Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/6/7)-(3/7/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(3/7/4)-(7/4/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(7/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(7/4/9/2)-(7/8/5/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2)-(7/4/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/9/2)-(7/8/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/2)-(7/8/5/2/9)-(8/7/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/8/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/2/9)-(7/8/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/2/9)-(7/8/5/2/9)-(7/8/5/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/5/2/9)-(8/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5/2/9)-(8/7/3/6)-(3/2/7/5/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/6)-(3/2/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3/6)-(3/2/7/5/1)-(9/5/2/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (3/2/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/5/1)-(3/2/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/5/1)-(3/2/7/5/1)-(3/2/7/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/5/1)-(9/5/2/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/5/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/3/6)-(9/5/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/3/6)-(9/5/2/3/6)-(9/5/2/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY CONGRATS Jan21 Dec17 Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.80 14% 5.90    
LOADED SNIPER May26 May06 Mar31 Feb16 Jan25 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 6.00    
MOJAC KAT May19 Apr21 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.50 54% 0.90    
STRETCH THE TRUTH May19 Mar10 Jan25 Dec17 Nov09 (king yolonda)ADAMS L 115 10.00    
GRAND FIBER May27 Apr28 Mar09 Feb08 Jan06 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 7% 14.30    
PAPA TONY Mar23 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.50    
 
CT-2   06/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOK OF DELANCEY Apr01 Mar25 Mar11 Mar04 Feb10 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
STAVANGER Jun03 May18 Apr14 Mar25 Mar02 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
TRANSFER THE FUNDS May24 May11 Apr05 Mar11 Feb26 (buckley ric)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 15.00    
ROCKET DAWG Jun02 May09 Feb18 Jan07 Dec02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 71% 0.40    
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING Jun02 May20 May06 Nov29 Nov24 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
SLOE GIN BIZ Jun03 May18 May04 Apr13 Mar23 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 6% 17.10    
SCOOTSCOOT Jun03 May25 May04 Apr21 Mar25 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Jun03 May18 May06 Apr14 Apr01 (pyke jose)BOCACHICA J 110 30.00    
PRINCE OF FENTON Jun02 May13 Apr01 Feb08 Jan26 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.80    
 
CT-3   06/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MODERN SOCIETY Jun03 Apr16 Oct27 Oct08   (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of GOLDEN TRUMPET by FORMAL GOLD)
LINDA'S TAJ Jun09 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 4.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of R B'S LINDA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
SOMEBODY LOVES ME May26 Apr28 Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
RAINBOW RHYTHM Apr29 Jun24       (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 108 6.00 10% 9.20    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALTER RHYTHM by ALTERNATION)
SCR  MAKAAN Mar17 Feb04       (soldo elaine)RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00    
  (by MORNING LINE out of LOTSA NOODLES by MASS MEDIA)
MARQUET CLASSIC May04         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of MARQUET MADNESS by PICO CENTRAL (BRZ))
GILDED QUEST Jun09 Apr28 Apr15 Dec14 Dec02 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
TOUGH GAME May24 May13 Dec13 Nov30 Nov16 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
  (by MASTERY out of IN THE ROUGH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CT-4   06/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKE IT GIRL Jun02 May12 Apr06 Mar01 Jan18 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 108 8.00    
GREAT DEVOTION Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 Feb15 Jan04 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Apr20 Apr07 Feb15 Dec17 Dec02 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
TAKE CHARGE LISA Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 Feb24 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Jun01 May11 Nov30 Oct28 Oct12 (walters dav)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
FLAT OUT COOL Jun01 May06 Apr20 Mar30 Mar05 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
MANAGED MISCHIEF Jun01 Apr29 Feb22 Jan13 Dec07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 4.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  QUEEN CASHMERE Feb08 Jan20 Jan06 Dec14 Oct30 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
AMERICAN BOUND May16 May04 May10 May03 Apr18 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
CT-5   06/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MAJESTIC May27 May04 Feb25 Feb08 Dec11 (keller chri)RAMGEET R 120 12.00    
SMOKIN SMITTY         (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY SLICK NICK Jun10 May25 May05 Apr21 Apr14 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
MIMS SECOND CHANCE May27 Apr14 Mar11 Feb25 Feb04 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 12.00    
GAMMA SQUEEZE         (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
SHAMELESS APPEAL Jun03 Mar23 Feb18     (soldo elaine)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
NET WORTH Jun10 May25 Apr22 Apr10 Feb24 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
A THOUSAND IDOLS May26 May06 Mar23 Jan07 Nov25 (harting c)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 30% 2.40    
DANNY'S WINKSTER May04 Apr28 Mar02 Feb11 Feb01 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   06/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb08 Jan06 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
SCR  FOREVER TAKES TIME Jun02 Apr14 Feb22 Feb02 Oct29 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
BLUE N GOLD May25 Apr27 Nov05 Oct05 Sep10 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ORANGEBURG May11 Apr20 Apr07 Mar02 Jan27 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
CHASE LIL ME Jun01 Apr22 Mar25 Feb25 Feb08 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
AIR MEDAL Jun01 Apr22 Mar25 Mar16 Feb16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
WINDSOR'S TRACKER May06 Apr20 Apr06 Mar16 Mar02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 7% 14.30    
MR CHANCE ROMANCE May11 Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 Feb09 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
GET OFF MY CLOUD Jun03 May11 Apr13 Feb25 Jan27 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
10  SIENTE EL AMOR May26 Apr06 Mar10 Feb24 Feb02 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
 
CT-7   06/22/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODYSLAM May29 Apr27 Apr08 Mar23 Mar02 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIBER STRONG Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 Jan12 Oct15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Jun02 May11 Nov03 Oct15 Sep17 (dollinger-s)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
SUPER JORDAN May29 May11 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 (carson laur)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
HELL'S KITTEN Apr15 Feb09 Jan14 Nov27 Oct16 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00 6% 16.80    
ALWAYS HOPEFUL Dec22 Aug23 Jun30     (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 3.00    
ALLEN CAN DO IT Apr28 Apr15 Mar31 Mar11 Feb24 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
ATLANTIC VAQUERO Jun01 May04 Feb24     (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 116 15.00    
FIFTY FIFTY Oct15 Sep24 Sep07 Jul02   (mcdonald)BUTTERFLY L 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   06/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK FILE Jun02 May11 Apr13 Oct21 Sep23 (o'neill)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 20.00    
MISS YOU AJAX May26 May04 Apr04 Mar19 Feb19 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 13% 6.60    
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE May26 Dec16 Dec09 Nov18 Oct08 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 7% 12.90    
EL TOLU May26 Apr02 Feb25 Feb19 Feb03 (klesaris )HERNANDEZ F 118 12.00    
HIS ROYAL G Jun11 May26 May11 May04 Apr13 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
EISELE May05 Apr20 Mar16 Jan20 Dec15 (hummer richar)ADAMS L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOSEY Jun03         (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
A FAREWELL YODEL May11 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
BRIGHT DAWN May27 Apr20 Mar09 Feb01 Jan07 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.20 39% 1.60    
10  BOP MARLEY May11 Apr20 Aug11 Jul29 May26 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.