Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Energy Downs
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EDR-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
EDR-3   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-5   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EDR-7   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EDR-9   WIN (9/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/3)-(9/6/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/3)-(9/6/1/3)-(9/6/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EDR-1   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPO May27 Apr02 May06     (ibanez alb)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 126 4.00    
  (by TOO DISCREET out of FOREST MAGIC by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  GLORYS ROMANCE Jun04 Oct02 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 (garfias diana)LUARK T 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by STAND FOR GLORY out of RED RIVER ROMANCE by DUNKIRK)
3  AX 'S SHORE Jun04 May27 May06 Apr23 Apr08 (dennis clifto)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 3.50    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of SOUNDLESS SHORE by LATIGO SHORE)
4  CORTE May27 Apr29 Mar31 Feb26 Dec20 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 1.50 26% 2.80    
  (by COURT VISION out of TRIMMED by GAFF)
5  DIABLOS MOON Jun04 Sep25 Sep16 Sep03 Aug06 (garfias diana)ELLIS DEVON 128 8.00    
  (by POINT DEFIANCE out of SPECTACULAR VOW by BROKEN VOW)
6  PRIVATE TRAX May20 May14 Apr30 Apr10   (dennis clift)BETHKE A 128 6.00 16% 5.20    
  (by PRIVATE GOLD out of SLEWS DARLN COOKIE by CHIEF SLEW)
 
EDR-3   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($6.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA TROUBLE MAKER May21 May14 Apr24 Apr05 Mar04 (johnson r)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 6.00    
SCR  CREATIVE LETTERS Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr15 Mar11 (ibanez alberto)JAMES JARELL 128 6.00    
3  LADDIE BOY Jun09 May21 May14 May07 Apr21 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 4.50 8% 11.90    
4  MAXIMUS THE GREAT Jun16 May29 May21 Aug09 Aug02 (ecoffey gilb)JOURNET JARRED 128 4.00 7% 12.40    
5  MOST AMUSING Jun04 May27 May20 Apr29 Apr15 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 2.00    
6  TEXAS LONG BOW May29 May14 May07 Apr02 Mar18 (nelson bucks)BETHKE A 128 3.00 61% 0.60    
 
EDR-5   06/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONGOLIAN DIAMOND May27 May21 Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 (ducheneaux)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WILDWOOD MAGGIE May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 128 3.00 71% 0.40    
3  SUE HAPPY Jun09 May27 May13 Apr23 Apr08 (thompson grady)JAMES JARELL 128 2.00    
4  SASSY CAT May29 May14 May07 Apr10 Mar19 (johnson r)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 4.50    
5  EVIE Jun09 Jun04 May19 May05 Apr29 (ibanez alberto)SMITH TAVIS 128 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAGIC IN A HAT Jun09 May21 May19 May07 May06 (schindler jeff)LUARK T 128 3.50    
 
EDR-7   06/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAYETTE WARRIOR Jun04 May20 May06 Apr22 Apr01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 128 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  NINA EN FUEGO May14 May05 Apr22 Apr08 Jan02 (bethke troy )AGUILAR DANIEL 123 12.00    
3  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI May21 May07 Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 (johnson r)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  SHAQ'S MY DADDY Jun04 May28 Apr30 Apr16 Mar31 (lafferty duane)SMITH TAVIS 128 8.00    
5  LOST THE MINISTER Jun03 May21 May14 May07 Apr02 (warren kayla)LARSEN S 128 8.00 22% 3.60    
6  PRESS BRIEFING Jan17         (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 128 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  FRIENDOFTHECOURT May27 May21 May20 May12 Apr22 (ducheneaux)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 128 8.00    
8  DANCE FOR RANSOM Jun04 May21 May20 May14 May07 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 128 4.00    
 
EDR-9   06/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rich Market Derby Purse ($27.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLFRAM May28 Oct02 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 (dominguez call)LUARK T 126 10.00 9% 10.60    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of BONNIE BEAR by GONE WEST)
2  IN THE FAST LANE May28 Apr15 Mar10 Feb17 Jan22 (simpson l)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of LITHE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  INDIAS BIG RED May28         (martin francy)SMITH TAVIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of INDIALANTIC by STRONG HOPE)
4  PROSPECT OF RAIN May28 May02 Apr17 Mar03 Feb18 (story shaun)BETHKE A 126 2.50    
  (by PROSPECT PARK (GB) out of CLOUDS OF GLORY by BEAU GENIUS)
5  RED GARNET Jun04 May28 Oct02 Jul24 Jul10 (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 8.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of GET GOING BERTIE by CARSON CITY)
6  WE WANT ANOTHER Jun04 May28 May13 Apr01 Mar18 (tsosie terril)JIMENEZ DAVID 121 10.00 22% 3.50    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of TENDER AND TRUE by GALILEO (ARG))
7  PERFECT SELINA Jun04 May28       (martin francy)JAMES JARELL 121 20.00    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of PERFECT AND ELITE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SCR  FLUORITE May28 Oct02 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 (dominguez va)LARSEN S 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of MAZZY (ARG) by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  I SEE CLEARLY NOW May28 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Feb22 (hibdon mark )AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of CHRISTIAN COUNTY by ARCHARCHARCH)
10  QUEENS HOLIDAY May28 Apr30 Apr15 Mar10 Feb11 (lafferty duane)ELLIS DEVON 121 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of QUEENS PEG by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.