Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/7/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4/6)-(8/7/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4/6)-(8/7/2/4/6)-(8/7/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/2/4/6)-(3/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/2/4/6)-(3/6/4/1)-(4/3/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/1)-(4/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(1/7/8/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(1/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(1/7/8/6)-(5/7/4/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6)-(1/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/6)-(5/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(8/1/3/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/6)-(8/1/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/6)-(8/1/3/4/2)-(2/1/5/3/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (8/1/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/4/2)-(8/1/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/4/2)-(8/1/3/4/2)-(8/1/3/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/3/4/2)-(2/1/5/3/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/4/2)-(2/1/5/3/7)-(8/3/7/9/2) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-7   WIN (2/1/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3/7)-(2/1/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3/7)-(2/1/5/3/7)-(2/1/5/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3/7)-(8/3/7/9/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/3/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/9/2)-(8/3/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/9/2)-(8/3/7/9/2)-(8/3/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   06/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERED BY LOVE         (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of GAME OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  BRADLEY DO RIGHT         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
3  WYSOQUIET Jun16 May26       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of G G'S DOLLY by COMIC STRIP)
4  DIRECT PROOF         (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of TWO HUNDRED PROOF by MALIBU MOON)
5  LOVE IS WICKED         (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  BOUNDTONOONE         (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of BOUND TO by BOUNDARY)
7  GREATEST NOTION         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 9% 9.70    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
8  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
9  CANDY FOR JUBA         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
  (by JUBA out of CANDY MAN'S GIRL by CHARITABLE MAN)
10  JUBAWITHATWIST         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
 
CT-2   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO DENYING DENIS Jun02 May12 Apr21 Apr08 Mar17 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  YOLO CHARLOTTE Jun02 May12 Apr15 Mar10 Nov30 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.60    
3  MARINA GRANDE Jun10 May18 Apr20 Aug12   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  MUSIC LASS May12 Apr29 Dec17 Nov19 Oct08 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 4.50 9% 9.80    
5  JUBA BABY Jun02 May11 Apr29 Mar18 Nov24 (keller chri)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
6  STRONG WILLED May25 Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 Oct08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
7  SLEWING Mar25 Jan14 Dec14 Nov11 Oct26 (groves janice)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Jun10 Apr22 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of OVERTIMEANGIE BABY by SPECTACULAR BID)
2  LET'S EAT Nov15 Oct19       (keller eddie)MARRERO CARLOS 118 12.00 5% 18.60    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
3  RUSH TO CANDY Jun09 May04 Mar26     (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 10.00 9% 9.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
4  CHARLEMAGNE Nov25         (stidham m)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 50% 1.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of AGAVE KISS by LION HEART)
5  NEVER FOR SPEIGHT Dec08 Oct27 May21 May04   (bourne j)LARROSA G 124 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of EVER APPEALING by APPEALING SKIER)
6  MAJOR NELSON Jun16 May27 May19 Apr28 Apr01 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 118 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of GREAT LOOKINBLONDE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
7  DIVINAS CONNECTION Jun09 Dec08 Oct26 Sep05 Aug15 (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
 
CT-4   06/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAY THE MUSIC DIED May19 Apr27 May15 May07 Apr01 (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.80 61% 0.60    
2  SETTLEMENT DATE Jun15 May19 May05 Apr27 Mar31 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 5.00    
3  BODYSLAM Jun22 May29 Apr27 Apr08 Mar23 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
4  STORM TRAPPE May26 Apr21 Jun24 May20 Apr29 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
5  SHOWTIME CAT Jun09 May19 Apr07 Mar17 Dec30 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 120 4.50    
6  DAN THE MAN CAN May19 Apr28 Apr07 Sep09 Jul14 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  OX DOC Jun14 May26 May16 Nov04 May19 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 13% 6.60    
8  SHAMELESS RISK Jun16 Apr27 Nov03 Oct13 Sep17 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLONIAL ROAD Jun02 May12 Apr27 Apr08 Mar11 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 12.00    
2  CURB THAT TIGER Jun02 May12 Apr27 Mar31 Mar24 (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00    
3  A BIT OF HARLOW Jan26         (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50    
4  BAND TOUR Jun02 Apr27 Apr13 Sep14 Sep03 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MEETMARYSMAN Jun02 May12 May06 Apr29 Apr06 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  CRUISE ON BY Jun09 Jun02 May18 May11 Mar24 (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ASTRAYAL Jan06 Dec17       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.50 36% 1.80    
 
CT-6   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M THE MONEY MAN May19 Apr28 Apr06 Dec14 Nov19 (sigler g)LARROSA G 116 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  LIEUTENANT BROWN Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  O'RIGSBY Jun09 May19 Apr20 Mar30 Mar10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 8.00 12% 7.50    
4  GATTO BE PROUD May19 Apr28 Mar30 Feb15   (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT May13 Apr28 Mar31     (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00    
6  FELICIAS CASTLE Jun03 May26 May06 Apr28 Apr06 (smith o)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
7  TREASURER Jun01 Mar30 Mar10 Jan27   (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
8  GRUMPY'S BUDDY Jun03 Apr28 Apr06 Mar18 Feb15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 33% 2.00    
9  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jun03 May19 Apr28 Apr08 Mar18 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
10  TURTLE DOVE Jun03 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 5.00    
SCR  ALDRINALINE Oct12 Sep14       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 12.00    
SCR  ROAD MINISTER Jun15 May24 Apr26 Apr08 Mar17 (chain pearl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 6.00    
 
CT-7   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS NAME IS SUE May28 May12 Apr28 Aug31 Aug11 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
2  COASTAL MISSION Apr22 Apr08 Mar18 Feb17 Jan20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 60% 0.70    
3  MR THRIFTY Apr24 Mar19 Feb22 Jan10 Dec06 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  ISHIHARA May19 Apr15 Mar11 Oct08 Sep17 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
5  OVERLY CRITICAL Jun09 May18 Apr01 Mar01 May21 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAD PAISLEY Jun09 Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 Feb20 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
7  ROCKET APPEAL Jun10 May19 Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 (campbell ma)RAMGEET R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  KENNY HAD A NOTION May25 Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Feb08 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
9  ALPHA CHI RHO Jun09 Apr20 Mar11 Feb10 Jan26 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
 
CT-8   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Apr15 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec15 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 120 12.00    
2  IT'S A REAL HONOR Jun03 May11 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 (perez ernesto)WOODSON H 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
3  DENALI D'ORO May11 Apr08 Mar11 Dec07 Nov18 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
4  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY May25 May04 Apr13 Mar02 Feb04 (reynolds jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 12.00    
5  GOLDEN SALLY May11 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan18 (boggs jo)BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00    
6  DEREKA'S BLUFF May26 Apr21 Apr07 Nov11 Oct26 (venham lyn )ESQUILIN J 120 20.00    
7  AMELIA'S DREAM May25 Apr29 Mar17 Jan18 Nov24 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00 16% 5.20    
8  MAKINLIMMARGARITAS May26 May11 Apr08 Mar04 Feb16 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
9  APPEALING ROAD Jun09 May26 May11 Apr21 Mar24 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.