Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - June 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/3)-(3/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/3)-(3/5/6/7)-(6/2/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/7)-(6/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/7)-(6/2/5/1)-(3/2/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(3/2/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(3/2/7/4)-(2/5/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4)-(3/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/4)-(2/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/4)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/7)-(2/1/6)-(2/4/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(2/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(2/4/8/6)-(2/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6)-(2/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/6)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIDGET FACTORY May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 Jan14 (joy kev)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50 13% 6.90    
MOSS BOSS May13 Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 Jan25 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.40 32% 2.10    
FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL May02 Apr07 Mar13 Feb23 Jan11 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00 10% 8.60    
IMPETUOUS May15 Apr28 Apr07 Mar09 Feb16 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 120 8.00    
WIZARD OF ODDS May19 Apr28 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 20.00    
STEVETHEVANDRIVER May13 Apr21 Mar30 Jan21 Dec16 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
NO FOOLING DUDE May19 Apr28 Apr07 Mar16 Feb02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
 
CT-2   06/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIA FORMOSA May13 May07 Apr20 Apr09 Mar03 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 4.00    
AWESOME LUCKYCHARM May18 Apr28       (rangel ricardo)RODRIGUEZ V 124 50.00    
KELSEY'S ANGEL May25 May07 Apr08 Mar17 Feb17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 31% 2.30    
SWEET FACTOR May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 118 8.00    
LINDA'S TAJ May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 Feb25 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
WAY LUCKY May27 May18 May06 Apr15 Sep17 (demari)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 18% 4.40    
DON'T ANNOY ME May24 Apr20 Mar01 Jan27 Jul15 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 118 3.00 9% 10.80    
COASTING TO WIN Feb23         (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 118 15.00    
 
CT-3   06/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HILLBILLY ROCK May26 Apr07 Mar18 Feb23 Feb09 (atkins m)BUTTERFLY L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
JUBA'S HAT TRICK May13 Apr22       (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
OFFICER STONE May19 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Jan28 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
MONKEY WRENCH May26 Apr27 Apr13 Mar11 Feb23 (barahona is)RAMGEET R 120 20.00    
O'RIGSBY May19 Apr20 Mar30 Mar10 Feb17 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
DUNCAN IDAHO May20 Apr22       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 38% 1.70    
SCR  I'LLTAKECAREOFIT May13 Apr28 Mar31     (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50    
 
CT-4   06/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILLDRESS KAY Apr15 Feb17       (collyer jam)RAMGEET R 124 30.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
GILDED QUEST Apr28 Apr15 Dec14 Dec02 Oct28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GILDED LILY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SEAP May25 Apr15 Feb24 Feb17 Jan13 (merryman mic)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of SISTA by TWO PUNCH)
KIMSFAVORITESTORM May04 Sep05 Aug24 Aug03 Jul27 (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of STORMY WEST by GONE WEST)
FESSIN UP May12 Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Dec03 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of CARLETON GRINNELL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
CLARIFICATION May04 Apr15 Feb17     (collyer d)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
STORMIN' ANNA Dec08 Oct28       (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by STORM WOLF out of BEWITCHING ANNA by ALAJWAD)
SUPER WICKED Mar16 Jan18 Dec08 Nov16 Oct28 (sewell lenworth )MAYHEW W 116 30.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of NATURAL GLOW by SIPHON (BRZ))
 
CT-5   06/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOVEL May12 Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 Nov16 (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 30.00    
SEEMS TO WHISPER May28 May20 May06 Nov13 Oct29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY May20 Apr28 Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 118 3.00    
BALI BALIFLY May12 Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 Aug03 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 5.00 9% 9.80    
HOV LANE Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 Nov07 (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
GRASS CUTTER May28 Apr13 Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 6.00    
APPEALING ROAD May26 May11 Apr21 Mar24 Mar04 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUPERSNAKE May27 May11 Apr15 Mar30 Feb23 (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   06/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO BREEZE May19 Apr22 Mar03     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of NAKED EMPRESS by FREUD)
NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Nov13 Feb20 Jan22     (cash norm)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 0.60 32% 2.10    
  (by FLATTER out of MANDRELL by DUBAWI (IRE))
DIVINAS CONNECTION Dec08 Oct26 Sep05 Aug15 Jul27 (locklear james)CECIL Y 124 30.00    
  (by CONNECT out of DIVINA LUZ by WILD EVENT)
VOICE OF NOW May05 Mar23 Dec10 Nov19 Oct30 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 15.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of GOLDEN TRUMPET by FORMAL GOLD)
RUSH TO CANDY May04 Mar26       (collyer jamie )MONTANO JOSE 124 20.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
NICKANDME         (cuttino )BUTTERFLY L 124 12.00 13% 6.70    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of THISIZSPARTA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
PRINCE'S REWARD Apr22 Jan20 Sep29 Aug31 Aug10 (oxendine adam)SIMPSON JASON 124 50.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of G ANNA by KITALPHA)
SCR  TAKE AIM May27 Apr28 Apr08 Mar11 Mar02 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 116 10.00 8% 11.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of WILD EYED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CT-7   06/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRISTOL CHANNEL May20 Apr21 Apr01 Feb17 Feb01 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
ALPHA CHI RHO Apr20 Mar11 Feb10 Jan26 Dec13 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
TRINGALE May13 Mar11 Jan26 Dec14 Nov19 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
KOZY'S WILDCAT Apr29 Mar01 Feb17 Jan26 Dec31 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
OVERLY CRITICAL May18 Apr01 Mar01 May21 Apr09 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Apr22 Mar16 Feb18 Jan07 Nov12 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 8.00 8% 12.00    
BAAGY May14 Apr27 Apr01 Mar16 Feb08 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
RAD PAISLEY Apr29 Apr16 Mar24 Feb20 Jan16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 13% 6.90    
 
CT-8   06/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCREET LOVE         (greave)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of CLARA VICTORIA by DISCREETLY MINE)
REVEREND JACK Apr27 Apr08 Sep24     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 1.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BLOFELD out of SINCLAIR by MY BOY ADAM)
CRUISE ON BY Jun02 May18 May11 Mar24   (jackson ang)ESQUILIN J 116 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of THREE ARCH BAY by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Apr22         (lewis r)LARROSA G 116 6.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RETURN TRICK by PUT IT BACK)
COMEONTURNMELOOSE May18 Apr27 Apr08 Mar18 Mar11 (atkins mich)RAMGEET R 124 10.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of FAITHWILLBREWARDED by SONGANDAPRAYER)
LIEUTENANT BROWN May18 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16   (collyer d)BOCACHICA O 124 10.00 8% 11.80    
  (by MIKIMOTO'S MOJO out of LADEPUTAUT by CHAPEL ROYAL)
DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Apr08 Mar09 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 116 50.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
REAL RICK Sep08 Aug31 Aug15     (williams )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00    
  (by MASTER RICK out of REAL SASSY by REAL QUIET)
SCR  BIG BAD BRASS May20         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.