Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - May 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-2   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/6/7)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6/7)-(4)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(2/4/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(2/4/3)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/5/3/1)-(7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-5   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(7)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-6   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(5/6/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (7)-(5/6/2)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-7   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/1)-(5/6/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(4/7/5/8)-(1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-8   WIN (4/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8)-(4/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/8)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5/8)-(1/4)-(2/6/7/10) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PRX-9   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/6/7/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-10   WIN (2/6/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/10)-(2/6/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/10)-(2/6/7/10)-(2/6/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SO SWELL Feb27 Jan09 Dec13 Nov28 Nov01 (smith everton)MILAN GERARDO 123 10.00    
2  SIRENETTA May05 Apr17 Apr05 Mar22 Mar13 (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 118 10.00    
3  LUCKY BREEZE May03 Apr26 Apr10 Mar09 Jan24 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY May06 Apr25 Apr05 Mar07 Feb14 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 2.50    
5  NANA'S BOOPA May06 Apr25 Mar29 Mar08 Feb27 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 116 3.00    
6  ROSE LEGACY Apr18 Apr11 Mar20 Mar08 Feb27 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 123 3.50 19% 4.10    
7  QUEEN LUCKY Apr25 Apr17 Mar29 Mar20 Feb20 (wyner harold)RIVERA D 123 10.00 5% 17.60    
 
PRX-2   05/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT Apr19 Mar22 Feb21 Feb08 Jan16 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  MY BOY COLTON Apr11 Mar22 Feb25 Jan31 Apr14 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.00 26% 2.90    
3  IT'S A PITY May08 Apr18 Mar20 Mar06 Feb07 (whylie herold)OCASIO M 120 12.00    
4  PRINCIPE Apr11 Mar22 Mar14 Jan31 Dec19 (sanchez-piner)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 15.00    
5  DOCTOR MAGIC Apr11 Mar22 Feb14 Jan25   (whylie herold)RIVERA D 120 12.00    
6  GOLDEN WILDCAT May06 Mar29 Mar14 Feb08 Jan16 (padilla-)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 4.00 12% 7.10    
7  SUPREME BEING May01 Apr15 Mar27 Oct31 Oct03 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 4.50 7% 14.30    
 
PRX-3   05/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIBERTY RUNNER Apr26 Apr10 Mar29 Mar21 Feb20 (leung carlos)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 3.00    
2  MAJOR CAM Apr10 Mar08 Jan31 Jan17 Dec19 (santaella-ca)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 6.00 ★    
3  EXCLUSIVE ORDER Apr10 Mar21 Feb06 Jan09 Nov30 (soto c)OCASIO M 123 12.00    
4  DRUM AND DRUMMER Apr19 Mar25 Mar08 Feb22 Jan29 (rosado rob)SANCHEZ J 123 2.00 61% 0.60    
5  ESOR Apr10 Feb27 Sep05 Aug10 Jun29 (romero rafael)VIVES SOFIA 116 2.50 ★    
SCR  PETER G. FOX Apr10 Jan09 Nov14 Nov01 Sep12 (wilson brenda)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00    
 
PRX-4   05/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE RUNS THE LINE Feb22 Feb06 Jan02 Dec06 Nov23 (smith evert)DE KEMICH 116 5.00    
2  GRIT'N'GRIND May06 Apr05 Feb28 Feb08 Jan18 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  WEEKEND IN COURT Apr25 Apr18 Mar27 Feb28 Feb22 (aristone phil)OCASIO M 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KITH May06 Apr04 Mar07 Feb20 Feb06 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  SOCIAL GROUP Apr19 Apr04 Mar15 Feb22 Feb13 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 2.50    
6  SOMEBODY May02 Apr12 Mar22 Jan23 Jan04 (soto- martine)RIVERA D 126 1.80    
 
PRX-5   05/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISEN CHANGE May01 Apr03 Mar22 Mar08 Feb20 (hogan william)PEREZ M 123 5.00 10% 9.40    
2  PEARLBDANCING May01 Apr11 Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 (bullock jordan )RUIZ ELISEO 116 4.00    
3  ADVOCATE HARBOR Apr25 Apr11 Apr03 Mar22 Mar07 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
4  MISS ALEX May01 Apr11 Mar27 Feb13 Feb02 (chacon gustavo)VIVES SOFIA 116 5.00    
5  SCARF May01 Apr11 Mar22 Feb28 Feb01 (noble f)BOWMAN ADAM 123 2.50 21% 3.70    
6  BELLA MARIA May01 Apr04 Mar27 Feb27 Feb14 (hogan willia)ROLDAN FELISHA 116 8.00    
7  AMERICA'S PRIDE May06 Apr17 Mar29 Mar22 Feb05 (taylor jos)SANCHEZ J 126 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
PRX-6   05/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY MISS Apr19 Apr03 Mar15 Feb28 Feb08 (tapsas elias)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.00 ★    
2  OUI MADAME Apr18 Jan25 Jan10 Dec13 Nov15 (christman kimbe)BOWMAN ADAM 123 20.00    
3  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Apr19 Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 (castillo sanc)RIVERA D 123 6.00    
4  HEY DEWZPOTS May03 Apr10 Mar28 Oct31 Sep28 (castillo mich)GUERERE ANGEL 123 6.00    
SCR  DIANE'S COMET Apr25 Feb13 Jan11 Nov30 Oct07 (smith evert)DE KEMICH 119 3.00    
6  CREME CARAMEL Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Jan24 Nov02 (dominguez )SANCHEZ J 123 5.00 ★    
7  VALUABLE BREIGH Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 (aristone ph)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
 
