERICA Jun11 May21 Mar10 Feb22 Jan12 (gonzalez cla)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.50 67% 0.50    
5  FACE ABARRIO Jun11 Apr16 Oct08 Sep24   (perez l)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.50    
6  LYFE IS SIMPLE May28 May21 May03 Apr11 Jan23 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE KHOZAN ONE Jun16 May20 Apr23 Mar22 Feb23 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50    
 
MTH-7   06/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYSTAL ORB May27 Apr28 Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 (pringle edmun)KAY R 121 20.00    
2  ROB THE TREASURE Jun17 Sep23 Aug28 Aug15 Jul16 (dini mike)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 12% 7.40    
3  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Jun02 Apr26 Apr01 Mar15 Feb25 (stephens sha)BATISTA A 121 4.50 8% 12.20    
4  WAR MUSEUM Jun17 May28 Apr22 Mar24 Feb17 (ryan d)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
5  RAINOUT Jun02 Apr26 Apr01 Mar01 Feb01 (torres r)COTTO L 121 6.00    
6  LOST LUGGAGE Jun07 May18 Apr12 Feb07 Jan10 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 117 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  GOLDEN HAVEN Jun12 May29 Apr27 Mar05   (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  SMART RED Jun02 Oct07 Sep02 Aug20 Jul24 (captan bassam)JUAREZ NIK 119 15.00    
9  MYSTIC DREAMS Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 Jan18 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BODIL Jun18 May27 Apr10 Feb15 Dec30 (avila jua)VARGAS A 117 5.00    
SCR  SHE'S JUST QUALITY Apr05 Feb22 Jan22 Mar06 Feb12 (alvarado diane)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50    
 
MTH-8   06/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA LUISA Sep03 Aug05       (wilson f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 5.00    
2  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Jun10 May27 May20 Apr27 Mar31 (simmonds m)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 112 30.00    
3  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Jun16 May27 May20 May01 Apr11 (bailey)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
4  BOSS LADY KIM Sep30 Aug28 Jun30 May13   (frangella jam)IORIO MELISSA 114 4.00 28% 2.50    
5  PARISIAN VIBE Jun24 Jun09 May27 Apr19 Mar22 (tessore bruno)JUAREZ NIK 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  THE SWEATY FOX Jun10 May29 Apr21 Mar11 Feb24 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.60 32% 2.10    
7  VANISHING FAITH Jun19 May29 Apr25 Mar15 Feb20 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.