PRX-7   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J LOVES BILLY May08 Apr26 Apr12 Mar28 Mar13 (hogan william)PEREZ M 123 12.00 ★    
2  SHOW SOME SKIN Apr26 Mar24 Mar01 Feb07 Jan16 (linder jr)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.50 10% 9.00    
3  SOUTHERN CENTS Apr24 Apr04 Feb07 Jan25 Jan09 (king b)GILPIN SEAN 123 12.00    
4  FALL CAMPAIGN May08 Apr26 Apr11 Mar31 Mar22 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 123 12.00    
5  BACI Mar21 Feb25 Feb02 Jan20 Dec16 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
6  FIELD LETTERS May03 Apr26 Mar17 Mar01 Feb07 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 116 4.00 10% 8.70    
7  RISQUE'S JEWEL Apr24 Feb23 Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 123 4.50    
 
PRX-8   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELL GRAY         (thompson mart)OCASIO M 126 15.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of FAIRY GRAY by CAT THIEF)
2  INCLUDE THE MUNNY Apr22         (preciado g)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of INCLUDE THE AUSSIE by INCLUDE)
3  MISS HOPPERTUNITY         (farro patricia)VIVES SOFIA 113 5.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of RHYTHM IN SHOES by RHYTHM)
4  WHATSAGIZMO Apr26 Mar22       (curry dee)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of ALL AMERICAN BLOND by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  FINE WHINING         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 6.00 7% 13.30    
  (by BLAME out of CHASE ME NOW by TIZNOW)
6  K C MO Apr26 Jun08 May13     (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MO BABY by UNCLE MO)
7  LILBITSOCIAL         (preciado)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of LILBITOFEVERYTHING by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  DOLCE ON THE ROCKS         (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 120 6.00 7% 13.30    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of BOUQUET OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  TEMPEST RISING May01 Apr19 Mar14 Feb20 Feb06 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of SEASTORMRISING by COASTAL STORM)
 
PRX-9   05/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITAEMI May02 Mar20 Feb22 Jan17 Dec12 (padilla-pr)SANCHEZ J 123 1.60 51% 1.00    
2  BABY FADE Apr12 Mar07 Feb01 Dec20 Nov28 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.50 ★    
3  BELLS ON HER TOES Apr13 Mar17 Feb12 Jan29 Dec30 (penaloza migu)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 4.00    
4  FRAME THIS May02 Apr04 Feb22 Feb08 Jan10 (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
5  MANUELA Apr26 Apr04 Mar22 Aug12 Jul26 (taylor josep)TORRES A 118 5.00    
6  SYSTEMIC RISK Nov21 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug13 (aristone philip)VIVES SOFIA 116 3.50    
 
PRX-10   05/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOHNNY OBVIOUS Nov22 Sep07 Jul20 Jun11 Apr15 (tzortzakis e)RANGEL JOEZER 123 12.00    
2  R GOODTIME CHARLIE May01 Apr11 Jul12 Jun06 May09 (mcca)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00 41% 1.40    
3  KING'S HOUSE May01 Apr19 Apr11 Mar20 Jan24 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 6.00    
4  EMPIRE'S SCORE Apr25 Mar01 Feb08 Jan24 Jan11 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 123 6.00    
SCR  SUNNY SAINT Apr16 Apr02 Mar04 Feb10 Jan28 (abrams jack)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00    
6  SAN ANTONE May02 Apr07 Mar16 Mar03 Feb02 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00 15% 5.60    
7  MAGNETRON May08 Apr24 Apr11 Mar20 Mar07 (wyner harold)CASTILLO A 123 6.00 9% 9.60    
8  RONIN WARRIOR May05 Mar27 Mar06 Feb22 Jan23 (bravo-estrada j)RUIZ ELISEO 116 12.00    
9  HIBACHI Apr25 Apr11 Mar20 Mar08 Feb13 (flores-coba )TORRES A 118 4.50    
10  BIG CITY BOB Apr25 Mar23 Mar15 Feb23 Sep10 (penaloza mig)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 3.50 9% 10.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.